Cross-border credit networks,banking risk contagion and suppression effects

From the perspective of risk contagion, it is difficult to balance the benefits and costs of banking globalization. We use data on cross-border syndicated loans intended to build heterogeneous credit networks among banking sectors in various countries to explore the introduction of banking risks into the network. Via social network analysis (SNA), we find that the global credit network has phased characteristics, and it is a source of exposure to global banking risks. However, the more important network position, that is, the greater centrality, identified shows that the banking industry is more stable. To explain these findings, we present and estimate the banking risk contagion model and the suppression effect model of contagion. Evidence suggests that the international credit network is the channel of risk contagion, and the long-term loan network and nonfinancial borrower network have a stronger contagion effect. Exogenous banking supervision and network endogenous closeness centrality can inhibit risk contagion. From a policy perspective, these findings indicate the need to supervise high-risk cross-border loans and maintain independence in the international credit network.Data Availability StatementThe data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, [Heng Zhao, email: zhao0501@mail.dlut.edu.cn], upon reasonable request.     

Short- and long-term effects of divorce and separation on housing tenure in England and Wales

This paper investigates the effects of marital and non-marital separation on individuals’ housing tenure in England and Wales. We apply competing risks event history models to data from the British Household Panel Survey and the UK Household Longitudinal Study to analyse the risk of a residential move to different tenure types, for single, married, cohabiting, and separated men and women. Separated individuals are more likely to move and experience a tenure change than those who are single or in a relationship. Among separated people, private renting is the most common outcome of a move; however, women are also likely to move to social renting, whereas men tend to move to homeownership. This pattern persists when we account for time since separation and order of move, indicating a potential long-term effect of separation on housing tenure. This long-term effect is especially pertinent to separated women who cannot afford homeownership.     

高管信息融合能力、内部整合效果与并购绩效

以2015—2016年完成并购的上市公司为研究样本,以高管社会网络位置作为高管信息融合能力的替代变量,用中介中心度、程度中心度和结构洞三个指标测量高管社会网络位置。运用多元回归分析,研究高管信息融合能力、内部整合效果与并购绩效三者之间的关系。研究结果表明:高管社会网络位置与企业并购绩效存在显著正相关的关系,高管社会网络位置与内部整合效果存在显著正相关的关系,内部整合效果在高管社会网络位置与并购绩效的关系中起到中介作用。     

How the Pygmalion Effect operates in intra-family succession: Shared expectations in family SMEs

The Pygmalion Effect is a case of the self-fulfilling prophecy, whereby the expectations of leaders influence the performance of followers (Avolio, Walumbwa, & Weber, 2009; Rosenthal, 1993). Intra-family succession processes, which are hardly ever formalised in small- and medium-sized family enterprises, provide a natural context to explore the perceptions that predecessors have about their successors and where the Pygmalion Effect is expected to occur. However, little is known about how a predecessor’s expectations can affect intra-family firm succession processes. Based on qualitative interviews with key family and non-family members, expectations were analysed in four in-depth case studies of intra-family SME succession processes. The findings show that the Pygmalion Effect operates over time and embraces incumbent, successor, and key stakeholders’ expectations, which support the new leader when facing succession-related challenges.     

Does exposure to a traumatic event make organizations resilient?

Why do some organizations bounce-back from traumatic events more quickly than others? While the research on organizations offers extensive insights on recovery from economic or technological shocks, there is limited understanding of how organizations recover from life-threatening events such as terrorist attacks. In this study, we build on the research on resilience and argue that organizational recovery from a traumatic event is informed by the perception of threat. Higher perception of threat increases inter-organizational collaboration and the care associated with the deployment of slack as well as to learning. We tested our arguments with a sample of US and non-US firms before and after the 9/11 terrorist attacks and found that, due to spatial proximity, US firms’ higher perception of threat led to a larger increase in the frequency of inter-organizational alliances than that of non-US firms. This preference was more frequently directed towards local partners and demonstrated a distinct emphasis on slack and learning. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our findings suggest that organizational resilience in the face of a traumatic event benefits not from immunity but from spatial proximity to the threat. Proximity increases the perception of threat, and with it, the impetus for adaptation.     

结合 SUＲ 与因子效应原则的多响应质量设计

针对多响应的质量设计问题，本文结合似不相关回归(seemingly unrelated regression， SUＲ) 模型与因子效应原则提出了一种新的建模与优化方法． 该方法不仅结合 SUＲ 模型与因子效应原则筛选出各响应模型的显著性变量，而且运用多变量过程能力指数衡量了过程能力满足规格要求程度的水平． 此外，该方法还通过贝叶斯抽样技术考虑了模型参数不确定性和预测响应值波动对优化结果的影响． 首先，在 SUＲ 模型中针对每个变量设置了一个二元变量指示器以考虑因子效应原则，通过所构建的混合二元变量指示器修正了过程响应和试验因子之间的函数关系; 其次，通过计算混合二元变量指示器和模型结构的后验概率以识别显著性变量，从而确定最佳的模型结构; 然后，在此基础上结合贝叶斯抽样技术构建了一种新的多变量过程能力指数，并通过最大化所构建的多变量过程能力指数获得了最佳的参数设计值; 最后，实际案例研究表明: 本文所提方法不仅能够有效地筛选出多响应过程的显著性变量，而且能够获得最佳的参数设计值．     

试论翻译对村上春树创作的影响

文章首先介绍了作为作家的村上春树 ,包括他的创作成就 ,作品销量 ;文章的第二部分介绍了村上春树从一个美国小说读者到提笔翻译的过程 ;接着又从村上春树的一些论著中概括了其翻译观 ;最后文章又阐述了翻译对村上春树创作所产生的影响 ,包括思想观念、写作风格、文体以及一些表达习惯。     

论体验经济与管理及管理会计创新

社会经济的发展,使社会需求由物质层面向精神、文化层面提升,人们理性的物质形态消费向感性的“体验消费”转变;消费者对消费对象的选择,追求的是能使消费者产生“体验效应”、并在精神上得到满足的“文化价值”,而不仅是对象的物质价值。“体验经济”条件下形成的以“文化价值”为主体的价值运动,导致企业以至社会的价值体系产生实质性的重大变化。为此,在管理和管理会计领域要进行相应的创新。     

简论方言与文化

运用从现实生活中搜集得到的新鲜的方言口语，从汉语方言与汉民族文学艺术、民俗风情的关系上，分析汉语言文字对地方文学艺术的多样化发展和民俗文化的形成所产生的巨大影响。     

互联网对青少年思想政治教育功效提出的挑战

互联网作为信息时代的一种新形媒体,对青少年的影响越来越大,甚至成为青少年日常生活的一部分。然而现代科技的发明在给我们带来方便、快捷,为当代思想政治教育方式、方法、手段、措施的现代化提供了可能的同时,也对传统思想政治教育提出了种种挑战,已影响了互联网世界青少年思想政治教育功效的发挥。因此,本文着重谈一谈互联网对青少年思想政治教育功效提出的挑战。