我国道路交通事故社会救助基金制度之检讨与完善

道路交通事故救助基金作为一种新型的社会保障制度,在机动车交通事故责任强制保险无法发挥作用时,为交通事故中的受害人提供社会救助。自救助基金制度实施以来,其所具有的社会保障功能引起各地政府的重视,但严格的补偿条件和因地而异的运行机制阻碍了社会救助功能的发挥。基于此,需要进一步扩大救助基金的来源,修改救助基金的补偿条件,完善救助基金的追偿,使救助基金作为社会救助之一种,能够起到安定人民生活、救助社会弱者的作用。     

Risk Homeostasis Theory and Traffic Accident Data

The risk homeostasis theory posits, in essence, that a control mechanism analogous to the thermal homeostatic system in warm-blooded animals tends to keep risk per unit time constant, and, as a consequence, the number of traffic accidents per unit time of driving also tends to remain constant, essentially independent of changes in the traffic safety system. It is the purpose of the present research to examine the validity of this claim using a wide variety of traffic accident data. All the data examined are found to be incompatible with the risk homeostasis theory. The only specific field accident data offered in the literature to support the risk homeostasis theory are found to, in fact, refute the theory. The accident data provide evidence that a rich variety of user responses occur. While it is possible for users to collectively respond in such a way that safety benefits are completely cancelled, such a response is not particularly common; it is certainly not universally occurring, as suggested by the risk homeostasis theory. It is concluded that the risk homeostasis theory should be rejected because there is no convincing evidence supporting it and much evidence refuting it.     

Estimating Fatality Reductions from Increased Safety Belt Use

Fatality reductions from increases in safety belt use are estimated taking into account that drivers who change from being nonusers to being users have lower accident involvement rates than the remaining nonusers, a process referred to as "selective recruitment." Analytical functions are derived which express expected fatality reductions in terms of changes in safety belt use rates from an initial rate. The function parameters are determined by requiring that computed average crash rates for nonusers be 53% higher than the rates for users, a recently determined empirical value. These functions show that, depending on the initial use rate and use rate increase, selective recruitment may increase or decrease expected fatality reductions. However, effects are relatively small, in no case exceeding +/- 5.3%.     

考虑通行约束和运力限制的灾后应急物资联合调度优化研究

考虑到灾后路网受损难以运输应急物资，本文研究了应急响应中车辆-直升机联合调度的路径优化问题。针对受灾地区的实时路况，通往灾区的救援工具受到数量以及装载量的约束，本文将受灾点等待救援的平均时间最短以及应急网络总费用最低设为目标，构建运力受限条件下带通行约束的救援物资联合运输多目标优化模型，然后根据随机邻域搜索变异和分级交叉的思想构建出一种带精英策略的非支配排序混合进化算法（NSHEA-II）得到模型的解，并利用算例分析对该算法进行可行性检验。结果发现，本文构建的NSHEA-II算法相对NSGA-II算法能够得到较好的结果且波动性较小，这为决策者制定救援物资的配送方案提供有效的技术支撑。     

一种基于MPLS业务量工程的选路机制

分析了诸如受限路由等传统QoS路由机制业务震荡现象出现的原因给出了呼叫级QoS路由和分组级QoS路由的概念在此基础上提出了多标签QoS路由机制(MLR)作为一种分组级QoS路由机制多标签QoS路由机制不仅能够从理论上避免业务震荡现象的出现同时由于采用了业务量工程的业务均衡的思想从而提高了全网的业务性能指标仿真的数据结果可以在同时运行实时业务和非实时业务下得到     

基于效用模型的网络拥塞定价策略

一种基于效用模型的网络拥塞定价策略引入了用户可承受价格、用户满意度等因素,建立网络拥塞控制的效用模型。可以优化网络资源分配,避免网络拥塞。在满足QoS指标的条件下,模型利用供求相互作用机制、价格调节机制等寻找用户满意度和网络性能的最佳结合点,从而对网络资源进行最优分配,并均衡网络负载。仿真实验结果验证了该策略的有效性和可行性。     

城市道路交通问题与对策探讨

从中国大城市交通堵塞现象着手,研究了机动车辆的增加与道路通行能力的关系,以及机动车迅速增长所带来的环境污染问题,分析了问题产生的原固及其危害程度,探讨改善城市交通的途径和解决的方案,提出适当限制个人轿车,积极发展轨道交通,规划建设中心网络城市的现点。     

考虑道路通行能力的应急避难点选址模型及算法

在k-中心点问题的基础上,考虑道路的通行能力限制,提出了k-避难点问题。在一般树图结构下,重点分析了1-避难点选址问题,并设计了有效的求解算法;在直线图结构下,首先改进了一般图1-避难点的求解算法,其次分析了2-避难点问题的特点,并给出了一个基于"二分思想"的求解算法,在此基础上,为一般的直线图k-避难点问题设计了求解算法,一般算法的时间复杂性为O(nlog^kn)。所提出的模型在理论上扩展了经典的k-中心点选址问题,所设计的求解算法能够为现实的应急管理规划提供良好的理论支持。     

Psychophysical conditions of air traffic controllers evaluated by the standard shiftwork index

Abstract

In the ambit of a large epidemiological survey on the Italian population of air traffic controllers, an evaluation of their health conditions was carried out using the Standard Shiftwork Index (SSI). The study took into consideration 572 male air traffic controllers, aged between 23 and 59 years, of whom 301 were engaged in three large Regional Centres, 189 in thirteen Airport Towers and 82. formerly active controllers, were working in administrative offices. The former controllers showed worse health levels, in particular minor psychological disorders and chronic fatigue. Sixteen of them had been transferred to administrative jobs because of health impairment, owing to severe diseases of the nervous, gastrointestinal and cardiovascular systems. Such disorders, and musculoskeletal ones, were mostly reported by the active controllers. The controllers engaged in Regional Centres showed more sleep disturbances than those engaged in towers. Beside age, some personal characteristics appeared to influence health and well-being. Neuroticism was correlated with chronic fatigue, digestive and cardiovascular complaints, minor psychological disorders, cognitive and somatic anxiety. On the other hand, morningness was correlated negatively with sleep disturbances on morning shift, and positively with sleep duration both on morning shift and rest days.     

城市交通参与者的出行决策障碍分析

阻碍城市交通可持续发展的因素中,交通参与者的出行决策障碍是一种故意,更加不容易破除。本文具体分析了城市交通参与者出行决策障碍来源,通过对城市交通可持续发展机制的研究,在总结我国城市交通发展建设经验的基础上,借鉴其他国家的相关经验,提出了一套包括机制建设、政策法规、交通基础设施建设和技术在内的解决城市交通参与者的出行决策障碍的综合策略。