THE INTERNATIONAL TRANSMISSION OF VOLATILITY SHOCKS: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS

This paper proposes an empirical model which can be used to estimate the international transmission of volatility shocks. Using this model we estimate that a one standard deviation increase in the volatility of the shock to US real GDP leads to a decline in UK GDP of 1% relative to trend and a 0.7% increase in UK CPI relative to trend at the two‐year horizon. Using a nonlinear open‐economy DSGE model, we find that these empirical estimates are consistent with the response to a perturbation to the volatility of foreign “supply” type shocks, while an increase in the volatility of demand shocks has a negligible impact.     

十六大以来党的建设实践探索和理论创新

党的十六大以来,以胡锦涛为总书记的新一届中央领导集体,立足于新形势下党的建设所处历史方位的新变化,坚持以继承与创新相结合为原则,以提高党的执政能力和先进性建设为主线,在全面推进新形势下党的建设新的伟大工程的历史进程中,锐意进取,努力探索新时期马克思主义执政党的建设规律,系统总结党的建设的基本经验,明确提出了党的建设科学化的重大命题,使党的建设实践探索和理论创新达到了一个新高度。     

The Intra‐household Division of Labor: An Empirical Analysis of Spousal Influences on Individual Time Allocation

Using the German Time Use Surveys 1991/92 and 2001/02, this paper analyses the interactions between the time‐use decisions of partners within one household. Thereby, an interdependent model of the partners' times allocated to paid and unpaid work that allows for simultaneity and endogeneity of the time allocation decisions of the spouses is applied. When including both weekdays and weekend days in the analysis, a complementary relationship between the partner's time allocations is found. When restricting the analysis to weekdays, however, men's time dedicated to paid and unpaid work is unaffected by their wives' time‐use decisions.     

MORE MISSING WOMEN,FEWER DYING GIRLS: THE IMPACT OF SEX‐SELECTIVE ABORTION ON SEX AT BIRTH AND RELATIVE FEMALE MORTALITY IN TAIWAN

This study finds that the introduction of sex‐selective abortion in Taiwan due to the legalization of abortion when prenatal sex‐detection technology was already available increased the fraction of males born at higher parities and changed the composition of mothers choosing to give birth. Controlling for compositional changes, we find that access to sex‐selective abortion reduced relative neonatal female mortality rates for higher‐parity births.     

COMPETITION AND GENDER PREJUDICE: ARE DISCRIMINATORY EMPLOYERS DOOMED TO FAIL?

According to Becker's famous theory on discrimination (Gary Becker, 1957 , The Economics of Discrimination, University of Chicago Press), entrepreneurs with a strong prejudice against female workers forgo profits by submitting to their tastes. In a competitive market their firms lack efficiency and are therefore forced to leave. We present new empirical evidence for this prediction by studying the survival of start‐up firms in longitudinal matched employer–employee data. We find that firms with strong preferences for discrimination approximated by a low share of female employees relative to the industry average have significantly shorter survival rates. This is especially relevant for firms starting out with female shares in the lower tail of the distribution. Competition at the industry level additionally reduces firm survival and accelerates the rate at which prejudiced firms are weeded out. We also find evidence for employer learning as highly discriminatory start‐up firms that manage to survive submit to market powers and increase their female workforce over time.     

基于TOP-100的研究生人格特质研究

采用卡特尔16PF 人格调查问卷,对参与中国科学院研究生:跨学科专业选择计划(TOP-100)的研究生群体的人格特质进行了总体分析,在此基础上比较分析了男女研究生的人格特质差异。同时,进一步研究了男女研究生人格特质与其学业成绩之间的相关性,并通过回归分析方法建立了实用有效的线性预测方程,其结论为TOP-100 计划的有效实施和未来研究生的教育教学发展提供了借鉴。     

从发展格局的视角看第16届男篮世界锦标赛

通过2010年第16届男子篮球世界锦标赛对世界篮球格局进行研究,结果表明：目前世界男子篮球运动发展呈美国与欧洲诸强争霸局面,美洲球队实力日益下滑,亚非澳球队和欧美诸强仍然存在较大差距。职业联赛水平、社会经济发展情况、篮球文化底蕴是欧美强队长期占据霸主地位的根本原因。     

The Hefferline Notes: B. F. Skinner’s First Public Exposition of His Analysis of Verbal Behavior

B. F. Skinner''s first public exposition of his analysis of verbal behavior was the Hefferline Notes (1947a), a written summary of a course Skinner taught at Columbia University during the summer of 1947 just prior to his presentation of the William James Lectures at Harvard University in the fall. The Notes are significant because they display Skinner''s analysis as it made the transition from spoken to written form; moreover, they are an effective supplemental source of examples and early approximations for comprehending Skinner''s functional verbal operants.     

中国货币供给内生性／外生性实证分析

一个国家货币供应量是否具有内生性是该国制定货币政策的认识基础 ,也是货币政策有效性的根本。通过计量经济学方法和外生性检验 ,检验了我国自 2 0 0 0年以来货币供应量的内生性性质 ,得出了我国货币供给具有内生性的结论