“三个代表”的辩证关系

“三个代表”是辩证统一的整体 :代表最广大人民的根本利益是代表中国先进生产力发展要求和中国先进文化前进方向的基本保障 ;代表中国先进文化的前进方向是发展生产力和实现人民根本利益的重要条件 ;代表中国先进生产力的发展要求是做好其他各项工作的决定性因素。     

“市民社会”:从黑格尔到马克思的转换

市民社会是黑格尔、马克思学说的重要范畴。黑格尔的市民社会学说有其优缺点 ,为马克思对市民社会的研究奠定了理论基础。马克思在对黑格尔市民社会理论批判改造中走上了通往唯物史观的道路 ,完成了从唯心主义向唯物主义、从民主主义向共产主义的两个根本性转变。     

团体辅导在大学生人际交往中的作用研究

为了探讨团体辅导在大学生人际交往中的积极作用,本研究对河南理工大学十名新生进行了九次五阶段的团体辅导,并以人际交往训练班的形式,开展针对性交际活动。卡特尔人格问卷测查发现,16PF多项人格因素———乐群性、聪慧性、兴奋性、怀疑性、紧张性等有显著性改善。可见,团体辅导对改善大学生人际交往能力有明显的效果。     

创新理论和深化改革的伟大跨越--学习贯彻中共十六届三中全会精神座谈综述

中共十六届三中会全的《决定》对完善社会主义市场经济体制的各个方面作出了全面规划和工作部署,必将为全面建设小康社会提供体制保证;《决定》提出要贯彻"五个统筹"、做到"五个坚持",体现了"三个代表"重要思想的要求,体现了经济、社会和人的全面发展,体现了改革发展稳定三者的紧密结合、相互统一的战略思想,反映了中国共产党对社会主义市场经济规律认识的深化。     

Did monetary policy fuel the housing bubble? An application to Ireland

This paper provides empirical evidence of the role of the euro in the genesis of the recent Irish financial-economic crisis. By using a Taylor rule we measure the appropriateness of the ECB’s one-size-fits-all policy rate for the Irish economy. A counterfactual analysis suggests that the Irish interest rate should have been on average 6.5% higher. Using a BVAR and multivariate housing model, we provide econometric evidence that under an alternative sovereign monetary policy, the average house price would have been 25–30% lower just before the housing bust. In addition, it shows that a monetary policy tailored to the needs of the member state prevents housing prices from dramatically increasing.     

The impact of tourism and finance on women empowerment

The Goal-5 of United Nations Development Agenda for gender equality and women empowerment through equalizing the ratio of girls and boys enrolment in primary education remains suffered in almost every part of the globalized world, which does not even violate the basic human rights while it is the mandatory foundation for global peace and prosperity. The contribution of international tourism development to empower women is the key initiative of the developed world to provide an equal opportunity to the women to sustain their livelihoods. This study focused on the role of international tourism development on women empowerment through mediating a number of financial factors in a panel of 24 selected European countries, over a period of 1990–2015. The results show that financial intermediaries act as a catalyst to empower women through international tourism. More specifically, tourism and financial factors promote (i) gender parity in tertiary enrollment, (ii) gender parity in primary and secondary school enrollment, (iii) female employment, and (iv) women’s share in non-agriculture wage employment, while the results further support the (i) growth-led tourism, (ii) finance-led growth, (iii) growth stimulate women empowerment, and (iv) tourism-induced women’s empowerment hypothesis across countries.     

Bayesian robust transformation and variable selection: A unified approach

The authors consider the problem of simultaneous transformation and variable selection for linear regression. They propose a fully Bayesian solution to the problem, which allows averaging over all models considered including transformations of the response and predictors. The authors use the Box‐Cox family of transformations to transform the response and each predictor. To deal with the change of scale induced by the transformations, the authors propose to focus on new quantities rather than the estimated regression coefficients. These quantities, referred to as generalized regression coefficients, have a similar interpretation to the usual regression coefficients on the original scale of the data, but do not depend on the transformations. This allows probabilistic statements about the size of the effect associated with each variable, on the original scale of the data. In addition to variable and transformation selection, there is also uncertainty involved in the identification of outliers in regression. Thus, the authors also propose a more robust model to account for such outliers based on a t‐distribution with unknown degrees of freedom. Parameter estimation is carried out using an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm, which permits moves around the space of all possible models. Using three real data sets and a simulated study, the authors show that there is considerable uncertainty about variable selection, choice of transformation, and outlier identification, and that there is advantage in dealing with all three simultaneously. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 361–380; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada     

The Bernstein–von Mises theorem in semiparametric competing risks models

Semiparametric Bayesian models are nowadays a popular tool in event history analysis. An important area of research concerns the investigation of frequentist properties of posterior inference. In this paper, we propose novel semiparametric Bayesian models for the analysis of competing risks data and investigate the Bernstein–von Mises theorem for differentiable functionals of model parameters. The model is specified by expressing the cause-specific hazard as the product of the conditional probability of a failure type and the overall hazard rate. We take the conditional probability as a smooth function of time and leave the cumulative overall hazard unspecified. A prior distribution is defined on the joint parameter space, which includes a beta process prior for the cumulative overall hazard. We first develop the large-sample properties of maximum likelihood estimators by giving simple sufficient conditions for them to hold. Then, we show that, under the chosen priors, the posterior distribution for any differentiable functional of interest is asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution derived from maximum likelihood estimation. A simulation study is provided to illustrate the coverage properties of credible intervals on cumulative incidence functions.     

《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2013-2022年高被引论文特征分析

利用中国知网引文数据库的资料,以2013-2022年《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》(以下简称《学报》)刊发文章总量的5％为标准遴选出的高被引论文作为研究对象,对高被引论文的栏目/专题、基金项目、高被引论文作者、第一作者机构和排名前20的高被引论文进行了分析,为组稿、约稿和筛选优质稿源提供依据。结果显示,《学报》2013-2022年共刊发论文1 266篇,总被引频次为32 051次,从中遴选出高被引论文63篇,高被引论文总被引频次为8 308次,占总被引频次的25.92％。63篇高被引论文均属学报特色栏目——“三农”问题研究的下设专题论文,此栏目的高被引论文占到了73.02％,“精准扶贫”“乡村振兴”“农村电商”3个专题高被引论文表现抢眼。在高被引论文获助的基金项目中,国家社科基金资助20项,占31.75％,是获助的主体;国家自然科学基金资助论文居于第2位。高被引论文中作者的职称(学历)居前3位的分别是博士研究生、教授(研究员)、副教授(副研究员),其中博士研究生的高被引论文占到了总数的38.10％,表明其已经成为学术研究的主力军;发表2篇以上高被引论文的作者有3位。来源论文机构总被引频次的排序前5名为西北农林科技大学、中国农业大学、华中农业大学、华中科技大学和西安交通大学。被引频次最多的前20篇论文的统计结果与前面的统计情况相吻合,值得注意的是“精准扶贫”和“乡村振兴”两个专题的高被引论文占了几近一半。鉴于以上结果,今后应继续做好选题策划,持续加强“三农”问题研究特色栏目建设。组稿约稿中要扩大核心作者群,积极关注青年科技工作者研究成果,打造高水平服务团队,提升论文学术水平;大力推进新媒体融合出版,提升学术成果传播速度。