A bayesian estimator for the dependence function of a bivariate extreme‐value distribution

Any continuous bivariate distribution can be expressed in terms of its margins and a unique copula. In the case of extreme‐value distributions, the copula is characterized by a dependence function while each margin depends on three parameters. The authors propose a Bayesian approach for the simultaneous estimation of the dependence function and the parameters defining the margins. They describe a nonparametric model for the dependence function and a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of the Bayesian estimator. They show through simulations that their estimator has a smaller mean integrated squared error than classical nonparametric estimators, especially in small samples. They illustrate their approach on a hydrological data set.     

外语戏剧节对英语专业学生的影响——以四川大学外国语学院2005年戏剧节为例

在加德纳的多元化智能理论指导下,从学生个性发展、教材层面、教师授课角度、学生语言接受能力等方面对外语戏剧节对学生的影响进行观察性描述,通过抽样调查,可以得出结论:外语戏剧节对英语专业学生的间接影响主要体现在提高学习自信心、增强学习动机上;戏剧节对英语专业学生的直接影响,更多表现在对班级文化和身份的积极建塑上.     

货币政策调控有效性的实证检验

应用平稳性检验、协整性检验与因果检验,分析货币政策对经济政策与物价变动的影响,以此检验货币政策的有效性。实证结果表明,金融变量与经济增长、物价变动之间存在着长期稳定的因果关系,特别是80年代以来推行的市场经济改革,增强了中央银行选择货币供应量作为中介指标的可操作性,中央银行可通过控制货币供给总量来影响宏观经济活动,达到间接调控的目的。     

Block external bootstrap in partially linear models with nonstationary strong mixing error terms

The authors extend the block external bootstrap to partially linear regression models with strongly mixing, nonstationary error terms. In addition to providing an approximate distribution for the semiparametric least square estimator of the parametric component, they propose a consistent estimator of the co‐variance matrix of this estimator.     

If you look like me,I'll talk to you: a preliminary study of ethnic identity and inter‐ethnic interaction among women in Singapore

In Singapore, government policy is for equal but separate development of the four major ethnic groups—Chinese, Malay, Indian and other. In this study, I attempt to gain some preliminary views of how strongly women identify with their own ethnic group and how freely they are prepared to interact with people from other ethnic groups in non‐work‐related situations. I confine my study to females for two reasons. One is that traditional ethnic dress is common among females in Singapore but much rarer among men, and this makes a strong non‐verbal statement of identity. The second reason is to avoid differences between males and females, which I did not wish to pursue within the limits of this exploratory study. The findings of my pilot investigation indicate that intra‐ethnic spontaneous interaction is more likely to occur among women who display a strong national identity. Moreover, younger women, who were exposed during their school years to the government's recent drive to nurture ethnic and cultural differences, are less open to inter‐ethnic interaction than are women in their 30s and older, who grew up when the government drive was towards creating one common national identity for the people of Singapore.     

论吴稚晖20世纪初期的科学教育思想

在吴稚晖当时看来,教育是一个国家盛衰的"总因",而配称教育二字者只是科学工艺,近代中国的落后挨打就在于科学工艺发展的迟滞。在批判国内旧式教育的同时,他编报印书,普及科学常识以提高国民素质,鼓吹科学工艺来倡导青年劳作。特别是他创造性发起的留法俭学运动和创办海外中国大学,为近代中国培养了一大批急需的高科技人才,在近代中国教育史、中外文化交流史上写下了光辉的一页。     

论"研究性学习"的教师角色期待

"研究性学习"作为一个独具特色的课程领域,首次成为我国基础教育课程体系的有机构成。而一个好的课程构想能否得以实现,很大程度上依赖于教师的角色转换。本文认为,"研究性学习"的有效实施期待着教师成为:课程开发的承担者;学生"研究"的合作者;多元知识的建构者;教育实践的研究者;人际关系的协调者。     

对理论联系实际学风发展的历史回顾及现实思考

理论联系实际是我们党的优良学风,是马列主义、毛泽东思想、邓小平理论和“三个代表”重要思想一贯坚持的原则。我们党的理论联系实际的优良学风是在党的光辉历程中,在正反两方面经验教训的基础上逐渐形成并发扬光大。大力弘扬理论联系实际的马克思主义优良学风,既是现阶段社会发展的需要,也是党的建设工作客观实际的要求,具有非常重要的实践意义。     

从考试科目与内容看"科举学"的广博性

科举学不仅具有独特的研究对象,而且其研究内容具有广博性和现实性.探究种类繁多的科举考试科目和宽广专深的考试内容,既可从一个角度展示科举学的广博性,也可为当今高考改革提供历史借鉴.     

概念检索在因特网中的应用及比较研究

本文从概念检索的概念介绍入手,简介了概念检索在因特网中的应用情况,并对目前的几个具有概念检索功能的中文搜索引擎进行了比较研究,对结果进行分析,发现这几个搜索引擎在一定程度上实现了概念检索,但效果都不大理想,概念检索的理论研究与实际应用情况存在一段差距。