与时俱进--创新高校学生党建工作

面对新形势,高校学生党建工作必须与时俱进.要通过理论创新、组织载体创新、教育与管理创新、阵地创新、队伍创新来开创高校学生党建工作的新局面.     

简论知识经济时代创新人才的继续教育培训模式

随着以科技创新为主要特征的知识经济时代的来临 ,继续教育要适应现代社会发展的需要 ,培养具有创新意识、创新能力的高素质人才 ,必须在教育观念、培养目标、教学内容、教学方法、教学手段、师资队伍等方面进行改革和创新 ,探索出适应知识经济时代需要的创新人才继续教育培训模式。     

顾客价值创新:战略分析的基点

传统的战略分析是以竞争为基点的。其目的是如何比竞争对手做得更好。在这种思维指导下 ,企业经营往往产生竞争激烈、市场不敏感、反应性行为、缺乏创新等后果。在复杂多变的环境中 ,战略分析应转移到顾客价值创新上来。顾客价值创新战略通过为顾客提供完全新型或得到重大改进的价值而使企业经营与竞争无关。顾客价值创新战略与竞争基点战略在战略导向、对竞争的认知及态度、企业本身实力的认识等具有明显不同的特征 ;进行顾客价值创新可以按照顾客价值创新循环机制进行 ,这一循环机制以顾客消费流程分析为起点 ,由创新机会认别、资源需求分析及价值创新实施等环节构成。     

一般Gauss－Markov模型下一般可估函数的线性充分性和线性完全性

发展了Ｂａｋｓａｌａｒｙ和Ｄｒｙｇａｓ提出的一般Ｇａｕｓｓ－Ｍａｒｋｏｖ模型中线性充分性、最小充分性和完全性的概念，用Ｒａｏ的最小二乘统一理论，给出了这些概念的刻划定理。     

教育旅游市场营销创新刍议

随着旅游需求个性化时代的到来,传统的把教育旅游等同于一般旅游的市场营销方式已经走到了尽头。因此,尽快实现教育旅游市场营销创新迫在眉睫。     

科技特派员制度生命力的探析

地处闽北的南平市在发展当地经济、促进农业重大转型的特定时期,启动科技特派员制度,有其深刻的时代背景和现实意义。本文从科技特派员制度创举与活力切入,分析这一制度创举深层次的原因,并进一步探讨这一制度生命力如何在新时期持续和创新。     

马克思主义的发展观是创新的理论基石

发展观是马克思主义的一个十分重要的命题，该文从哲学的高度特别是运用马克思主义的观点和方法有意识地对发展、创新及其本质和规律进行思考。创新和发展是一对辩证统一的范畴，都是马克思主义对自然界和人类社会本质规律的科学总结、概括，是人类认识和改造世界的有效方式与手段；创新是发展的源泉、动力和现实需要，发展是创新的路向、目标和最终归宿；马克思主义的发展观是研究创新问题的理论基石，同时，创新又是马克思主义发展观的核心体现。     

Robust confidence interval for a residual standard deviation

The residual standard deviation of a general linear model provides information about predictive accuracy that is not revealed by the multiple correlation or regression coefficients. The classic confidence interval for a residual standard deviation is hypersensitive to minor violations of the normality assumption and its robustness does not improve with increasing sample size. An approximate confidence interval for the residual standard deviation is proposed and shown to be robust to moderate violations of the normality assumption with robustness to extreme non-normality that improves with increasing sample size.     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

后现代主义生态观与技术创新活动的价值转向

后现代主义生态观是后现代主义理论体系的亮点,代表了一种人类对自然更为深刻的理解方式。传统技术创新活动核心追求的是经济价值,但在后现代主义生态观的影响下,技术创新有必要实行价值转向追求技术创新活动的生态价值;用经济学以外的其他学科尤其是对人与自然实行整体关怀的哲学来关注技术创新活动已经是一件迫在眉睫的事情。在以生态价值为取向的技术创新活动中,我们需要将技术创新活动终端从市场扩展到生态环境。为此,在理论与实践层面上,需要提出多种措施来推动我国企业技术创新活动的生态价值转向。