货币政策对M2的动态效应时滞分析及危机效应测算

科学测算金融危机期间已出台货币政策对货币供应量M2的效应时滞和贡献程度具有一定的现实价值。文章利用Markov状态转换及HP滤波模型识别不同货币政策状态的时间区间;利用多项式滞后分布模型分析政策工具变量对货币供应量影响的滞后效应,并以此为先验信息,建立了货币政策的Bayesian-PDLS动态效应分布模型,对金融危机期间已出台的货币政策效果进行了实际测算。主要结果表明:(1)外汇储备为M2的决定性因素,存款准备金率为M2主要的限制性因素;(2)货币政策变量M2总体对利率的弹性变化呈"U"型分布;在紧缩型情况下M2对利率的弹性变化呈"W"型分布;在扩张情形下M2对利率的弹性变化呈"v"型分布。     

论被害人陈述的法律地位

被害人在刑事诉讼中所同时具备的当事人角色与实质证人角色之间的冲突,是所有当事人证据都存在的普遍性问题,并不足以否定被害人陈述作为证据的适格性。由于被害人在公诉案件审判程序中并不具备独立的控诉职能,因此相关之角色紧张在一定程度上得以缓和。在我国刑事证据制度构筑封闭式的证据分类体系的情况下,人证及当事人证据在分类逻辑上的要求,决定了被害人陈述不仅是适格的诉讼证据,而且构成独立的法定证据种类。     

论动物法律地位

动物权利论或者动物主体论是一个时髦的话题。保护动物是否意味着要赋予动物权利或者将动物上升为法律主体?动物权利论或动物主体论在理论和实践中是否站得住脚?针对以上问题,笔者认为动物权利论和动物主体论在理论与实践中均存在无法克服的障碍,动物在法律上仍应当作为特殊物、特殊的权利客体来看待,并提出我国的立法中动物法律地位的应有定位。     

独立学院文化现状及改进对策

大学文化是大学所有成员在历史时间内创造的精神财富和物质财富的总和。而独立学院文化的现状是文化不够鲜明、完整、深厚,因此,独立学院需要从文化培育、文化落实、文化传承、文化创新等方面加以改进。     

Relations Between Alphabetized Name Order and Nomination Counts in Peer Nomination Measures

Peer nominations, a central method for measuring peer relationships in developmental research, typically involve asking children or adolescents to choose peers who fit various criteria from an alphabetized roster of classmates or grade‐mates. Although such measures have been used for decades, very little research has investigated the effects of alphabetical name order on the number of nominations received by peers. This study collected peer nominations for 20 items among 607 eighth grade participants in two schools. Regression analyses showed that earlier name order significantly predicted higher nomination counts for eight of the items, and explained over 5 percent of the variance in four affective variables (friendship, acceptance, acquaintanceship, and received liking). Across variables, name order effects were negatively correlated with internal reliability of nominations, implying that order effects may be related to the consensus of the peer group. Name order also had a minimal effect on inter‐correlations among a subset of variables. Implications and concrete recommendations for controlling and reducing name order effects in future research are discussed.     

Attitudes of Heterosexual Men and Women Toward HIV Negative and Positive Gay Men

Attitudes of Italian heterosexual men and women toward gay men, both HIV positive and negative, are poorly investigated. Italian culture is still extremely conservative and provides limited support to the gay community (e.g., lack of same-sex marriage recognition). Consequently, gay men experience social exclusion and disparities. The present study explores the association between homophobia and closeness with sexual orientation and HIV status. 261 heterosexual Italian men and women were assessed for feelings of closeness and homophobia after reading a vignette where the character was C1: heterosexual and HIV negative; C2: gay and HIV negative; or C3: gay and HIV positive. Experiences of homophobia and closeness varied depending on gender of participant and condition assigned, and higher levels of homophobia were correlated with lower levels of closeness regardless of HIV status. Implications and future directions are discussed.     

秦国赘婿法律地位辨疑

秦国赘婿法律地位并非一直低下。秦立法剥夺其立户、受田宅等权利,强制其从军,始于秦统一六国后,直接原因为军事需要,深层次原因为文化认同、政治合法性建构的需要。     

Anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor antibody encephalitis: An important cause of encephalitis in young adults. A report of two cases

Encephalitis is a clinical syndrome which can include altered mental status, motor and sensory deficits, altered behavior including personality changes, speech and movement disorders and seizures. While the overall incidence of encephalitis is not known, it is common enough that most pediatric and adolescent medicine physicians will have seen at least one case. Peak times of risk include the newborn period and middle-to-late adolescence.¹ Dalmau J, Tüzün E, Wu HY, et al. Paraneoplastic anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor encephalitis associated with ovarian teratoma. Ann Neurol. 2007 Jan;61(1):25–36. doi:10.1002/ana.21050. PMID: 17262855.[Crossref], [PubMed], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] It is important for clinicians to have a working knowledge of the broad range of encephalitis etiologies: viral, post-viral, toxic, auto-immune, and paraneoplastic. We discuss two cases of encephalitis in young adult women with ovarian teratoma and production of anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) antibodies.     

Acceptance and Caregiving of Married and Divorced Custodial Mothers and Fathers

The study examined whether differences in gender and family status affect parental caregiving disposition and acceptance of children among parents of children in mid-childhood. The number of participants were 122 divorced-custodial fathers, 107 married fathers, 85 divorced-custodial mothers, and 82 married mothers (n?=?398). A comparison among four groups of parents revealed the following gender differences: mothers scored higher on anxious caregiving and parental acceptance than fathers, and lower on avoidant caregiving. Regression analysis indicated that the higher the caregiving avoidance or anxiety, the lower the parental acceptance. Family status moderated parental acceptance, as avoidant caregiving was associated with reduced parental acceptance among married parents, but not among divorced custodial parents. The finding that avoidant caregiving was not associated with reduced acceptance among divorced custodial parents implies that their parental acceptance behaviors toward their children are affected by their parental status as sole custodial parent, and the associated responsibilities, rather than by gender.     

Joint models for mixed categorical outcomes: a study of HIV risk perception and disease status in Mozambique

Two types of bivariate models for categorical response variables are introduced to deal with special categories such as ‘unsure’ or ‘unknown’ in combination with other ordinal categories, while taking additional hierarchical data structures into account. The latter is achieved by the use of different covariance structures for a trivariate random effect. The models are applied to data from the INSIDA survey, where interest goes to the effect of covariates on the association between HIV risk perception (quadrinomial with an ‘unknown risk’ category) and HIV infection status (binary). The final model combines continuation-ratio with cumulative link logits for the risk perception, together with partly correlated and partly shared trivariate random effects for the household level. The results indicate that only age has a significant effect on the association between HIV risk perception and infection status. The proposed models may be useful in various fields of application such as social and biomedical sciences, epidemiology and public health.