《礼记·乐记》作于公孙尼之说辨误

《礼记·乐记》是一份集中体现先秦儒家音乐思想与礼教思想的重要文献。过去，人们一直以为它的作者是孔子的再传弟子公孙尼。本文通过分析考证，以可靠的文献资料为依据，否定了这种错误的观点。澄清《乐记》的作者问题，对于我们准确理解《乐记》以至整部《礼记》的编纂性质，从而正确而有效地发挥其文献功能，具有重要意义。     

日语中的委婉表现及其语用功能

日语里有很多委婉的表现形式 ,如改换词语、以表喻里的暗喻法、模糊语、省略、正话反说、反话正说、借用其他词语等等。不同的表现形式包含有不同的语用功能。采用这些委婉的表现形式 ,其目的都是为了最终达到理想的交际效果。     

LOG-PERIODOGRAM ESTIMATION OF LONG MEMORY VOLATILITY DEPENDENCIES WITH CONDITIONALLY HEAVY TAILED RETURNS

Many recent papers have used semiparametric methods, especially the log-periodogram regression, to detect and estimate long memory in the volatility of asset returns. In these papers, the volatility is proxied by measures such as squared, log-squared, and absolute returns. While the evidence for the existence of long memory is strong using any of these measures, the actual long memory parameter estimates can be sensitive to which measure is used. In Monte-Carlo simulations, I find that if the data is conditionally leptokurtic, the log-periodogram regression estimator using squared returns has a large downward bias, which is avoided by using other volatility measures. In United States stock return data, I find that squared returns give much lower estimates of the long memory parameter than the alternative volatility measures, which is consistent with the simulation results. I conclude that researchers should avoid using the squared returns in the semiparametric estimation of long memory volatility dependencies.     

T.S艾略特之"阿尔佛雷特的爱之歌"与新批评主义

Ｔ .Ｓ .Ｅｌｉｏｔ -ａＣｅｌｅｂｒａｔｅｄＡｍｅｒｉｅａｎＰｏ ｅｔ,ＤｒａｍａｔｉｓｔａｎｄｃｒｉｔｉｃＴ .Ｓ .Ｅｌｉｏｔ (1 888— 1 965 ) ,ａｃｅｌｅｂｒａｔｅｄＡｍｅｒｉ ｃａｎｐｏｅｔ,ｄｒａｍａｔｉｓｔａｎｄｃｒｉｔｉｃ,ｒｅｃｅｉｖｅｄａｎｅｘｃｅｌｌｅｎｔｅｄｕｃａｔｉｏｎｏｆｃｌａｓｓｉｃａｌｌｉｔｅｒａｔｕｒｅｗｈｅｎｈｅｗａｓｙｏｕｎｇ .ＨｅｆｉｎｉｓｈｅｄｈｉｓｓｔｕｄｉｅｓｉｎＨａｒｖａｒｄｕｎｄｅｒｔｈｅｇｕｉｄａｎｃｅｏｆｔｈｅｗｅｌｌ-ｋｎｏｗｎｓｃｈｏｌａｒｓＩｒｖｉｎ…     

斯·茨威格的教育思想

茨威格在其回忆录和一些小说中，对奥地利当时的教育制度、教学计划、学校、教育者、学生等都是有颇多微词的。今天再来审视茨威格对他的中小学生活的回忆，可以看出他对旧教育制度的愤懑，也不难发现其中蕴含着具有远见卓识的教育理念，这在２１世纪我们大兴创新教育之际仍有借鉴作用。     

体制转轨国家腐败与反腐败的经济学分析

中国社会正处于体制转轨的关键时刻 ,转轨本身产生出过多的任意处置权 ,腐败的现实成本和机会成本都很低 ,造成了腐败在转轨国家滋生蔓延。转轨国家要保证反腐败的有效性 ,就必须有效降低反腐败的成本 ,增大腐败的成本 ,今后反腐败措施是 :1.要加快市场化改革进程 ,减少任意决策权 ,缩小政府规模 ;2 .要对政府官员进行有效激励 ,实行“养廉工资” ,以期加大革职的代价 ;3.要通过一系列制度建设 ,对政府官员进行有效的监督和约束 ,以增加腐败的现实成本。     

衍生金融工具的计量研究

衍生金融工具因具有高风险性、时态未来性及品种多样性等特点，其计量问题一直是会计核算的核心和难点。传统的会计计量理论和方法已无法满足其要求。为此，有必要改进现行的会计核算体制，以公允价值取代历史成本对衍生金融工具进行计量，以增强信息披露的力度。     

Implied Preference for Seismic Design Level and Earthquake Insurance

Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies.     

乡村选举中政治冷漠的成因——以成本-收益为视角的分析

政治冷漠，是一个与政治参与相对应的概念，即在政治活动和政治行为中表现出消极的政治态度，不参加政治生活，对于政治问题和政治活动的冷漠和不关心。一言以概之，就是政治不参与。在现今中国农村，虽然农民的政治素质在整体上有了很大的提高，但是由于种种因素的影响，政治冷漠现象在一定程度上还存在着。文章论述了乡村选举中的政治冷漠现象，并从成本一收益的角度分析其原因，提出发展农村经济、加强制度建设和降低选举成本等建议，旨在提高村民的政治热情，以使其通过长期参与选举等政治活动逐渐明白社会问题的症结和自身政治利益所在，从而产生应有的政治热情，减少选举中的政治冷漠行为。     

Bayesian analysis of discrete time warranty data

Summary.  The analysis of warranty claim data, and their use for prediction, has been a topic of active research in recent years. Field data comprising numbers of units returned under guarantee are examined, covering both situations in which the ages of the failed units are known and in which they are not. The latter case poses particular computational problems for likelihood-based methods because of the large number of feasible failure patterns that must be included as contributions to the likelihood function. For prediction of future warranty exposure, which is of central concern to the manufacturer, the Bayesian approach is adopted. For this, Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology is developed.