Evaluating correctional health care. The lessons of New York City.

New York City's correctional health care system is a complicated one, with many component parts. Correspondingly, the task of developing an evaluation process to assess this system turned out to be complex as well. The major responsibility for developing such a process and for keeping it in motion lies with the Contract Evaluation Unit of the Department of Health. Our experiences in meeting these challenges, as well as the historical and institutional factors that have influenced our efforts, should be of interest to professional groups facing similar tasks in other localities and to readers curious about how particular health service evaluation approaches take form. This article describes our method, how it emerged, and that it entails, with an eye toward identifying what might usefully be applied to the study of other correctional health care services and settings.     

Lagged Regression Residuals and Serial-Correlation Tests

A new family of statistics is proposed to test for the presence of serial correlation in linear regression models. The tests are based on partial sums of lagged cross-products of regression residuals that define a class of interesting Gaussian processes. These processes are characterized in terms of regressor functions, the serial-correlation structure, the distribution of the noise process, and the order of the lag of the cross-products of residuals. It is shown that these four factors affect the lagged residual processes independently. Large-sample distributional results are presented for test statistics under the null hypothesis of no serial correlation or for alternatives from a range of interesting hypotheses. Some indication of the circumstances to which the asymptotic results apply in finite-sample situations and of those to which they should be applied with some caution are obtained through a simulation study. Tables of selected quantiles of the proposed tests are also given. The tests are illustrated with two examples taken from the empirical literature. It is also proposed that plots of lagged residual processes be used as diagnostic tools to gain insight into the correlation structure of residuals derived from regression fits.     

The Four Es of Problem Gambling: A Psychological Measure of Risk

A focus group of Reno area Gamblers Anonymous members identified four psychological traits contributing to risk for problem gambling, including: Escape, Esteem, Excess and Excitement. A panel of four experts authored 240 Likert-type items to measure these traits. By design, none of the items explicitly referred to gambling activities. Study 1 narrowed the field of useful items by employing a quasi-experimental design which compared the answers of Reno area Gamblers Anonymous members (N = 39) to a control sample (N = 34). Study 2 submitted successful items, plus new items authored with the knowledge gained from Study 1, to validation in a random sample telephone survey across Queensland, Australia (N=2577). The final 40 item Four Es scale (4Es) was reliable (α=.90); predicted gambling problems as measured by the Canadian Problem Gambling Index of Severity (PGSI, Ferris & Wynne (2001). The Canadian Problem Gambling Index: Final Report: Canadian Centre on Substance Abuse); and distinguished problem gamblers from persons with alcohol abuse problems. The new scale can provide a basis for further study in harm minimization, treatment, and theory development.     

第三方物流发展存在的问题及对策

第三方物流作为一种优越的物流模式自20世纪90年代受到理论界的关注并在业界广泛利用.随着入世后我国的经济增长以及假日经济等的出现,我国目前的第三方物流市场空间巨大.但受传统"大而全"、"小而全"的经营组织方式的影响,我国发展第三方物流并非一帆风顺,我国相当多的企业在经济一体化的大潮中明显缺乏行业的竞争能力.本文从目前我国实际情况出发分析第三方物流发展存在的问题并提出相应的对策.     

从“一师风潮”看“五四”时期的浙江报刊

研究和宣传新思想的报刊的大量出现,以及发表在<浙江新潮>上<非孝>一文引发的"一师风潮",是五四运动影响浙江思想界与报刊界的直接后果."一师风潮"是1920年全国学生运动中最突出的事件之一,<浙江新潮>则对新思想在浙江的传播起了很大的作用.     

五四文学:对立的现代性

西方的世界性影响和中国本身的开放性要求是五四文学现代性产生的背景。在这种无论是对物质还是精神的现代化的追求之中,他们无一例外地都遭遇到了“冲突”这种处境。五四文学的现代性是以对立的面貌出现的,而冲突对立正是五四文学不同于传统文学的一个内在特质。对立、反抗既是中国现代文学解放、革命的需要,更是不回避中西、传统和现代碰撞的内心思想冲突的表现。其中既显示着中国文学特有的现代性的表达方式,也显示了中国文学现代化的简单、直线思维的欠缺和局限。     

论五四文学与无政府主义的关系

对无政府主义思潮在中国传播发展的背景、原因作了简要分析。无政府主义影响五四文学最重要的观念是它的"个人本位主义"。这在五四文学观念与具体创作中呈现出以下三个特征：一是对自我的标榜与追求,对极端自我与极端自由社会的向往;二是反对国家、强权的思想与强烈的破坏欲望;三是浓厚的理想主义色彩。     

阴极间接电氧化研究新进展

综述了应用钨酸盐 /过钨酸盐媒质和VO(acac) 2 OOH/VO(acac) 2 媒质在阴极间接电氧化合成有机物的最新成果 ,并对阴极间接电氧化的电极和媒质开发、成对电合成技术等研究进行了展望。     

论马克思主义的两个诞生标志

长期以来,人们一直把《共产党宣言》作为马克思主义的诞生标志。本文认为,马克思主义的诞生标志应分为马克思主义学说的诞生标志和马克思主义科学真理的诞生标志,《共产党宣言》应当是马克思主义学说的诞生标志,《资本论》应当是马克思主义科学真理的诞生标志。      

有关合法性概念及中国古代君权合法性的几点思考

合法性问题的研究如今已成为政治学研究领域的重要组成部分。合法性是维持一个政治体系长期存在与稳定发展的重要支柱。在国外 ,对合法性概念的界定存在争议 ;在中国古代则表现为几个不同的层次 ,其君主合法性的取得与维持也有其政治文化与社会等因素 ,而传统的儒家文化是中国古代君权合法性的基础