身份与功能交互下的民间信仰景观——以青海西宁湟中县扎麻隆凤凰山为例

改革开放以后,特别是21世纪以来,“文化带动旅游,旅游搞活经济”的模式在全国已经成为常见的经济形态。在这样的大背景下,许多新建的、基于神话和民间信仰打造的旅游景观,与当地居民及海内外香客对民间信仰宗教化的理解,以及国家的宗教政策形成了一种微妙的平衡。作为一处旅游景观,扎麻隆凤凰山的九天圣都筹建于20世纪末,现已成为区域内闻名的民间信仰道场。扎麻隆凤凰山身份与功能的交互与矛盾,以及扎麻隆村权力格局对其影响无疑是值得关注和研究的现象。     

现代汉语框式结构“有X没X”的构式分析

“有X没X”是现代汉语框式结构的一种较为典型的语法构式。当前,学界的研究大多是探究“有X没Y”的句法及语用表现,而对于变项“X”属同一形式的现象尚未涉及。通过外层的形式描写和深层的语义分析,鉴别“有X没X”常规和非常规的用法,指出客观叙述性和主观评价性是区别“有X没X”常规和非常规用法的主要方法。同时,利用句法功能的差异,描绘出现代汉语中“有X没X”所有类型的特点,即“有NP没NP”“有VP没VP”“有一Q没一Q”和“有的没的”4类情况的共性及个性。另外,深入诠释转指性和描述性语义特征的不同是“有X没X”常规和非常规用法区别的关键。     

凝聚性结构、德育功能与共同体关联——文化记忆视域下彝族文学的人类学阐释

彝族文学具有显著的民族志属性、道德教育功能与共同体特性。第一,它是构建文化记忆基础的凝聚性结构,作为彝族历史记忆和知识图谱的载体和表征;第二,它是彝族文化主体传承和传播其道德精神的特殊文本,发挥着从个人品德到社会公德的重要德育功能;第三,它是共同体关联的交融记忆场,由内而外、从抽象到具体,多维度、多层次、全方位地展现了彝族主动而深层的中华民族共同体认同。关注这类民族文学中的主位认知与自觉表达,不断拓展和深化关于它们的研究,能够为铸牢中华民族共同体意识提供更丰富的经验支撑和更强力的文化支柱。     

Improving logistic regression on the imbalanced data by a novel penalized log-likelihood function

Logistic regression is estimated by maximizing the log-likelihood objective function formulated under the assumption of maximizing the overall accuracy. That does not apply to the imbalanced data. The resulting models tend to be biased towards the majority class (i.e. non-event), which can bring great loss in practice. One strategy for mitigating such bias is to penalize the misclassification costs of observations differently in the log-likelihood function. Existing solutions require either hard hyperparameter estimating or high computational complexity. We propose a novel penalized log-likelihood function by including penalty weights as decision variables for observations in the minority class (i.e. event) and learning them from data along with model coefficients. In the experiments, the proposed logistic regression model is compared with the existing ones on the statistics of area under receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve from 10 public datasets and 16 simulated datasets, as well as the training time. A detailed analysis is conducted on an imbalanced credit dataset to examine the estimated probability distributions, additional performance measurements (i.e. type I error and type II error) and model coefficients. The results demonstrate that both the discrimination ability and computation efficiency of logistic regression models are improved using the proposed log-likelihood function as the learning objective.     

Regression models using the LINEX loss to predict lower bounds for the number of points for approximating planar contour shapes

Researchers in statistical shape analysis often analyze outlines of objects. Even though these contours are infinite-dimensional in theory, they must be discretized in practice. When discretizing, it is important to reduce the number of sampling points considerably to reduce computational costs, but to not use too few points so as to result in too much approximation error. Unfortunately, determining the minimum number of points needed to achieve sufficiently approximate the contours is computationally expensive. In this paper, we fit regression models to predict these lower bounds using characteristics of the contours that are computationally cheap as predictor variables. However, least squares regression is inadequate for this task because it treats overestimation and underestimation equally, but underestimation of lower bounds is far more serious. Instead, to fit the models, we use the LINEX loss function, which allows us to penalize underestimation at an exponential rate while penalizing overestimation only linearly. We present a novel approach to select the shape parameter of the loss function and tools for analyzing how well the model fits the data. Through validation methods, we show that the LINEX models work well for reducing the underestimation for the lower bounds.     

国际体坛反兴奋剂的经济学分析

国际体坛反兴奋剂问题不仅是法律问题、政治问题、医学问题,也是一个经济学问题。本文通过建立一个简单的效用函数,分析了运动员使用兴奋剂的成本和收益因素,并根据这些因素,提出了通过提高运动员使用兴奋剂行为的预期成本来减少兴奋剂使用行为的一些措施。     

交响乐欣赏的审美把握之我见

认识和把握交响乐的审美特征与欣赏规律;避免过多依靠语言、文字解释、阐述交响乐;反对把想象与联想心理过程作为欣赏交响乐的主要功能;主张通过听觉直接感受交响乐的交响性音响艺术效果美,进而欣赏、领略交响乐艺术所表现的内容美、形式美;不同意过分夸大交响乐的社会作用。     

探析中国戏剧两种走向之整合

戏剧作为一种艺术样式,其审美价值究竟偏向于文学性还是剧场性,其功能究竟是重启蒙还是重娱乐,这历来是争议不休、难有定论的问题。即使在今天,中国一些戏剧学专家依然因为各自侧重点的不同,从而看到了当代中国戏剧的两种迥然不同的走向。通过对中国近代以来不同时期不同类型的戏剧进行分析,发现这两种走向其实并不矛盾,相反是整合。当今,在中国戏剧创作中文学与舞台、启蒙与娱乐间对立、偏废的现象正逐渐消淡,二者的融合与统一日益成为一种明显的发展趋势。     

Misspecification of a binary dependent variable in the logistic model controlling for the repeated longitudinal measures

Many medical applications are interested to know the disease status. The disease status can be related to multiple serial measurements. Nevertheless, owing to various reasons, the binary outcome can be measured incorrectly. The estimators derived from the misspecified outcome can be biased. This paper derives the complete data likelihood function to incorporate both the multiple serial measurements and the misspecified outcome. Owing to the latent variables, EM algorithm is used to derive the maximum-likelihood estimators. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the impact of misspecification on the estimates. A retrospective data for the recurrence of atrial fibrillation is used to illustrate the usage of the proposed model.     

中国工业行业碳强度的因素分析——基于超越对数生产函数

为探究工业行业碳强度变化的成因,基于Kaya恒等式的碳强度分解,以碳强度表示产出,以经济增长、能源消费量、能源消费结构和技术进步为投入要素构建超越对数生产函数,通过各要素的碳强度产出弹性反映各要素对碳强度的贡献;并运用通径分析法进一步揭示各要素间的相互关系及其与碳强度的直接和间接关系。结果表明:能源消费结构的优化和技术进步抑制了工业行业碳强度的增长,能源消费量的增长和工业增加值的增长拉动了碳强度的增长,其中能源消费结构和能源消费量对工业行业碳强度的影响显著,因此降低工业行业碳强度的关键在于减少能源消费结构和能源消费量的碳强度产出弹性;能源消费量、工业增加值和能源消费结构对能源消费量的碳强度产出弹性起直接推动作用,技术进步起直接抑制作用;工业增加值和能源消费量对能源消费结构的碳强度产出弹性起直接推动作用,技术进步和能源消费结构起直接抑制作用。可见,工业行业对能源消费的依赖性较强,降低工业行业碳强度应主要依靠技术进步转变能源利用方式,提高能源效率,优化能源消费结构。