全球价值链重塑背景下中国国际分工地位测度与演变趋势分析

基于WIOD数据库2000—2014年世界投入产出表,采用“GVC地位指数”等指标,对中国国际分工地位进行测度并分析其演变趋势。研究结果表明,中国GVC地位指数呈先下降再上升的“V”型变化特征,但GVC参与度有所下降,这表明中国逐步向价值链两端攀升,成为GVC的重要枢纽;细分行业看,服务业地位指数高于制造业,服务业竞争力不断提升。服务业前向参与度高于制造业,后向参与度低于制造业,为制造业GVC提升提供了有力支撑。制造业后向参与度呈现“M”型趋势,前向参与度稳步上升,表明中国制造业对进口中间产品的依赖程度下降,逐渐成为中间品的主要供应国;细分行业看,制造业GVC地位的提高主要来源于劳动密集型GVC地位指数的提高,资本密集型和知识密集型行业的GVC地位指数不高,我国需要大力发展高新技术产业,进一步提高制造业在全球价值链中的地位。     

Semiparametric regression of clustered current status data

This paper discusses regression analysis of clustered current status data under semiparametric additive hazards models. In particular, we consider the situation when cluster sizes can be informative about correlated failure times from the same cluster. To address the problem, we present estimating equation-based estimation procedures and establish asymptotic properties of the resulting estimates. Finite sample performance of the proposed method is assessed through an extensive simulation study, which indicates the procedure works well. The method is applied to a motivating data set from a lung tumorigenicity study.     

‘Car Talk’: automobility and Chinese international students in Michigan

The apparent conspicuous consumption of luxury vehicles by Chinese international students attending a public Michigan University provides an opportunity to examine the convergence of different ideas about automobility. Upwardly mobile Chinese families send their children to Michigan, a state with a tradition of auto-production, for educational opportunities not available in China. The resulting ‘car talk’ of local residents about Chinese students and their cars speaks to broader anxieties about Michigan’s shifting relationship to the global economy. However, the paper focuses on the meanings of auto-owning created by Chinese students who make decisions about the purchase and use of their autos within a social world oriented primarily to other Chinese students and societal ideas about auto-owning circulating among friends, family and society in China. For Chinese students, car owning encompasses meanings of status, safety and sociability that are created within the context of study abroad.     

The belonging model of trust

Although we know that high‐quality employee–organization relationships are beneficial, these relationships are complex and not fully understood, especially among employees of nonprofit organizations. In particular, we know little about how these employees perceive trust, which may overlook an important contributor to effective management. We begin to address this issue by testing a new theoretical model that conceptualizes perceived insider status, psychological ownership, and organizational identification as foundations for the perception of justice and subsequent trust. Our results indicate that psychological ownership and perceived insider status relate to trust through procedural and interpersonal justice. These results contrast those typically found in for‐profit contexts in that organizational identification did not predict justice and that distributive and informational justice did not predict trust.     

Through community eyes: the transition of international organizations from community aid to development in postconflict Sierra Leone

Sierra Leone experienced an 11-year civil war, brutalizing its people and destroying its communities. With the cessation of violence, international organizations helped to secure peace, deliver aid and supplies, and, after, assist with development projects. This grounded theory study, which aims to understand the role these organizations played from the viewpoint of community members in 2 communities, posits that community members’ regard of international organizations lessened as their efforts transitioned from securing the peace and relief efforts to aid for development. Highlighted are the successes and challenges of this work and a broad discussion of implications and recommendations.     

The relationship between ethnicity and fertility in New Zealand

While there is a global shift towards smaller families, some groups maintain relatively high fertility rates. The 2013 New Zealand census data were used to investigate the nature of fertility between ethnicities in New Zealand. The NZ Deprivation Index 2013 was used as a measure of socioeconomic status to determine the relationships with fertility. The results mirror research outside of New Zealand in that socioeconomic status is inversely correlated to fertility. Using crude average fertility rates, sole-ethnicity Pasifika and Māori ethnic groups still have substantially higher fertility than sole-ethnicity Europeans and Asians ethnic groups, even when simultaneously accounting for age, socioeconomic status, education, and religious affiliation. Christians have more children than individuals reportedly without any religion, and fertility rates drop on average for mothers who have higher formal qualifications. Our findings suggest that cultural, or other ethnic-specific factors differentially affect fertility for Māori, Pasifika, New Zealand European, and Asians as aggregated ethnic categories, respectively.     

Socioeconomic status and the dynamics of preferences for income inequality in the United States, 1978–2016

Although considerable evidence indicates that public preferences for income inequality and redistribution vary across socioeconomic groups (i.e., occupation and income), much less is known about the temporal dynamics of these preferences. The purpose of this study is (a) to examine whether the attitudinal distance between managerial/professional workers and unskilled manual workers has changed (converged or diverged) over time and to (b) explore the reasons for and implications of the dynamics of preferences in the past several decades. Using data from the General Social Survey 1978–2016 (23 time‐points; N = 27,211), this study finds that the influence of occupational class has lost some of its significance in shaping public preferences for income inequality and that the declining effect of occupation can be explained in part by the attitudinal convergence between better‐ and less‐educated citizens. Findings suggest that proequality coalitions across educational boundaries play a remedial role in bridging the occupational divide over government redistribution in the United States.     

薛福成与中英梅生私运军火一案的交涉

梅生案是上海、镇江两海关在1891年查获的一起以英国人梅生为首的私运军火案。由于治外法权的存在,该案由上海会审公廨审理,最终的结果是判处梅生九个月监禁。此案显然是重罪轻判,清政府对此判决深为不满,责令当时的驻英大使薛福成就此案与英国外务部进行交涉。经过多次艰难的交涉,梅生最终被驱逐出中国,这在一定程度上维护了中国的尊严,阻止了军火走私的蔓延之势,从而为中国赢得了一个有利的国际、国内环境。     

我国小城镇发展状况、对策与展望

“发展小城镇 ,是带动农村经济和社会发展的一个大战略”,小城镇在我国社会经济发展和城镇化进程中起着越来越重要的作用。文章界定了小城镇的定义 ,对小城镇发展现状进行了评述 ,通过分析小城镇发展存在问题 ,提出了相应对策 ,并对我国小城镇发展做了展望