On diagnostic checking of the autoregressive conditional intensity model

The autoregressive conditional intensity model proposed by Russell (1998) is a promising option for fitting multivariate high frequency irregularly spaced data. The authors acknowledge the validity of this model by showing the independence of its generalized residuals, a crucial assumption of the model formulation not readily recognized by researchers. The authors derive the large‐sample distribution of the autocorrelations of the generalized residual series and use it to construct a goodness‐of‐fit test for the model. Empirical results compare the performance of their test with other off‐the‐shelf tests such as the Ljung–Box test. They illustrate the use of their test with transaction records of the HSBC stock.     

积极老龄化框架下老年社会参与的难点及对策

通过对三种老龄观的比较,揭示了积极老龄化的内涵、特点以及实现该战略所需的前提条件,在此基础上,从目前社会发展状况和老年人自身主观状态两个方面分析了我国在推进积极老龄化战略方面的难点,并在认可发展经济是第一推动力的同时提出了两点解决问题的对策,以期能够将积极老龄化战略付诸于社会实践。     

Marital disruption and economic well-being: a comparative analysis

Summary.  Though there is a considerable literature concerned with the economic consequences of marital breakdown, there is still substantial disagreement in terms of its magnitude. One of the major problems underlying this debate is how economic well-being is defined. We implement several measures of well-being of monetary and multidimensional nature by using data from the European Community Household Panel. Another issue in this literature concerns selection bias of divorcing couples. We tackle this issue by using a propensity score matching technique combined with a difference-in-differences estimator. Results confirm the importance of the definition of well-being. We find a strong gender bias when using monetary measures but a considerably lower bias, and for some countries non-existent, when using non-monetary indices.     

Organizational-level interventions to reduce occupational stressors

Occupational stress research continues to grow, and is increasingly being used to inform national policy on worker health and well-being. Most models of occupational stress emphasize notions of person-environment fit. Two approaches for intervention to minimize adverse consequences of occupational stress follow from such models. One emphasizes the strengthening and enhancement of indwiduals and their resources, the other emphasizes the reduction ofcommon workplace-based sources ofoccupational stress. This paper reviews 10 organizational-level interventions to reduce stress at work which have been examined in various field studies. These interventions were generally found to have positive effects, and, given the limited success of individual-level interventions in addressing occupational sources of stress, should be encouraged.     

综合治理:解决城市流浪儿童问题的根本途径——基于江西南昌市救助管理站的调查

目前我国城市流浪儿童救助保护工作已进入一个新的发展阶段,本文通过实地调查,分析了当前城市流浪儿童救助过程中存在的问题,探讨了解决城市流浪儿童问题综合治理模式。这一模式将政府和民间组织、教育机构、医疗部门、公安交通、社区等纳入流浪儿童救助保护体系,形成政府统一领导、各部门协调工作、民间组织和社区共同参与的局面,本文同时提出了实施综合治理的途径和方法。     

Alcohol abuse on a college campus: A needs assessment

This paper reports the results of a needs assessment study conducted by a university-based alcohol abuse prevention project. Data are presented on the drinking patterns and drinking problems of a random sample of 462 students. Results suggest that students are experiencing numerous difficulties in the physical, educational, legal and psychosocial areas due to their use of alcoholic beverages. Implications for prevention and intervention programming are discussed and the need for planning programs from a data-based perspective rather than a rational and intuitive approach is stressed.     

Leverage and evaluation effectiveness

Weaknesses in evaluations often can be traced to structural limitations in the positions of evaluation researchers. Conventional human relations techniques often are an insufficient basis for securing strong support for evaluation research. Strategies for increasing evaluation research leverage are reviewed. Alignment of evaluation research with regulatory bodies with authority to suspend public program expenditures is advocated. Several likely obstacles in the development of the regulatory evaluation model are anticipated and addressed.     

Local policy networks in the programme Social City—a case in point for new forms of governance in the field of local social work and urban planning1 Lokale Politiknetzwerke im Programm Soziale Stadt—ein Beispielfall für neue Formen von governance im Bereich lokaler Sozialer Arbeit und Stadtplanung

The federal programme Social City represents a concept that is different from traditional urban planning, social work and local economic development as well as planning concepts in various ways. The developmental processes to be set into motion on the level of city districts:

• should make cooperation between various sectors and actors a key issue;

• should encourage them to invest into this cooperation and use the resources to be brought about by their participation and

• furthermore, the participation of various groups of the local population is foreseen.

Building up the respective institutional premises for this kind of networking and participation is part of the programme. Thereby urban planning and policies in social work and social services are to be brought into cooperation. The paper is based on an evaluative study of such local policy networks as they take place in one of the Länder, Hessen. Central results of the analysis will be presented, and suggestions for the programme's further development as a new concept of governance at the local level include some reflections on its potential for legitimising social work in community building.     

自我职业生涯管理对职业决策质量的作用机制

本文采用人岗匹配来衡量职业决策质量,分析自我职业生涯管理、职业自我概念对员工职业选择与决策过程中实现人岗匹配的作用。以611名企业员工为研究对象,运用分层回归与结构方程模型的方法进行实证分析。研究发现:自我职业生涯管理对职业自我概念有正向的显著影响;员工工作流动前的自我职业生涯管理对工作流动后的人岗匹配具有正向的显著影响;员工工作流动前的职业自我概念对工作流动后的人岗匹配具有正向的显著影响;员工职业自我概念在自我职业生涯管理对人岗匹配的影响中起到部分中介作用。     

以性统情，裱丽婉至--杨慎“主情”诗学观念及其创作实践研究

杨慎在哲学上主张“合性情”,反对将“性”“情”割裂来谈,同时又强调“以性统情”,使情欲在性的指引下得到合理发展与满足。杨慎“约情合性”“缘情绮靡”“含蓄蕴藉”的诗学主张便是这种“性情”观的体现。他还以自己的创作部分地实践了这种诗学观念,从而形成一种“穰丽婉至”的诗风。