全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2947篇 |
免费 | 121篇 |
国内免费 | 37篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 234篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 13篇 |
人口学 | 95篇 |
丛书文集 | 184篇 |
理论方法论 | 66篇 |
综合类 | 1857篇 |
社会学 | 90篇 |
统计学 | 564篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 6篇 |
2023年 | 22篇 |
2022年 | 28篇 |
2021年 | 32篇 |
2020年 | 52篇 |
2019年 | 61篇 |
2018年 | 80篇 |
2017年 | 100篇 |
2016年 | 94篇 |
2015年 | 109篇 |
2014年 | 206篇 |
2013年 | 273篇 |
2012年 | 213篇 |
2011年 | 253篇 |
2010年 | 183篇 |
2009年 | 140篇 |
2008年 | 210篇 |
2007年 | 211篇 |
2006年 | 165篇 |
2005年 | 134篇 |
2004年 | 106篇 |
2003年 | 113篇 |
2002年 | 71篇 |
2001年 | 68篇 |
2000年 | 57篇 |
1999年 | 21篇 |
1998年 | 15篇 |
1997年 | 15篇 |
1996年 | 16篇 |
1995年 | 16篇 |
1994年 | 8篇 |
1993年 | 9篇 |
1992年 | 4篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 3篇 |
1989年 | 2篇 |
1988年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有3105条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
61.
Jun Zhang 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(24):12165-12193
We study partial linear single-index models (PLSiMs) when the response and the covariates in the parametric part are measured with additive distortion measurement errors. These distortions are modeled by unknown functions of a commonly observable confounding variable. We use the semiparametric profile least-squares method to estimate the parameters in the PLSiMs based on the residuals obtained from the distorted variables and confounding variable. We also employ the smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty (SCAD) to select the relevant variables in the PLSiMs. We show that the resulting SCAD estimators are consistent and possess the oracle property. For the non parametric link function, we construct the simultaneous confidence bands and obtain the asymptotic distribution of the maximum absolute deviation between the estimated link function and the true link function. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed methods and a real dataset is analyzed for illustration. 相似文献
62.
We consider the estimation of the conditional hazard function of a scalar response variable Y given a Hilbertian random variable X when the observations are linked via a single-index structure in the quasi-associated framework. We establish the pointwise almost complete convergence and the uniform almost complete convergence (with the rate) of the estimate of this model. A simulation is given to illustrate the good behavior in the practice of our methodology. 相似文献
63.
首先对公平与效率做出了精确定义,确定其指标,然后测度由于收入分配总量和结构引致的公平与效率的变化量,在此基础上构建了一个公平效率指数,用来反映中国二者关系的变化及其协调程度,最后采用目标优化的方法对收入分配总量和结构进行了优化,根据优化结果提出了改善收入分配关系的建议。 相似文献
64.
We present an evolutionary perspective on charismatic leadership, arguing that charisma has evolved as a credible signal of a person's ability to solve a coordination challenge requiring urgent collective action from group members. We suggest that a better understanding of charisma's evolutionary and biological origins and functions can provide a broader perspective in which to situate current debates surrounding the utility and validity of charismatic leadership as a construct in the social sciences. We outline several key challenges which have shaped our followership psychology, and argue that the benefits of successful coordination in ancestral environments has led to the evolution of context-dependent psychological mechanisms which are especially attuned to cues and signals of outstanding personal leadership qualities. We elaborate on several implications of this signaling hypothesis of charismatic leadership, including opportunities for deception (dishonest signaling) and for large-scale coordination. 相似文献
65.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(10):1954-1969
ABSTRACTStrongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying processes. 相似文献
66.
Antonello D'Ambra 《统计学通讯:理论与方法》2017,46(6):2942-2954
Taguchi's statistic has long been known to be a more appropriate measure of association of the dependence for ordinal variables compared to the Pearson chi-squared statistic. Therefore, there is some advantage in using Taguchi's statistic in the correspondence analysis context when a two-way contingency table consists at least of an ordinal categorical variable. The aim of this paper, considering the contingency table with two ordinal categorical variables, is to show a decomposition of Taguchi's index into linear, quadratic and higher-order components. This decomposition has been developed using Emerson's orthogonal polynomials. Moreover, two case studies to explain the methodology have been analyzed. 相似文献
67.
本文从与发展内涵相关的人类发展的诸项指数、国家实力概念的探讨情况,论述了民族素质在现代发展概念中的重要地位. 相似文献
68.
An Exploration of the Need to Build an Evaluation Index System for Economic and Social Development in the Southwest’s Ethnic Region 下载免费PDF全文
Liu Xiulan 《民族学刊》2015,(3)
An evaluation index system for eco ̄nomic and social development is guiding the trends and actions of economic development in different countries or regions. However,the evaluation index system should b... 相似文献
69.
传统健康体检主要通过对单次体检指标进行横向比较和静态分析,忽略个体差异,纯粹从指标高低来判断体检者健康状况与身体状态,难以及时发现体检者可能存在的疾病隐患。由于个体体检指标具有样本量小、信息不确定、数据类型异构、影响因素构成复杂等特征,传统以大样本为基础的数学模型均难以适应此类小数据系统的建模要求。为此,通过建立适用于人体主要指标趋势预测的灰色系统模型(简称HIGM(1,1)模型),实现对人体主要健康指标的动态建模与趋势分析,从而可以掌握体检者未来一段时间身体指标的变化趋势及可能存在的疾病隐患。研究成果对提升体检效果、强化体检意义,促进灰色理论与现实问题的有效对接等方面,均具有积极意义。 相似文献
70.
股票市场的日历效应历来受到学者和投资者的广泛关注,研究发现股市存在节日效应、月份效应与周内效应,但是针对日内效应的研究不多见.利用沪深股指2004年~2016年的高频数据,实证检验中国沪深股市是否存在日内效应,结果表明:中国沪深股市整体上存在开盘效应与收盘效应,但在牛市、熊市期间的表现形式存在差异,股指收益在牛市期间表现出正向开盘效应,在熊市期间表现出负向开盘效应,股指波动在熊市期间的开盘效应更为明显.基于滚动窗口法的进一步研究发现:股指收益开盘效应和收盘效应的变化领先于股指走势的变化,股指收益和波动的开盘效应或收盘效应存在一定程度的替代现象.研究有助于投资者合理地制定投资策略,对监管部门维护市场秩序具有一定的参考价值. 相似文献