全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2200篇 |
免费 | 70篇 |
国内免费 | 28篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 388篇 |
民族学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 25篇 |
丛书文集 | 52篇 |
理论方法论 | 21篇 |
综合类 | 867篇 |
社会学 | 111篇 |
统计学 | 832篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 3篇 |
2023年 | 13篇 |
2022年 | 38篇 |
2021年 | 41篇 |
2020年 | 37篇 |
2019年 | 66篇 |
2018年 | 58篇 |
2017年 | 104篇 |
2016年 | 78篇 |
2015年 | 95篇 |
2014年 | 102篇 |
2013年 | 390篇 |
2012年 | 230篇 |
2011年 | 127篇 |
2010年 | 73篇 |
2009年 | 95篇 |
2008年 | 74篇 |
2007年 | 99篇 |
2006年 | 79篇 |
2005年 | 89篇 |
2004年 | 65篇 |
2003年 | 58篇 |
2002年 | 35篇 |
2001年 | 49篇 |
2000年 | 32篇 |
1999年 | 31篇 |
1998年 | 16篇 |
1997年 | 17篇 |
1996年 | 23篇 |
1995年 | 17篇 |
1994年 | 11篇 |
1993年 | 12篇 |
1992年 | 15篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 7篇 |
1989年 | 4篇 |
1988年 | 2篇 |
1987年 | 5篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有2298条查询结果,搜索用时 609 毫秒
21.
提出了磁盖势阱(MLPW)一种静电装置,该装置是在球形静电势阱的外围加上磁盖而构成的,可用于受控核聚变.通过建立磁盖势阱中带电粒子的运动方程并取单粒子谐振子近似以及运用自洽场的统计方法,球形聚变炉内大量带电粒子的集体行为被计算机所研究和模拟.由于使用了电场与磁场的联合约束,与单独的磁约束或惯性约束受控核聚变相比,所需达到的技术指标将有所改善,工程技术上的难度也会有所降低 相似文献
22.
23.
24.
基于MCMC稳态模拟的贝叶斯经验费率厘定信用模型 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2
B黨lmann-Straub model is one of the most famous applications of the Bayesian method for the experience rate making.However,by the traditional B黨lmann-Straub model one cannot get the unbiased posterior estimation of the parameters when there is not sufficient prior information for the structural parameters;What's more,the difficult of computing high dimension numeration limits the application of Bayesian method.This paper introduces the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulaton method based on the Gibbs sampling after analyzing the structure of the B黨lmann-Straub model and sets up the Bayesian credibility model for estimating the predictive risk premium.Also by using the results of the numeration analysis,this paper proves that from this model one can get the posterior distributions of the parameters dynamically and the posterior estimation of the censoring parameters in the situation that exists unknown parameters,as well as improve the precision of the numeration,which can be helpful to find the heterogeneity of the premium. 相似文献
25.
26.
27.
High-tech research infrastructure is essential for state-of-the-art research, but requires many resources. Relatively weak actors, such as SMEs, cannot secure enough of those. Applying the concept of collaborative consumption via digital platforms, we examine the cooperative behavior of Korean SMEs that share research equipment to overcome their lack of resources. Also, we analyze configurations of a collaborative consumption network using the Exponential Random Graph Model. Network structural factor analysis shows sufficient effects of network positive feedback through cooperative consumption with a variety of popular providers and attributes analysis shows that SMEs frequently engage in collaborative consumption with their counterparts in the same region. This new cooperative model can achieve a virtuous cycle of policies, as it increases the efficiency of research infrastructure, preventing the unnecessary building of new research equipment and enabling relocation of underutilized infrastructure and online reservation of equipment. 相似文献
28.
Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is the most commonly used approach for evaluating healthcare efficiency [B. Hollingsworth, The measurement of efficiency and productivity of health care delivery. Health Economics 17(10) (2008), pp. 1107–1128], but a long-standing concern is that DEA assumes that data are measured without error. This is quite unlikely, and DEA and other efficiency analysis techniques may yield biased efficiency estimates if it is not realized [B.J. Gajewski, R. Lee, M. Bott, U. Piamjariyakul, and R.L. Taunton, On estimating the distribution of data envelopment analysis efficiency scores: an application to nursing homes’ care planning process. Journal of Applied Statistics 36(9) (2009), pp. 933–944; J. Ruggiero, Data envelopment analysis with stochastic data. Journal of the Operational Research Society 55 (2004), pp. 1008–1012]. We propose to address measurement error systematically using a Bayesian method (Bayesian DEA). We will apply Bayesian DEA to data from the National Database of Nursing Quality Indicators® to estimate nursing units’ efficiency. Several external reliability studies inform the posterior distribution of the measurement error on the DEA variables. We will discuss the case of generalizing the approach to situations where an external reliability study is not feasible. 相似文献
29.
采用4种Backtesting检验方法,检验22个常态和时变投资组合动态VaR预测模型的风险预测精度,发现GJR_GPD_TV_Copula具有最高的投资组合风险预测精度,GJR_GPD_Copula的拟合、密度预测和组合风险预测精度都要高于GJR_SKST_Copula,且Copula模型的组合风险预测精度分别与拟合精度和密度预测精度存在较弱的正相关关系. 相似文献
30.
《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2012,82(1-4):143-174
Minimum information bivariate distributions with uniform marginals and a specified rank correlation are studied in this paper. These distributions play an important role in a particular way of modeling dependent random variables which has been used in the computer code UNICORN for carrying out uncertainty analyses. It is shown that these minimum information distributions have a particular form which makes simulation of conditional distributions very simple. Approximations to the continuous distributions are discussed and explicit formulae are determined. Finally a relation is discussed to DAD theorems, and a numerical algorithm is given (which has geometric rate of covergence) for determining the minimum information distributions. 相似文献