DEVIL'S ADVOCACY AND DIALECTICAL INQUIRY EFFECTS ON PREDICTION PERFORMANCE: TASK INVOLVEMENT AS A MEDIATING VARIABLE

Critics of previous laboratory experiments comparing devil's advocacy (DA) to dialectical inquiry (DI) have suggested that these experiments produced misleading results because (1) they used subjects who had low levels of task involvement and (2) the DI treatment used was confusing to subjects and required further explanation to be useful. The present study examines the effects of four inquiry methods—expert (E), DA, DI, and DI with explanatory statement (DI+)—on subjects' performance at a financial prediction task. Results show that DA, DI, and DI + were superior to E when the state of the world differed significantly from assumptions underlying the expert's plan. For subjects with high task involvement, DI and DI + were more effective than E and DA. The results support some of the criticisms of previous laboratory research and suggest that future research on these decision aids should include task involvement as a factor.     

知识经济与甘肃人力资源的开发管理

本文在探讨知识经济时代人力资源开发与管理特点的基础上 ,从劳动力资源、人才资源等方面入手 ,分析了甘肃人力资源的现状 ,提出了我省应大力发展教育、注重素质培养 ,营造“尊重知识 ,尊重人才”的社会氛围 ,建立合理的人才资源流动、使用新机制等政策性建议     

试论我国行政事业单位人力资源管理的现状及对策

行政事业单位的管理水平对整个国民经济的发展有着重要的作用。目前我国人力资源管理还存在种种缺陷,为改变现状,从宏观上应改革现有的行政事业单位管理体制;从微观上对基层工作人员引入竞争机制,对中上层干部,实行终身雇佣制,同时应建立公平的干部选拔机制和合理的分配体制。     

Decision settings analysis – a tool for analysis and design of human activity systems

The paper describes a methodology to be used for analysis and design of human activity systems. The methodology is based on an analysis of the decision settings whereas most other decision analysis methodologies are analysing the process. The decision concept is analysed and discussed. A distinction between programmed and programmable as well as non-programmed and non-programmable decisions is proposed. A classification of different information types for decision making is presented. A methodology based on a systemic and systematic analysis of the information requirements of an organization is proposed. This methodology also indicates organizational discrepancies and information imbalances. The methodology focuses the settings of the decisions on all levels of organizations. The methodology can be regarded as a dynamic, learning system. The author proposes further research on the individuals decision making abilities.     

Coherent mortality forecasting by the weighted multilevel functional principal component approach

In human mortality modelling, if a population consists of several subpopulations it can be desirable to model their mortality rates simultaneously while taking into account the heterogeneity among them. The mortality forecasting methods tend to result in divergent forecasts for subpopulations when independence is assumed. However, under closely related social, economic and biological backgrounds, mortality patterns of these subpopulations are expected to be non-divergent in the future. In this article, we propose a new method for coherent modelling and forecasting of mortality rates for multiple subpopulations, in the sense of nondivergent life expectancy among subpopulations. The mortality rates of subpopulations are treated as multilevel functional data and a weighted multilevel functional principal component (wMFPCA) approach is proposed to model and forecast them. The proposed model is applied to sex-specific data for nine developed countries, and the results show that, in terms of overall forecasting accuracy, the model outperforms the independent model and the Product-Ratio model as well as the unweighted multilevel functional principal component approach.     

以迹求心，破解先秦诸子六大迷津

思考中国现在的文明形态和人文气象需要建立起贯通文、史、哲、宗教、人类学的人文学,其战略思想和核心方法是将空间维度有机嵌入时间维度,确立汉族和少数民族共同创造中华文明的整体文化观,高度关注并科学对待不同文化层次的本质价值和互动关系问题,还原历史文化典籍蕴藏的生命状态和生命过程。具体到先秦诸子研究领域,则可以利用上述文化要义破解诸如老子的母系氏族特征、“唯女子与小人为难养也”的含义、孙武其人的有无、墨子的出生地、庄子的家世、《疠怜王》的作者等六大迷津。     

LGBTQI-identified human rights defenders: courage in the face of adversity at the United Nations

The role of LGBTQI human rights defenders in the international arena at the United Nations (UN) is a particularly risky and insecure one, especially for those who themselves identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transsexual, transgender, two spirit, queer, and intersex (LGBTQI). This article focuses on the anecdotal experiences of LGBTQI-identified human rights defenders and their work at the UN, observed and noted during a research study examining the degree of recognition and legitimacy LGBTQIs have at the UN. Much courage is required on the part of LGBTQI-identified human rights defenders who, while defending others in their communities, themselves face opposition from those within the UN who hold traditional, religious, and culturally based values, as well as a result of state sovereignty and state-sanctioned criminalisation of their gender and sexual diversity.     

Framing human rights: exploring storytelling within internet companies

This article explores human rights storytelling within two of the dominant internet companies, Google and Facebook. Based on interview with company staff as well as analysis of publicly available statements, the article examines how human rights are framed, made sense of and translated into company norms, products, and governance structures. The paper argues that the companies’ framing in many respects resembles that of the United States’ online freedom agenda, celebrating the liberating power of the internet and perceiving human rights as primarily safeguards against repressive governments. The companies see freedom of expression as part of their DNA and do not perceive any contradiction between this standard and business practices that may impact negatively on users’ freedom of expression, such as terms of service enforcement. Likewise, there is no sense of conflict between the online business model and their users’ right to privacy.     

Social Enterprise Among University-Based Centers in US Schools of Social Work

Globally, social enterprise is used increasingly by nonprofit organizations to create new funding streams in the face of dwindling public funds. In light of evidence that institutions of higher education are making similar adaptations, this study explores the extent to which academic centers in US schools of social work are using social enterprise strategies to fund mission efforts. Interviews with the directors of 16 social work research centers in 14 states reveal incentives and barriers that exist at multiple levels and considerably impact the potential viability of social enterprise in the social work academic setting. Implications for institutions of higher education and social work scholars are discussed.     

人力资本投资与地区经济协调发展

人力资本投资在地区经济协调发展中的作用在于:影响经济增长速度,进而影响地区差距;影响地区竞争优势,进而影响地区分工格局;影响落后地区贫困人口的脱贫及经济增长方式,从而影响社会的稳定和谐和可持续发展的实现。从人力资本投入总量及条件等方面看,东中西部人力资本投资情况存在较大差异,它影响了地区经济的协调发展。必须注重全局,制订人力资本投资规划;在强化区域投资中向人力资本投资倾斜;整合落后地区教育资源,加大中西部地区基础教育的投入,开放教育市场,引进外部资金,增强中西部地区人力资本积累能力;增加农村公共卫生特别是中西部农村的公共卫生投入,全面提升落后地区人力资本质量,促进地区经济协调发展。