中国短期资本外流规模再估算及其影响因素分析

通过比较资本外流的三种核算口径，本文将间接法与权益差额调整法相结合，对我国1982-2016年资本外流的规模进行估计。结果显示，2008年全球金融危机以来，我国资本外流规模逐年增加且近年呈增速递增趋势。通过构建非限制性VAR模型，本文进一步对导致资本外流的结构性与周期性“推动”及“拉动”因素进行分析，经验结果显示，2008年全球金融危机爆发至2013年美联储货币周期转向以前，导致我国资本外流的主要因素为人民币贬值预期与我国经济周期性调整等国内“推动”因素。2014年以来，我国资本外流进一步加剧主要受美国经济复苏步伐加快以及我国房地产市场调整等国内外“拉动”与“推动”因素共同作用。其中，外部“拉动”因素是主要诱因。在资本加速流出背景下，我国金融开放步伐应渐进审慎。     

Trade policy and the United States labour market

The United States Government proposed a sweeping review of existing trade deals when the current Administration took office in January 2017. This paper reviews the ongoing changes, and considers the potential impact of two strands of the trade policy debate on the United States labour market. First, we consider policy decisions that may impact the location decision of multinational enterprises, especially within the context of the renegotiation of NAFTA. Second, we review the policy debate related to the steel industry, and the potential channels through which an import tariff on steel imports may impact the labour market.     

进口替代对中部经济发展不容忽视原因分析

从对进口的依赖度、对外资企业进口设备条件和产业结构上来分析在中部地区实施进口替代策略的必要性和现实原因,结合中部地区的基础设施、资源和市场状况提出应该在中部积极采用进口替代的发展策略来推动中部地区经济的发展。     

How U.S. research institutions are responding to the single Institutional Review Board mandate

One of the most significant changes to the Common Rule is the requirement that institutions use a single Institutional Review Board (IRB) for cooperative research in the United States, unless more than one IRB is required by state, local, or tribal law, or a signatory federal agency decides an exception is warranted. We surveyed Human Research Protection Program (HRPP) officials at the top U.S. research institutions to understand their knowledge and opinion of the mandate, what steps their institutions are taking, and difficulties their institutions are facing. One-hundred seven institutions (56.9%) responded to the survey. While support for the single-IRB mandate was positive overall, most respondents acknowledged that their institution is likely to face some difficulties complying with it. Regulatory agencies can help institutions to comply with the mandate by providing guidance concerning such issues as exceptions to the mandate, local context review, oversight, and implementation of reliance agreements, and development of policies, procedures, and best practices.     

论行政信赖保护原则

信赖保护原则是大陆法系行政法的一项基本原则。从内涵和意义、理论依据、适用等方面对它进行粗浅的探讨。     

试论我国合同信赖利益损害赔偿制度的完善

传统外观主义对合同信赖利益的保护存在局限,应采用大陆法模式,以缔约过失责任为中心,采取过错责任为原则和无过错责任为例外的二元归责原则,取消期待利益的赔偿限制,适用相当因果关系、可预见规则、过失相抵规则、损益相抵规则等,不断完善我国的信赖利益损害赔偿制度,保护交易安全、促进诚实信用的市场道德的形成。     

对外贸易与国内收入差距：基于全球125个国家的实证分析

 本文利用全球125个国家的统计数据,分所有国家、发达国家、发展中国家、亚洲发展中国家四个层面,实证分析了进出口贸易对世界各国以及不同类型国家国内收入差距的影响程度、作用以及在影响收入差距所有因素中的地位。研究结果表明：（1）对于所有国家来说,进口和出口对国家内部的收入差距影响系数较小且不显著,金融发展程度因素和高等教育因素是影响国家内部收入差距的重要因素。（2）对于发达国家来说,进口和出口因素是影响国家内部收入差距的主要因素,进口因素和出口因素的影响系数比较大且都比较显著,进口增加有利于扩大收入差距,出口增加有利于缩小收入差距。经济自由度也是影响发达国家国内收入差距的主要因素。（3）对于所有发展中国家来说,进口和出口因素对国家内部收入差距的影响系数较小且都不显著,只有外商直接投资因素和基础教育因素具有显著性。（4）对于亚洲发展中国家来说,进出口贸易因素是影响亚洲发展中国家国内收入差距的重要因素,进口有利于缩小收入差距,出口扩大了收入差距,与所有发展中国家的考察结果相比,进出口贸易对亚洲发展中国家国内收入差距的影响程度更大,且更加显著。     

人的发展:历史演进与价值理想

人的解放与发展理论,是马克思主义理论的最高视角.马克思从人的社会关系出发,以人的劳动实践为基础,以辩证否定的分析方法为指导,提出了人的发展三个阶段的学说.本文对马克思的人的发展这一学说进行了解读和阐发.     

Reliability but not bias: Developing a scale to measure preferred channels for risk information during the COVID pandemic

To develop a new measure of preferred sources for risk information, two studies asked respondents to indicate what channels they were reliant on for information about COVID-19, from 25 news channels ranging across the political spectrum. Unexpectedly, dependencies clustered around level of reliability rather than the political orientation of the news channel. In other words, each cluster included media channels from both the left and right side of the political spectrum, while dependencies clustered into sources that varied by the degree to which their content is reliable. Participants who turned to lower reliability channels indicated lower risk perceptions, less accurate probability estimations, reduced vaccination intentions, and lower protective behavioral intentions. Those inclined to use higher reliability channels indicated higher risk perceptions, more accurate probability estimations, increased vaccination intentions, and higher protective behavioral intentions. These relationships are discussed in terms of implications for our understanding of source reliance and risk perception, information sufficiency, and implications for both future research and public health interventions.     

山东利用外资的质量和水平分析——基于FDI与进出口贸易关联性视角

利用外资的质量和水平应该主要通过FDI对产业升级和经济发展的贡献来体现。通过比较沿海主要省份FDI数据,指出山东利用外资的质量和水平和山东在全国经济中的地位相比很不相称,远远落后于广东、江苏和浙江,这种差异导致了省进出口贸易的差异。进一步比较山东省内17市FDI情况,选取1998--2008年期间山东17个市实际利用FDI与进出口贸易额数据进行计量分析,验证了FDI与进出口贸易存在高度关联性。据此分析山东FDI在总体规模、技术含量、行业与来源结构、区域分布、外溢效应等方面存在的问题,并提出相应对策建议。