《校雠通义》与章学诚的义例观

章学诚《校雠通义》一书的重点在于论校雠、目录之学,其中申述的关于义例学的观念与《文史通义》一书有着整体的关系。《校雠通义》的义例观包含两层含义：第一层在于《校雠通义》的相关评说体现的关于史著的义例观,第二层在于这种义例观投射在本书的写作上,以其书的自成一体体现出来。章学诚的义例观始终围绕着史书编撰的宗旨与体例展开,《校雠通义》一书充分体现了他“辨章源流”的思想,在论史学、史传、史述、史意的各个环节中,他都强调对源流的清晰把握,并采取了会通贯穿、由博返约的学术方法。作为一部旨在于接续古代校雠学经典的专著,《校雠通义》寓含着“本末兼该,部次相从”的义例观,力图在“洞析幽渺”的基础上摧陷廓清．充分体现了史家的眼光与识断。     

关于高校学报采用外稿问题的探讨

在新的历史条件下,高校学报原有的封闭式办刊思想和内向性办刊模式正面临着挑战,适当选用高质量的校外稿件,有利于提高学报的整体质量,有利于引导和推动学校科研的健康发展,有利于形成学报自身特色.在选用外稿时应该注意一些基本的原则.     

王国维“通人之学”与“专人之学”的尺短寸长

王国维“通人之学”“专人之学”等学术思想是中国学术研究转型的重大创新,通过对王国维学术成长的梳理、学术成果的分析、学术思想的论证,对“静安之学”进行了全面系统的研究。研究认为,王国维凭借厚实的知识贮备,批判地继承西方哲学理论与中国古代哲学思想,在构建中国大文科的学科体系、研究文史哲的学术体系和中国学者的学术话语体系方面做出了全面系统实践,取得重大进展和开创性成果,堪称开一代风气的大学者;王国维以创辟胜解、通方知类的学术思辨,创立二重证据方法,探索出一条由“通人之学”到“专人之学”学问研究蹊径。系统审读、反思静安之学,对我们严肃读书风气、匡正学问研究态度、提倡学术争鸣、甄别解决知识产权争端、清除学术造假现象、规范学术研究流程,能够起到见贤思齐、弃旧图新之作用。     

Nonparametric estimation of the survival distribution in censored data

Two nonparametric estimators o f the survival distributionare discussed. The estimators were proposed by Kaplan and Meier (1958) and Breslow (1972) and are applicable when dealing with censored data. It is known that they are asymptotically unbiased and uniformly strongly consistent, and when properly normalized that they converge weakly to the same Gaussian process. In this paper, the properties of the estimators are carefully inspected in small or moderate samples. The Breslow estimator, a shrinkage version of the Kaplan-Meier, nearly always has the smaller mean square error (MSE) whenever the truesurvival probabilityis at least 0.20, but has considerably larger MSE than the Kaplan-Meier estimator when the survivalprobability is near zero.     

A bayesian analysis of trend determination in economic time series

In this paper we provide a comprehensive Bayesian posterior analysis of trend determination in general autoregressive models. Multiple lag autoregressive models with fitted drifts and time trends as well as models that allow for certain types of structural change in the deterministic components are considered. We utilize a modified information matrix-based prior that accommodates stochastic nonstationarity, takes into account the interactions between long-run and short-run dynamics and controls the degree of stochastic nonstationarity permitted. We derive analytic posterior densities for all of the trend determining parameters via the Laplace approximation to multivariate integrals. We also address the sampling properties of our posteriors under alternative data generating processes by simulation methods. We apply our Bayesian techniques to the Nelson-Plosser macroeconomic data and various stock price and dividend data. Contrary to DeJong and Whiteman (1989a,b,c), we do not find that the data overwhelmingly favor the existence of deterministic trends over stochastic trends. In addition, we find evidence supporting Perron's (1989) view that some of the Nelson and Plosser data are best construed as trend stationary with a change in the trend function occurring at 1929.     

Cointegrated systems II

The three invited papers in this special issue of Econometric Reviews on "Cointegrated Systems II" complement the previous special issue of the journal. The paper by Eric Zivot and Peter Phillips provides a comprehensive Bayesian analysis of trend determination in economic time series. Two interesting comments on some aspects of current research involving cointegration and the modelling of dynamic economic relationships are provided by Clive Granger and Denzil Fiebig.     

Amemiya‘s generalized least squares and tests of overidentification in simultaneous equation models with qualitative or limited dependent variables

Amemiya's generalized least squares method for the estimation of simultaneous equation modeis with qualitative or limited dependent variables is known to be efficient relative to many popular two stage estimators. This note points out that test statistics for overidentification restrictions can be obtained as by-products of Amerniya's generalized least squares procedure. Amemiya's procedure is shown to be a minimum chisquare method. The Amemiya procedure is valuable both for efficient estimation and for model evaluation of such models.     

深度阅读视域下幼儿园故事剧课程活动实施策略——以中班故事剧《今天运气怎么这么好》为例

摘 要:借鉴深度阅读理念，以故事剧《今天运气怎么这么好》为例，将实施深度阅读的“三个流程、三个关键词、两种能力”融合于故事剧课程活动的建构，改变传统故事学习、故事表演中重形式轻实质、重表面轻内在的弊端。整个过程凸显幼儿与故事、与环境、与成人的充分互动，重视教师的支持作用，让教师成为指导幼儿深度阅读活动的关键因素，陪伴幼儿深度卷入阅读世界，共同留下精彩足迹。     

Bibliometric analysis of production planning and control (1990–2016)

Production Planning and Control (PPC) has been one of the primary publishing outlets for operations management research for nearly three decades. This paper presents bibliometric analysis of the journal from its inception through 2016. PPC was analysed from six different perspectives to provide reliable and in-depth information about the journal’s performance and development. The analysis considered the development of the journal itself, the countries of contributing authors, authors’ academic and practitioner organisation affiliations, the top publishing and most cited authors, the most cited articles, and finally the topics of published papers through analysis of titles, keywords and abstracts. It was found that the journal is considered an outlet for both practice and academic research, reflecting changes over time in the landscape of operations management.     

提高高校学报质量之我见

高校学报的质量主要由其刊用稿件的学术水平高低和编辑工作的质量高低所决定。因此,探讨高校学报的内在质量要求和编辑的自身素质要求,对提高高校学报的质量十分必要。