论区域经济的超常规发展

所谓超常规发展,就是指区域经济能够以两位数以上的增长速度发展,实现落后地位的后发优势。至于如何实现区域经济的超常规发展,本文从世界范围内对经济超常规发展的国家和地区进行了深入的探讨,提出了只要发展思路正确,落后地区也能实现区域经济超常规发展,实现经济的后来居上。并对如何实现区域经济超常规发展提出了具体的建议。     

Do Leading Indicators Lead Peaks More Than Troughs?

We develop a novel Markov switching vector autoregressive model to investigate the possibility that leading indicators have different lead times at business cycle peaks and at troughs. In this model, coincident and leading indicators share a common Markov state process, but their cycles are nonsynchronous, with the nonsynchronicity varying across regimes. An application shows that on average the Conference Board’s Composite Leading Index leads the Composite Coincident Index by nearly 1 year at peaks but by only 1 quarter at troughs. Allowing for asymmetric lead times yields improved real-time dating and forecasting of business cycle turning points.     

农业产业化背景下的协会发展

协会在农业产业化发展中扮演着重要角色.研究发现,随着农业产业化的发展,我国目前农业生产经营领域存在的各类协会可以划分为农民专业技术协会、农产品行业协会、农业产业化龙头企业协会和农业产业化协会四类.其中农民专业技术协会属于微观层次,纵向发展的农产品行业协会和横向联合的龙头企业协会属于中观层次,由政府牵头的农业产业化协会属于宏观层次.文章论述了农业产业化背景下四类协会的成因、功能及其关系,分析其存在的问题,提出对策建议.     

Crowding out,crowding in or just a matter of transformation? Informal financial support in Portugal and Sweden

This investigation examines the role of informal financial support among university students in two different welfare states, Portugal and Sweden. Using data from a questionnaire (N = 525), students’ experiences of receiving loans and gifts, and differences in norms and attitudes towards informal financial support, are explored. The data reveal that the Swedish students receive more financial support in terms of monetary loans and gifts from persons in their social network, while for Portuguese students support from their parents to a higher degree is embedded in patterns of living conditions. Furthermore, the interaction processes of exchange of support, for both groups is characterised by reflexivity and complexity, not only framed by resource conditions, but also by relational and situational factors. The results are discussed in the theoretical framework of crowding out/crowding in theories.     

我国领导干部政绩评价结果运用研究

当前领导干部政绩评价结果运用中存在缺乏统一的国家标准、重物质奖励轻精神奖励、评价结果及运用情况不对外公开、结果运用情况缺乏跟踪总结、结果运用的方式或做法缺乏创新等问题。应通过建立统一的国家规范或标准、建立健全精神奖励机制、将评价结果及其运用情况对外公开等措施进一步推动领导干部政绩评价结果的有效运用。     

《生死疲劳》中的文化负载词及其翻译策略探讨

语言能真实地反映一个国家、一个民族的生态地域、物质文化、宗教信仰、风俗习惯等。文化负载词最能体现语言中浓厚的民族色彩和鲜明的文化个性。由于英汉两种语言之间的巨大差异，文化负载词的翻译为译者带来很大的困难和挑战。恰因如此，能否恰当地翻译文化负载词成为衡量译作是否成功的重要标志。本文以莫言的小说《生死疲劳》英译本为切入点，审视英译本中对原文文化负载词的翻译，由此挖掘文化负载词的多种翻译方法，包括直译法、音译法、意译法和文化替换法等。     

《天堂内外》:以有情之笔写现实之真

邓宏顺长篇小说《天堂内外》,植根于社会转型时期农村生活,生动展现农民的生存困境和心理变化,巧妙运用对比手法和景物描写表达情感立场,充分体现了作者对社会现实的深刻理解、对农民命运的悲悯同情以及对解决农村社会问题的殷切期待。     

领导党和执政党双重角色的准确定位

在当代中国政治文明的场景中,中国共产党实际上充当了既是领导党又是执政党的双重角色。为了切实做到依法治国和依法执政,有必要明确作为领导党与作为执政党在法治国家中的不同地位和不同作用,并给予这两种角色以准确的定位,否则即有可能由于角色的错位而导致政治体制和政治运作中的混乱。     

Constructing a global understanding of the social ecology of leaving out of home care

Engagement with globalisation is growing in the field of youth transitions from out of home care. This includes cross national exchange of research, policy and practise, regional advocacy networking and global policy development. Furthering this emerging international child welfare perspective requires extending it to countries in the developing world and building conceptual frameworks which encompass a social ecology of care leaving, including its global dimension, the latter needs to address not only the needs, expectations and rights of care leavers but also the theories of change underpinning service design and delivery. Such a model is presented combining resilience and social capital as personal assets situated within a social ecology of support. To illustrate how this provides a means to help engage with the experience of countries where there appears to be very little information available on care leaving, a small scale South African initiative is considered. SA-YES is a youth mentoring project for young people leaving a variety of out of home placements. Planned as a three-year pilot, initial results are encouraging but require more rigorous evaluation focusing on program process and outcomes, quality of interpersonal relationships and synchronisation with cultural expectations and policy environment.     

Prevalence of children with disabilities in the child welfare system and out of home placement: An examination of administrative records

This article explores the prevalence and characteristics of children with disabilities within the child welfare system using administrative data from the State of Minnesota. This study finds that more than a fifth (22%) of children with substantiated maltreatment are labeled in administrative records as having a disability, and more than one quarter of children (27.9%) over age five. The most common type of disability among children with substantiated maltreatment was emotional disturbance, while other common disabilities included intellectual and developmental disabilities and learning disabilities. Using logistic regression, this study finds that children with substantiated maltreatment with disabilities were about two times more likely to be in out of home placement than children with substantiated maltreatment without disabilities.