中美俄博弈模式分析:决策层级、动机及过程

以中美俄博弈的决策模式为研究对象,并通过列举中美和中俄两个具有合作性质的博弈案例,进而深入分析中美俄博弈的决策角色、决策动机和决策过程,指出决策角色可分为第一层级、第二层级和辅助层级,而国家利益是最重要的决策动机.为了追求决策效率,三国决策者紧密控制决策过程,防止其他权力部门分享决策权.     

Reflections on Changes in the Library and Serials Literature

Abstract

Johnson describes changes in library journal literature topics over the past one hundred years, with a focus on the period between her first Balance Point column in 2003 and this one, her last. She reminisces on her experience as a Balance Point column editor.     

企业诚信与竞争优势的关系研究--基于苏州等六地188家企业的实证调查

本文在综合和提炼了企业诚信与竞争优势的相关理论基础上,将企业诚信分为三个维度,分别是信用水平、品牌、利益相关者信任;将竞争优势分为销售业绩、发展潜力、管理绩效三个维度.本文分析了企业诚信三维度与竞争优势三维度之间的相关和回归关系,研究结论有利于企业诚信建设.     

企业营销道德水准测试的指标体系及评价方法研究

本文是“企业营销道德水准测试及评价系统”课题的前期研究成果。作者首先通过探测性调研确定了影响营销道德水准评价的企业营销行为,并在定量调研基础上将其归并为七个评价营销道德水准的维度,同样还根据定量调研的结果确定了企业营销道德水准的测评方法,为营销道德水准测试与评价系统的建立构筑了重要基础。     

Prevalence Rates of Youth Gambling Problems: Are the Current Rates Inflated?

While there is a general consensus in the literature that it is common for youth to gamble, considerable variability in the reported prevalence rates of youth problem gambling has been found. More recently, issues concerning the possible overestimation of these rates have been raised. Arguments underlying the proposition that problem gambling rates for youth are inflated are examined. It is acknowledged that more rigorous research is required, including the need for the development and refinement of current adolescent instruments and screening tools, agreement upon a gold standard criterion for adolescent problem gambling, and clarity of nomenclature issues. The advancement of scientific knowledge concerning the underlying risk factors associated with the onset and course of youth gambling involvement and the role of effective adolescent prevention and treatment programs will require these fundamental research questions to be addressed.     

OPTIMAL EXPERIMENTAL DESIGNS FOR MULTILEVEL MODELS WITH COVARIATES

In this paper optimal experimental designs for multilevel models with covariates and two levels of nesting are considered. Multilevel models are used to describe the relationship between an outcome variable and a treatment condition and covariate. It is assumed that the outcome variable is measured on a continuous scale. As optimality criteria D-optimality, and L-optimality are chosen. It is shown that pre-stratification on the covariate leads to a more efficient design and that the person level is the optimal level of randomization. Furthermore, optimal sample sizes are given and it is shown that these do not depend on the optimality criterion when randomization is done at the group level.     

Lot sensitive double sampling plan (lsdsp)

A sampling plan is derived for compliance testing providing consumer protection.     

On the analysis of multivariate repeated measures designs

The relationship between the mixed-model analysis and multivariate approach to a repeated measures design with multiple responses is presented. It is shown that by taking the trace of the appropriate submatrix of the hypothesis (error) sums of squares and crossproducts (SSCP) matrix obtained from the multivariate approach, one can get the hypothesis (error) SSCP matrix for the mixed-model analysis. Thus, when analyzing data from a multivariate repeated measures design, it is advantageous to use the multivariate approach because the result of the mixed-model analysis can also be obtained without additional computation.     

电磁参数测试用部分填充试样矩形波导传感器

提出了一种新型的用于测试中高损耗材料电磁参数（复介电常数与复磁导率）的部分填充试样的矩形波导传感器模型。通过计算该类波导的电磁场的解和利用模式分析法，推导出被测材料的电磁参数（ε、μ）与传感器网络的Ｓ参数间的数学关系，给出了数值计算结果。     

机构改革背景下的中国计划生育新去向

结合实践对机构改革背景下的中国计划生育未来走向进行了探讨。认为:中国人口形势的根本性变化、计划生育负效应逐渐显现、法外职能拓展过度及职能交叉与计划生育工作特色渐失、自我封闭和思想僵化、未对变化了的人口形势适时作出政策回应是导致人口计生部门被撤并的主要原因。人口计生部门多对突然降临的机构改革缺少必要的心理准备,思想上出现一时混乱实属必然。伴随着机构改革,人口计生工作被弱化、卫生与计生冲突不可避免。而计划生育政策调整以及伴随而来的历史遗留问题的消解是国家卫生计生委与国家发改委将面临的无法回避的新问题。