局部平稳过程、稳定过程及GARCH模型的比较研究

本文在Granger（2005）[1]研究成果的基础上对局部平稳过程的大样本性质进行了深入探讨,发现了一些颇具实际价值的理论结果,弥补了Granger（2005）仅利用预测效果标准得到金融数据生成过程的不足,进一步给出了适合于实证分析的判断金融数据生成过程的标准,并在此基础上详细讨论了局部平稳过程、稳定过程及GARCH模型在大样本情况下的区别。本文运用研究得到的结果,在非平稳框架下对中国股票市场上证180指数进行了分析,发现上证180指数收益率具有明显的非平稳特性,并在此基础上进一步讨论了中国股票市场的市场有效性问题。     

The City of Saskatoon’s Local Area Planning Program: A Case Study

The City of Saskatoon’s Local Area Planning (LAP) Program is a community-based approach to developing comprehensive neighbourhood plans. In order to achieve sustainable and implementable Local Area Plans (LAPs), the City of Saskatoon has been using innovative methods of collaborative decision-making to engage citizens. The program has been recognized nationally by the Federation of Canadian Municipalities for demonstrating innovative approaches to citizen engagement in Sustainable Community Planning. A total of eight LAPs have been adopted by City Council and 212 recommendations have been approved, with 101 of these recommendations being completed, 71 currently in progress and 40 to be determined. Great strides have been made to implement the LAPs by allocating resources for coordinating implementation, working with communities, and for implementing the various recommendations. In addition, over 1,000 people representing various interests have participated in one or more LAP Committee or implementation meetings. Through this participation, partnerships have been formed, program and service delivery has been improved, and most importantly, communities have taken ownership of their plans. After completing eight LAPs, the LAP communities, City Council and city planners have felt the need to measure ongoing changes and progress in the LAP communities. In recognition of this, the City of Saskatoon’s City Planning Branch will be working with LAP communities, the Community-University Institute for Social Research (CUISR) and other stakeholders to develop a framework for statistically measuring changes in LAP communities and to monitor “Neighbourhood Success Factors”. The Neighbourhood Success Factors will work to detect serious socio-economic conditions before they reach a point of crisis. This paper will first describe the LAP Program before reviewing the proposed framework for statistically measuring changes in Saskatoon’s neighbourhoods.

The Quality of Life in Some Local Metropolitan Labour Markets in Italy

This study forms part of a general programme of territorial research in Italy developed by the Italian National Statistical Institute (ISTAT). In particular we have studied the metropolitan communes, both with regard to movements within the city and to the attraction cities exert over the communes in the surrounding areas. Based on the daily work-related flows, we have identified the Local Labour Systems (LLSs). The LLSs having as their hub the twelve metropolitan communes constitute the Local Metropolitan Systems (LMSs). Among these we have chosen to analyse in detail the quality of life in the Systems of Milan, Genoa and Palermo, which have been singled out as exemplary cases of current socio-economic differentiations.     

地方利益、区域经济一体化合作与福祉

地方利益包括地方政府官员的利益与地方公利,其中,地方政府官员利益居于核心层并发挥基础性、关键性作用.地方政府官员的利益又包括物质利益与非物质利益,非物质利益中的政治利益至关重要.地方利益引致地方政府行为变异,导致区域经济不合作,进而造成福祉损失.只有从地方利益入手,准确清晰地界定并规范和约束地方利益,并进行相应的制度创新,才能真正推动我国区域经济一体化合作,增进福祉.     

Developing spatial inequalities in carbon appropriation: A sociological analysis of changing local emissions across the United States

This study examines an overlooked dynamic in sociological research on greenhouse gas emissions: how local areas appropriate the global carbon cycle for use and exchange purposes as they develop. Drawing on theories of place and space, we hypothesize that development differentially drives and spatially decouples use- and exchange-oriented emissions at the local level. To test our hypotheses, we integrate longitudinal, county-level data on residential and industrial emissions from the Vulcan Project with demographic, economic and environmental data from the U.S. Census Bureau and National Land Change Database. Results from spatial regression models with two-way fixed-effects indicate that alongside innovations and efficiencies capable of reducing environmentally harmful effects of development comes a spatial disarticulation between carbon-intensive production and consumption within as well as across societies. Implications for existing theory, methods and policy are discussed.     

Unequal Partners? Local Government Reorganization and the Voluntary Sector

British local government has recently undergone its most far-reaching reorganization for twenty-five years. The impact of this reorganization was considerable within local authorities but it also substantially affected other organizations with which they worked at a local level. This paper explores the perspectives of voluntary sector organizations involved in social care: a set of actors which, prior to reorganization, had been encouraged by central and local government, through notions of partnership and through community care legislation, to undertake more direct roles in service delivery, consultation and strategic planning. During the consultative period prior to reorganization, many voluntary organizations reported that they had been marginal to the process. Reflecting on the process of reorganization itself, many voluntary organization respondents commented that it had been disruptive and provoked considerable anxiety. Post-reorganization, voluntary organizations felt that rebuilding of relationships was necessary and that the promise of partnership had meant little in practice at a time of potential crisis for local.     

A play for rurality – Modernization versus local autonomy

It is common to understand the governing of rural space as the outcome of a conflict between some romantic protectors of a lost past on the one hand, and the people who worry about creating economic values on the other. However, the power to shape the rural should not only be searched for in the open struggle between protectors and developers, but also should be analysed at the level of discourse, in the play between discourses about how to deal with the rural. In this paper I therefore present a modernist discourse and demonstrate how taken-for-granted truths about the rural – its history, its present and its future – are made possible by this discourse. Secondly, I will reveal how rurality takes on a different meaning in an alternative to the modernist discourse, emphasizing local and regional autonomy. In demonstrating that rurality is contingent upon a play between these two discourses, I want to provide some new insights into an important force behind the persistence of ideas about rurality in Norway.     

论行政规范性文件立法备案制度的问题与完善

地方人大常委会对行政规范性文件的备案制度是一种重要的立法监督制度,但却存在着法律规范粗疏、实际监督缺位的问题。为发挥地方人大常委会对行政规范性文件的监督实效,备案制度应在主动审查制度、公民审查建议权的回复机制、备案监督程序和监督责任、提高人大常委会监督能力上予以完善。     

绿色大学评价指标体系研究

构建评价指标体系是评价绿色大学的前提。采用目标层、准则层、指标层三层结构,从绿色教育、绿色校园、绿色科研、绿色实践、绿色办学5个方面,构建了绿色大学的评价指标体系。本文提出了百分制权重加和评价方法,并将权重加和分值划分为5个等级。     

抉择与共生:云南边民基督教信仰的“地方性”建构——基于盈江县支那乡白岩傈僳族村的人类学考察

白岩傈僳族村的基督教信仰,可看做研究云南边民基督教"地方性"建构历程中的一个实例与缩影。文章从云南基督教的渊源与传播史出发,探讨基督教传入后白岩傈僳族的文字、公共空间、节日与婚丧等文化的"地方性"建构;以人类学为视阈,提出在差异中抉择,可视为"共生"的架构想象,通过对上述"地方性"的逐一分析,试图对"共生"之原因进行二维度的分析。最终认为,在白岩傈僳族与基督教共同作用下的信仰建构历程中,既是双方生存的策略,亦是双方交融的结果。具体说来,抉择是武器,而共生是智慧。