企业非确定型决策与中庸

在企业常用的非确定型决策方法中 ,决策者对未来所持的态度不同 ,选择的方案就不同。如何保持正常的心态 ,作出科学的选择 ,这一思想正好与中国传统文化中道德领域的中庸相一致。中庸强调“既不太过 ,也不不及” ,保持“适中”的人生态度。古为今用 ,不同领域 ,问题的根本都是对不确定型问题的决策     

从解一个古典概率问题所想到的

文章给出一个古典概率问题的两个解法，从而导出几个有趣的等式。     

联结主义理论与英语阅读教学

联结主义理论给英语教学新的启示。本文在理论分析的基础上,结合英语阅读教学的现状和个人教学实践,提出了阅读教学中应用联结主义的教学步骤。探讨了强化注意程度,激活输入的语言信息,提高输出意识的教学方法。     

产品品种繁多类型企业投入产出表的处理思想与方法

对于生产装配性产品的机械企业，由于产品与原材料种类繁多，将造成企业投入产出表的规模庞大，致使投入产出表的编制、计算和使用产生诸多问题，甚至难以实现。为了控制表的规模，常采用将消耗量相近、生产工艺相近的产品合并的做法。但这种做法严重影响了投入产出表的精度和应用效果。因此，本文讨论了更为有效的解决这类问题的思想和方法。     

Modeling the demand reduction input-output (I-O) inoperability due to terrorism of interconnected infrastructures.

Interdependency analysis in the context of this article is a process of assessing and managing risks inherent in a system of interconnected entities (e.g., infrastructures or industry sectors). Invoking the principles of input-output (I-O) and decomposition analysis, the article offers a framework for describing how terrorism-induced perturbations can propagate due to interconnectedness. Data published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis Division of the U.S. Department of Commerce is utilized to present applications to serve as test beds for the proposed framework. Specifically, a case study estimating the economic impact of airline demand perturbations to national-level U.S. sectors is made possible using I-O matrices. A ranking of the affected sectors according to their vulnerability to perturbations originating from a primary sector (e.g., air transportation) can serve as important input to risk management. For example, limited resources can be prioritized for the "top-n" sectors that are perceived to suffer the greatest economic losses due to terrorism. In addition, regional decomposition via location quotients enables the analysis of local-level terrorism events. The Regional I-O Multiplier System II (RIMS II) Division of the U.S. Department of Commerce is the agency responsible for releasing the regional multipliers for various geographical resolutions (economic areas, states, and counties). A regional-level case study demonstrates a process of estimating the economic impact of transportation-related scenarios on industry sectors within Economic Area 010 (the New York metropolitan region and vicinities).     

Semiparametric Inference Methods for General Time Scale Models

In this paper we consider semiparametric inference methods for the time scale parameters in general time scale models (Oakes, 1995, Duchesne and Lawless, 2000). We use the results of Robins and Tsiatis (1992) and Lin and Ying (1995) to derive a rank-based estimator that is more efficient and robust than the traditional minimum coefficient of variation (min CV) estimator of Kordonsky and Gerstbakh (1993) for many underlying models. Moreover, our estimator can readily handle censored samples, which is not the case with the min CV method.     

当代广告发展所面临的五大认识障碍——给来自广告业界内部的几个深层“思想问题”把脉

本文针对广告业长期存在的五个"思想问题"进行了分析,提出了广告业要重视练内功,要改善知识结构,要拓宽服务领域,提高广告经营水平,要改变短期行为等多种观点。认为广告业如果不能真正解决自身的问题,就无法应对国际广告资本的挑战。     

城乡居民收入差距不合理因素分析及对策

城镇居民和农村居民的收入差距发生了本质变化城乡居民的显性收入差距不能确切反映实际收入差距;差距悬殊而且存在着非自然差距;超过了世界各国相同阶段所固有的水平;收入差距处在倒"U"型曲线的上升阶段.为缩小城乡居民收入差距,必须增加土地投资;保护和提高农民生产的积极性;进行农业产业结构调整;优化农村政策结构;发展教育,培养专业技术人才,加快贫困地区文化、技术和制度等资源开发;实现农业劳动力半转移.     

语言教学的“粗料输入”

在语言教学中 ,教师经常面对的一项选择是如何为学习者安排难度适当 ,份量适中的语言材料。作者认为 ,借助克拉申的语言输入 -输出假设不妨为一个行之有效的方法。语言教学中的粗料输入在内化学习者语言知识、提高语言能力方面能起到独到的作用     

Systematic Effects of Capital Service Price Definition on Perceptions of Input Substitution

Earlier attempts at reconciling disparate substitution elasticity estimates examined differences in separability hypotheses, data bases, and estimation techniques, as well as methods employed to construct capital service prices. Although these studies showed that differences in elasticity estimates between two or three studies may be attributable to the aforementioned features of the econometric models, they have been unable to demonstrate this link statistically and establish the existence of systematic relationships between features of the econometric models and the perception of production technologies generated by those models. Using sectoral data covering the entire production side of the U.S. economy, we estimate 34 production models for alternative definitions of the capital service price. We employ substitution elasticities calculated from these models as dependent variables in the statistical search for systematic relationships between features of the econometric models and perceptions of the sectoral technology as characterized by the elasticities. Statistically significant systematic effects are found between the monotonicity and concavity properties of the cost functions and service price–technical change specifications as well as between substitution elasticities.