首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   22042篇
  免费   647篇
  国内免费   234篇
管理学   265篇
劳动科学   6篇
民族学   467篇
人才学   2篇
人口学   267篇
丛书文集   2972篇
理论方法论   1064篇
综合类   16663篇
社会学   822篇
统计学   395篇
  2024年   35篇
  2023年   107篇
  2022年   182篇
  2021年   176篇
  2020年   257篇
  2019年   217篇
  2018年   204篇
  2017年   260篇
  2016年   282篇
  2015年   388篇
  2014年   1109篇
  2013年   1158篇
  2012年   1349篇
  2011年   1550篇
  2010年   1353篇
  2009年   1326篇
  2008年   1395篇
  2007年   1740篇
  2006年   1759篇
  2005年   1622篇
  2004年   1655篇
  2003年   1569篇
  2002年   1210篇
  2001年   992篇
  2000年   573篇
  1999年   147篇
  1998年   69篇
  1997年   49篇
  1996年   34篇
  1995年   38篇
  1994年   25篇
  1993年   21篇
  1992年   15篇
  1991年   7篇
  1990年   2篇
  1989年   8篇
  1988年   6篇
  1987年   3篇
  1986年   5篇
  1985年   4篇
  1984年   5篇
  1983年   2篇
  1982年   2篇
  1981年   3篇
  1980年   2篇
  1979年   4篇
  1977年   1篇
  1976年   1篇
  1975年   2篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
41.
柴油机的珠墨铸铁曲轴系重要零件,气体软氮化应用到球墨铸铁领域还是一种新工艺,而且比中频淬火效果好,提高了曲轴的抗疲劳和抗磨损的能力。本文对气体软氮化的基本原理、设备、工艺参数的选择和催渗方法进行了探讨,对软氮化后曲轴的尺寸形状误差、光洁度和机械性能的提高等进行了较详细的试验、分析和比较,结果,经气体软氮化后的曲轴不但尺寸形站误差符合图纸要求外,而且抛去轻微氧化层后光洁度还略有提高,曲轴安全系数由1.3~1.6提高到1.70~1.77,并且一般不再发生疲劳断(?),使用寿命比原来寿命增加3.32倍以上。  相似文献   
42.
文章揭示了叶轮栅后区长度L_3太长时,会使栅后区出气角β_2无法选择而造成无解的事实;表明在β_2变化的适当范围内,叶型后缘两侧速度差△Λ与β_2之间呈线性关系,而且该线性变化范围随L_3的增长而缩小;获得了随L_3作线性变化的规律。文章最后提出了离心式叶轮机任意旋成面叶栅流场的简单求解方法。  相似文献   
43.
Nonparametric density estimation in the presence of measurement error is considered. The usual kernel deconvolution estimator seeks to account for the contamination in the data by employing a modified kernel. In this paper a new approach based on a weighted kernel density estimator is proposed. Theoretical motivation is provided by the existence of a weight vector that perfectly counteracts the bias in density estimation without generating an excessive increase in variance. In practice a data driven method of weight selection is required. Our strategy is to minimize the discrepancy between a standard kernel estimate from the contaminated data on the one hand, and the convolution of the weighted deconvolution estimate with the measurement error density on the other hand. We consider a direct implementation of this approach, in which the weights are optimized subject to sum and non-negativity constraints, and a regularized version in which the objective function includes a ridge-type penalty. Numerical tests suggest that the weighted kernel estimation can lead to tangible improvements in performance over the usual kernel deconvolution estimator. Furthermore, weighted kernel estimates are free from the problem of negative estimation in the tails that can occur when using modified kernels. The weighted kernel approach generalizes to the case of multivariate deconvolution density estimation in a very straightforward manner.  相似文献   
44.
We wish to test the null hypothesis if the means of N panels remain the same during the observation period of length T. A quasi-likelihood argument leads to self-normalized statistics whose limit distribution under the null hypothesis is double exponential. The main results are derived assuming that the each panel is based on independent observations and then extended to linear processes. The proofs are based on an approximation of the sum of squared CUSUM processes using the Skorokhod embedding scheme. A simulation study illustrates that our results can be used in case of small and moderate N and T. We apply our results to detect change in the “corruption index”.  相似文献   
45.
Modern exploratory data analysis produces models that are not based on physical theory but that are consistent with pictures of the data. When both X and Y have error this can be risky, because important features are hidden. Two examples are given that show that systematic model departures and heteroscedasticity may not be detectable with standard regression diagnostics.  相似文献   
46.
This article provides a method of interpreting a surprising inequality in multiple linear regression: the squared multiple correlation can be greater than the sum of the simple squared correlations between the response variable and each of the predictor variables. The interpretation is obtained via principal component analysis by studying the influence of some components with small variance on the response variable. One example is used as an illustration and some conclusions are derived.  相似文献   
47.
Analytical methods for interval estimation of differences between variances have not been described. A simple analytical method is given for interval estimation of the difference between variances of two independent samples. It is shown, using simulations, that confidence intervals generated with this method have close to nominal coverage even when sample sizes are small and unequal and observations are highly skewed and leptokurtic, provided the difference in variances is not very large. The method is also adapted for testing the hypothesis of no difference between variances. The test is robust but slightly less powerful than Bonett's test with small samples.  相似文献   
48.
A survey of business schools was conducted to obtain information about the current state of the teaching of business statistics to students enrolled in M.B.A. degree programs. The survey was undertaken for and presented at a June 1986 conference on “Making Statistics More Effective in Schools of Business,” held at the University of Chicago's Graduate School of Business. Information was elicited concerning both the required statistics sequence and elective statistics courses for M.B.A. students, as well as computer usage in these courses. This article summarizes the information obtained from the survey.  相似文献   
49.
The standard tensile test is one of the most frequent tools performed for the evaluation of mechanical properties of metals. An empirical model proposed by Ramberg and Osgood fits the tensile test data using a nonlinear model for the strain in terms of the stress. It is an Error-In-Variables (EIV) model because of the uncertainty affecting both strain and stress measurement instruments. The SIMEX, a simulation-based method for the estimation of model parameters, is powerful in order to reduce bias due to the measurement error in EIV models. The plan of this article is the following. In Sec. 2, we introduce the Ramberg–Osgood model and another reparametrization according to different assumptions on the independent variable. In Sec. 3, there is a summary of SIMEX method for the case at hand. Section 4 is a comparison between SIMEX and others estimating methods in order to highlight the peculiarities of the different approaches. In the last section, there are some concluding remarks.  相似文献   
50.
News     
U. S. National Income Series Revised—Congress Votes No on Censuses of Business and Manufactures—Britain Revises Living Cost Index-U. S. and U. K. Surveys Uncover Lacks in Statistical Training-Forthcoming Statistical Conferences  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号