红军长征博物馆建于四川的原因

红军长征在四川历时最长,活动范围最广,斗争最复杂,创造的奇迹最多。红军在四川进行了卓有成效的地方工作,成立了四个省委,进行了民族政策的初步探索,而且还在大小金川、康区北部成立了两个省级少数民族革命政权。红军在与少数民族相处中,还留下许多佳话。中共中央在四川境内多次召开过关系党和国家命运的政治局会议及其它重要会议。在四川建立红军长征博物馆,可以通过发展红色旅游,重现长征历程,促进四川贫穷地区的经济文化发展。     

公共物品的提供与中国地方政府层级设置

现代国家的政治本质和公共物品的非排斥性和非竞争性,决定了公共物品的提供是政府的一项重要职能.而效率与公平是政府在提供公共物品时所应追求的最主要价值,公共物品的公共性和规模经济的程度,决定了公共物品在提供上的效率和公平价值的实现与政府的层级和规模的相关性.由此,公共物品理论在推进政府层级设置的过程中也就具有了重要的借鉴意义.     

Financial Issues Associated with Having a Child with Autism

Data from the Family Experiences with Autism Survey are used to identify factors associated with financial problems in families that have a child with autism. Likelihood of financial problems was positively associated with use of medical interventions, having unreimbursed medical or therapy expenses, and having relatively lower income. Use of speech and language therapy was negatively associated with likelihood of financial problems. Many survey respondents forfeited future financial security and even experienced bankruptcy to provide needed therapy for a child with autism. Specific ways that financial advisors can help families that have a child with autism are outlined.

State transition modeling of complex monitored health data

This article considers the analysis of complex monitored health data, where often one or several signals are reflecting the current health status that can be represented by a finite number of states, in addition to a set of covariates. In particular, we consider a novel application of a non-parametric state intensity regression method in order to study time-dependent effects of covariates on the state transition intensities. The method can handle baseline, time varying as well as dynamic covariates. Because of the non-parametric nature, the method can handle different data types and challenges under minimal assumptions. If the signal that is reflecting the current health status is of continuous nature, we propose the application of a weighted median and a hysteresis filter as data pre-processing steps in order to facilitate robust analysis. In intensity regression, covariates can be aggregated by a suitable functional form over a time history window. We propose to study the estimated cumulative regression parameters for different choices of the time history window in order to investigate short- and long-term effects of the given covariates. The proposed framework is discussed and applied to resuscitation data of newborns collected in Tanzania.     

Bayesian t-tests for correlations and partial correlations

In this paper, we develop Bayes factor based testing procedures for the presence of a correlation or a partial correlation. The proposed Bayesian tests are obtained by restricting the class of the alternative hypotheses to maximize the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the Bayes factor is larger than a specified threshold. It turns out that they depend simply on the frequentist t-statistics with the associated critical values and can thus be easily calculated by using a spreadsheet in Excel and in fact by just adding one more step after one has performed the frequentist correlation tests. In addition, they are able to yield an identical decision with the frequentist paradigm, provided that the evidence threshold of the Bayesian tests is determined by the significance level of the frequentist paradigm. We illustrate the performance of the proposed procedures through simulated and real-data examples.     

自我"完成"的尝试:到"群众"中去——1950年代穆旦诗歌创作探析

1950年代穆旦的诗歌创作延续了他通过诗歌“完成自我”的主题,但其重心是向融入“群众”倾斜。分析诗人这一时期的心路历程和创作的10首诗歌,可以看出到“群众”中去是穆旦人生理想与诗歌创作的中心意识,但这种自我完成的尝试并不成功;准备努力融入“群众”中去的诗人最终不得不接受来自群众的批判,这构成了穆旦生命历程和中国文学史上耐人寻味的一幕。     

以技术创新推进湖南新型工业化研究

湖南新型工业化对技术创新有着巨大需求;借鉴世界发达国家工业化的经验,顺应世界科技发展潮流,重视技术创新,是加快工业化发展的关键;针对湖南省情,提出推进湖南新型工业化的技术创新策略.     

略论唐代的科举,任官制度与书法艺术

唐代为科举制度初行期,作为新生事物有其活力,其某些情况与做法（如进士科行卷等）属空前绝后;而唐代任官须经考核始实授,其中包括书法。唐代又是书法艺术发展的高峰期,代表了特有的时代风尚与士人健康的文化心理。书法与科举、任官密切相关,而科举、任官制度则有力推动了书法艺术的发展。     

从妇好墓青铜器复制谈商代青铜工艺美术

商周青铜艺术的成就,远超出工艺美术的范畴,其文化负 载量极其厚重。从人文美术的多方位综合剖析,才能更深一层的认识中国奴隶社会时期特定的这种艺术现象。器物的形体塑造、纹饰的发展与演变,青铜器的现实使用意义,体现着宗教形态及社会结构的具体情况。