人民币均衡汇率测算模型研究中的相关问题

 人民币均衡汇率水平问题已成为国内外各界关注的焦点,对人民币均衡汇率水平的研究不同学者其估计结果不相一致,至今没有统一观点。本文以人民币均衡汇率测算为核心,对与之相关的均衡汇率的定义与内涵、影响因素等相关问题进行了综述,并在此基础上对均衡汇率测算的主要模型进行了综述,由此得到研究我国人民币均衡汇率测算中还存在许多研究空间。并得到均衡汇率测算研究结果不同主要是由于对均衡汇率的定义和确定的影响因素不同等方面所造成的,因而对人民币均衡汇率测算的方法也各异。     

Organisational Factors,Job Satisfaction and Intention to Leave Among Newly Qualified Social Workers in England

Satisfaction with different organisational elements and aspects of work contributes markedly to overall levels of job satisfaction and intention to leave. For newly qualified social workers (NQSWs), especially immediately after graduation, self-perceived competence and their confidence in their educational preparation are also important. This article reports on a longitudinal study following 280 social work students into social work employment in England using data collected as students and six months after graduation. We focus on their experiences as NQSWs, thus only including those working in social work jobs, reporting the relative importance of their satisfaction with different work elements, such as supervision and job engagement. These are used to construct a model of NQSWs' overall satisfaction and intentions of leaving their social work jobs. The model incorporates NQSWs' perceptions of how well their degree courses prepared them for their current social work jobs in addition to personal, organisational and specific role characteristics. Using statistical techniques of factor analysis and regression modelling we highlight the complexities of how job satisfaction is constructed and we argue that the data reveal the importance of team support and self-efficacy in relation to whether social workers are thinking about leaving their current social work jobs.     

COMPARISON OF CONSENSUS METHODS FOR PRIORITY RANKING PROBLEMS

Various consensus methods proposed for ranking problems yield controversial rankings and/or tied rankings which are vulnerable to considerable dispute. These include Borda-Kendall (BK) and minimum-variance (MV) methods. This paper compares three continuous (ratio-scale) consensus scoring methods with BK and MV ranking methods. One method, termed GM, is an eigenvector scaling of the geometric-mean consensus matrix. GM allows for (1) paired-comparison voting inputs (as opposed to all-at-once ranking), (2) pick-the-winner preference voting, and (3) ratio-scale preference voting. GM is relatively simple to calculate on small computers or calculators, and merging of “close” candidates into tied rankings can be achieved by using an e-threshold tie rule discussed in this paper. The GM method thus can be used for paired-comparison voting to calculate both a ratio-scaled consensus index (based on a consensus eigenvector) and a ranking of candidates that allows for ties between “close” candidates. Eigenvalue analysis is used as a means of evaluating voter inconsistencies.     

A Theory of Production Competence*

Production competence is an enigmatic functional phenomenon. What is it? Can it be measured? Does it affect business performance? The literature barely touches on these issues. If competence is defined as a variable rather than a fixed attribute, it can be measured by how well manufacturing's strengths and weaknesses complement the priorities of the business strategy. Since performance is a measure of how well that strategy works, there should be a definable relationship between competence and performance. This study proposes just such a relationship and promotes production competence as the theoretical link between production process and business strategy.     

浅谈政治词汇汉英翻译的特点

本文以政治词汇的汉译英为着重点。作者首先强调了政治词汇翻译的重要性,其次在介绍翻译的基本要求的同时,进一步提出了政治词汇的翻译要有其“特殊性”,即要适应其所使用的特殊背景。文章的第四部分根据前文的翻译要求并结合翻译实践,总结了政治词汇翻译的基本方法。     

病理学实验课多样化教学方法探讨

通过采用以问题为中心并结合临床病理讨论会等多样化的实验课教学模式,同时增加有关诊断病理学知识等方面的教学内容,理论联系实际,使医学生能更好地掌握病理理论知识和实践技能,以利于培养学生获取知识的能力、创新能力和临床思维能力。     

中国民俗学学派方法论（上）

钟敬文教授倡议建立中国民俗学学派与多种研究方法,"最主要的,还是要考虑根据自己的研究对象和研究目的、并能切实解决问题的方法。"中国学派方法之源在于中国学者探索中国民俗事象的实践之中。学派是由一个个学者发展而来的。研究方法是渗透于一个个研究成果之中的。研究成果有赖于学者的研究精神、研究心态和研究方法。要从中国学者们80年的实践中梳理中国民俗学派研究方法。———顾颉刚的探索精神与历史地理研究方法。钟敬文倡导中国民俗学派、多民族一国民俗学及多种研究方法。姜彬倡导区域文化研究。段宝林倡导六维立体描写研究。各位学者各具特色的研究方法,汇成中国民俗学者学派多姿多彩的中国风格中国气派的研究方法。     

The covariance structure of sequential forecasts obtained by regression analysis

A method is presented for evaluating the covariance matrix of a set of sequential forecasts obtained by regression analysis. The matrix can be used to derive the relation between the variance of the forecasts on the one hand, and the lead times between the forecasting time and the time at which the forecasted variables are realized, on the other hand. The determination of this relation is important whenever the optimal frequency of forecasting must be determined.     

关于高等学校教师职务岗位设置的探讨

文章论述了高等学校教师职务岗位设置的基本原则和主要方法 ,并对教师职务岗位设置过程中应注意的问题进行了探讨。     

列宁对无产阶级爱国主义理论的两大贡献

列宁在参与一系列爱国主义问题的激烈争论中,提出了掌握无产阶级爱国主义内容的三个重要方法,阐发了掌握无产阶级爱国主义内容的一个总体思路,是比较系统的马克思主义的爱国主义理论,对社会主义国家在爱国主义的理论建设和实际建设方面都具有重要的启示作用