Three models of OPEC leadership and policy in the aftermath of Iran

Collapse of the Shah's regime has transformed Iran's attitude regarding oil production policy. The nature of OPEC leadership is changing as well. Three models examine the nature of this leadership inside OPEC: (1) the conventional price leadership model, (2) a model emphasizing a concept of egalitarian leadership, and (3) a team model composed of coalitions. The three models establish the limits within which OPEC leadership is exercised. A composite model drawing upon all three sets of results suggests that Saudi Arabia shapes cartel policy not by itself, but through a dominant coalition of states. For most of the period 1969–1978 this coalition has been stable. Following the unsettling changes of 1973, cooptation of Iran into the dominant coalition in 1974 was an important step in achieving a new level of stability. But during the turbulence of regime transformation in Iran, the nature of the governing coalition appears to have changed. One consequence may be that in the future Saudi Arabia will yield more willingly to arguments heard within OPEC on behalf of upwards price pressure, especially in an atmosphere of growing political isolation and overall tight supply.     

An analysis of variables affecting length of stay in foster care

The purpose of this paper was to find out whether the relationship between type of contact with agency and/or child in foster care and average number of contacts over time makes any difference in length of stay in foster care. Four types of contacts were examined: Family—Agency, Family Initiated—Agency, Social Worker—Initiated, and Family—Child. Results indicated that there were critical numbers for each contact type found to be statistically significant that would tend to reduce the length of the child's stay in foster care. The importance of contact during the first month of placement was emphasized.     

陈宝箴与湖南新学

本文通过时务学堂创办过程陈宝箴对湖南新旧势力的态度、陈宝箴与梁启超在目标与做法上的差异，去探讨陈宝箴在这一时期的思想，认为：陈宝箴在湖南对维新运动采取相当开明的态度，但又不赞成康、梁变法改制的思想，并对之严加批评。     

Political assessment by international firms: Models or methodologies?

Political risk is defined in terms of managerial contingencies arising from political events and processes. A number of “first-generation” assessment methodologies are reviewed and compared in terms of their degree of structure (explicit model of process) and systemization (formalization of methodology). The paper concludes that, at this point, effective political assessment is more likely to result from explicit specification of causal relationships and implementation of systematic analytical procedures than from development of increased methodological sophistication or elegance.     

论《幽兰草》的创作、结集时间以及价值定位

明刻本《幽兰草》标志着云间词派的确立,是研究该词派早期创作和理论主张的第一手资料,具有极高的文献价值.从"云间三子"的交往活动和文本两方面来考察,《幽兰草》的大致创作时间是在明崇祯七年至十年之间,约结集于崇祯十年."云间三子"创作《幽兰草》时,在词学观上有着某种共识,并自觉地用相对统一的标准去实践这种共识.从题材、语象的选择,到以小令为主的体式运用,以及蕴涵于作品中的内在情思和意蕴,都体现了"云间三子"对南唐、北宋婉约词派的认同和回归,其矫正明词异化的作用是显而易见的,它是结束明词颓势、使词重新回到本体轨道上来的一个闪亮起点.     

川东师范学堂与西南师范学院的组建

为实施新学制,培养师资,光绪三十二年(1906年)重庆创办了第一所正规的师范学校--官立川东师范学堂.民国建立后,该学堂改名为川东师范学校.1932年,该校设立乡村师范专修科.次年,专修科迁至沙坪坝磁器口,并先后改名为乡村建设学院、四川省立教育学院.1950年,四川省立教育学院与1940年创办的国立女子师范学院合并组建西南师范学院.1985年,西南师范学院更名为西南师范大学.     

The value of experiential approaches to evaluation training

The training of evaluators is an important task—important because of the good that well trained evaluators can do and because of the mischief that poorly trained evaluators can cause. There is broad agreement on the importance of producing evaluators who are methodologically versatile and organizationally savvy. To accomplish these educational ends it is necessary to supplement classroom based instruction with experiential approaches. This paper describes a theoretical model of an effective experiential educational program for training evaluators, assesses two operating programs against the requirements of the model, and reports the results of a quasi-experimental evaluation of the effectiveness of the programs in producing important educational outcomes.     

18世纪中韩文人学士之间的友好交流

18世纪的中韩文化交流主要是通过往来于两国的使节活动进行的。尤其是从18世纪后半期,朝鲜朝“北学派”的文人、学者,以使节团随员或检书官的身份来到中国,直接同中国文人学士接触,并通过笔谈在思想文化、文学艺术、科学技术等领域进行坦诚的交流,为两国文化交流的发展做出了重大贡献,对两国社会的发展产生了不可忽视的重要影响。回顾18世纪中韩两国文人学士之间友好交流的历史,对21世纪中韩文化交流的发展,将具有重要的借鉴意义。     

广西幼儿师范学校“3+2”学前教育专业课程的设计与实施

经过多年的实践,广西幼儿师范学"校3+2"学前教育专业课程设计的指导思想基本明确,培养目标逐渐回归现实基础,课程特色鲜明,但也还存在一些值得进一步探讨的问题。