Towards Enhancement of the Economy of a Thermal Power Generating System through Prediction of Plant Efficiency

The plant ‘Heat Rate’ (HR) is a measure of overall efficiency of a thermal power generating system. It depends on a large number of factors, some of which are non-measurable, while data relating to others are seldom available and recorded. However, coal quality (expressed in terms of ‘effective heat value’ (EHV) as kcal/kg) transpires to be one of the important factors that influences HR values and data on EHV are available in any thermal power generating system. In the present work, we propose a prediction interval of the HR values on the basis of only EHV, keeping in mind that coal quality is one of the important (but not the only) factors that have a pronounced effect on the combustion process and hence on HR. The underlying theory borrows the idea of providing simultaneous confidence interval (SCI) to the coefficients of a p-th p(≥1) order autoregressive model (AR(p)). The theory has been substantiated with the help of real life data from a power utility (after suitable base and scale transformation of the data to maintain the confidentiality of the classified document). Scope for formulating strategies to enhance the economy of a thermal power generating system has also been explored.     

网络怨恨的价值位移——基于舍勒现象学的分析

当前网络表达中到处弥漫的怨恨情绪,使技术理性的价值产生位移或曰颠覆,正价值如正义、公平、为承认而斗争等,在怨恨的情绪及其网络表达中导向负价值：网络暴政、人的主体性的消解,使人陷入＂单向度的人＂的危险。当下网络表达的无序和失序,正是怨恨的现象学呈现。因而,透过现象学观察的怨恨及其网络表达,或许可为我们反思批判当下和建构新的网络伦理提供一个新的思路。     

网络虚拟财产的法律保护研究

随着网络游戏的出现和发展,针对网络游戏出现的纠纷频繁发生,特别是网络游戏中的虚拟财产成为纠纷的焦点之一,而我国现行法律并没有针对此问题做出明确的法律规定。加快进行相关的法律制度建设以保护具有中国特色的网络游戏业的健康发展,已成为网络游戏产业发展的重要课题。     

Genealogies and Gene-ideologies: The Legitimacy of the Beta Israel (Falasha)

The migration of the vast majority of Beta Israel (Falasha) to Israel has been accompanied by major shifts in the discourse regarding their ‘Jewishness’ and ‘Ethiopian-ness’. This article discusses the adoption of traditions of Danite descent in place of traditions of Solomonic descent and the emergence of genetics as the most important identity marker, replacing reckonings of lineage. The first shift is connected to the migration of the Beta Israel from Ethiopia to Israel; the second to changing concepts of what represents ‘proof’ of identity in the modern and post-modern world.     

'信息割据'下的沟通失效与公共论坛重建————发现互联网时代新的公共论坛原则

传统公共论坛原则关注宪法上公民言论自由权利的平等保护,却无法解决互联网时代的沟通无效问题。互联网带来了信息传播工具和主体的变革,但由于“信息割据”造成的沟通失效,网络发展对政治和社会稳定产生了不容忽视的副作用。这种副作用主要表现在“观念市场”的失灵、“群体极化”、标签化倾向以及由此带来的社会群体之间的矛盾。一种新的公共论坛原则对解决这种无效沟通问题提供了可能方案,这种以公共性、兼容性、有效性为核心的新公共论坛原则试图在充分保障言论自由的同时消减网络传媒的副作用,也为主流媒体如何成为真正的主流、发挥稳定社会的作用提供了启示。     

论诚实信用原则——以安全为价值取向的新分析

诚实信用原则是民法和合同法的基本原则。它要求民事主体诚信行使权利和履行义务,在民事活动中友好待人,从而维持当事人之间的利益以及当事人利益和社会利益之间的平衡。中国新的合同法已经把诚实信用原则作为基本的原则并规定了一系列适用规则。这表明我国的合同法已经向现代法律理念靠拢。本文讨论了诚实信用原则的概念和特征,相信这个原则可以根本改善现行司法,并扩大法官权利使他们更独立和自由地行为。“诚信和正义”是这一原则的升华和最高理想,它应该被运用到民事司法实践中。“安全”是诚实信用的一个重要价值,本文拟以安全为价值对诚实信用原则进行新的分析。     

Assessing robustness of crossover designsto subjects dropping out

In some crossover experiments, particularly in medical applications, subjects may fail to complete their sequences of treatments for reasons unconnected with the treatments received. A method is described of assessing the robustness of a planned crossover design, with more than two periods, to subjects leaving the study prematurely. The method involves computing measures of efficiency for every possible design that can result, and is therefore very computationally intensive. Summaries of these measures are used to choose between competing designs. The computational problem is reduced to a manageable size by a software implementation of Polya theory. The method is applied to comparing designs for crossover studies involving four treatments and four periods. Designs are identified that are more robust to subjects dropping out in the final period than those currently favoured in medical and clinical trials.     

Beta-Bernstein Smoothing for Regression Curves with Compact Support

ABSTRACT. The problem of boundary bias is associated with kernel estimation for regression curves with compact support. This paper proposes a simple and uni(r)ed approach for remedying boundary bias in non-parametric regression, without dividing the compact support into interior and boundary areas and without applying explicitly different smoothing treatments separately. The approach uses the beta family of density functions as kernels. The shapes of the kernels vary according to the position where the curve estimate is made. Theyare symmetric at the middle of the support interval, and become more and more asymmetric nearer the boundary points. The kernels never put any weight outside the data support interval, and thus avoid boundary bias. The method is a generalization of classical Bernstein polynomials, one of the earliest methods of statistical smoothing. The proposed estimator has optimal mean integrated squared error at an order of magnitude n ^−4/5, equivalent to that of standard kernel estimators when the curve has an unbounded support.     

选择价值工程改进对象的动态排序模型

从一个复杂系统中,合理地选择重点改进对象,是有效开展价值工程活动的基础。本文在分析最合适区域法存在的问题的基础上,提出选择价值工程改进对象的动态排序模型。     

试论时间价值观

时间是一种重要的资源。时间价值观是个体以自身的需要为尺度对时间重要性的稳定态度和观念。时间价值观含有时间资源观、时间效率观、时机观、时间顺序观等方面的意义。时间价值观的结构可以有不同的划分。时间价值观受社会文化传统、个体的年龄因素、个体性格、社会环境等因素的影响。心理学对时间价值观的研究在理论上和应用中都有着重要的意义