论改革开放20年中国电影美学走向

本文论述并揭示了改革开放20年中国电影的整体综合美学走向,有如“百川归海”,乃是新形势新条件下民族电影振兴与发展并走向当代的必然;而当代整体综合电影美学,融综合化与个性化、世界性与民族性、变化性与恒定性于一体,“无流不纳”,则为当代艺术自然和电影世界存在与发展的自然之势、自然之理。     

论公开审判与保守审判工作秘密的界限及关系

由于现行法律法规对审判公开与保守审判工作秘密没有明确的界定,致使中国在加入WTO后,人民法院依法进行的司法审判活动,受到了国际条约的挑战。因此,现今的法院工作应当秉着审判公务信息公开原则与保守审判工作秘密原则,把握好公开与保密的关系,来切实贯彻国际透明度原则,以实现司法公正。     

理解李孟伦小说的“三个关键词”

本文对李孟伦小说《太阳之门》的相问题加以论述。     

On the Evolution and Asymptotic Analysis of Open Markov Populations: Application to Consumption Credit

In this paper, we study, by means of randomized sampling, the long-run stability of some open Markov population fed with time-dependent Poisson inputs. We show that state probabilities within transient states converge—even when the overall expected population dimension increases without bound—under general conditions on the transition matrix and input intensities.

Following the convergence results, we obtain ML estimators for a particular sequence of input intensities, where the sequence of new arrivals is modeled by a sigmoidal function. These estimators allow for the forecast, by confidence intervals, of the evolution of the relative population structure in the transient states.

Applying these results to the study of a consumption credit portfolio, we estimate the implicit default rate.     

刑事庭审旁听制度研究

旁听制度作为刑事审判公开制度中的一个必要方面,对于整个刑事审判制度具有重要意义,但是无论在理论上或是司法实践中旁听制度都未能引起足够的重视。通过对我国目前旁听制度存在问题进行分析,找到症结之所在,从认识上进行一定的转变,并且给予旁听以更完善的保障措施,才能在此基础上不断推进旁听制度的完善。     

Learning by doing: the case of administrative policy transfer in China

This article explores of the role of policy transfer in facilitating the rise and consolidation of the ‘Reform and Open Door Policy' in China. It builds upon the seminal Dolowitz and Marsh [Dolowitz, D., and D. Marsh. 1996. “Who Learns What From Whom: A Review of the Policy Transfer Literature.” Political Studies 44: 343–357; Dolowitz, D., and D. Marsh. 2000. “Learning from Abroad: The Role of Policy Transfer in Contemporary Policy-Making.” Governance 13 (1): 5–23] framework to provide an examination of processes of administrative policy transfer which it argues are broadly indicative of the dynamics of change underpinning the incremental process of reform. It is observed that the reforms under study have not been characterized by rational policy design underpinned by evidence-based policy-making in which issues of cultural assimilation were emphasized. Rather, the implementation process itself has been used to affect processes of adaptation. Policy transfer in China can best be described as learning by doing.     

货币国际化对国内宏观经济的影响

 本文利用新开放经济宏观经济学方法,构建了货币国际化对宏观经济影响的理论模型,从理论上分析了货币国际化对宏观经济短期和长期的影响。理论研究表明,货币国际化具有以下影响：（1）无论在短期还是长期,都将促使本国货币升值,但汇率未出现超调现象;（2）短期内刺激本国消费,长期内抑制本国消费;（3）短期内产出减少,长期内产出增加;（4）短期内改善贸易条件,长期内使贸易条件恶化;（5）无论短期还是长期,都将改善本国居民福利水平。在此基础上,基于结构VAR模型,利用美元经验数据实证分析了美元国际化对美国宏观经济的影响,实证结果表明：经验分析与理论研究结果高度一致。上述研究结论为人民币国际化提供了若干启示。     

开放型区域经济适度人口的研究方法及其应用

在我国区域人口发展和经济发展严重不平衡的客观现实下 ,对区域经济适度人口的研究有着较为重要的现实意义 ,本文基于对各区域之间开放联系不断加大的认识 ,通过分析影响开放型区域经济适度人口的因素及其相互关系 ,就如何开展区域经济适度人口的研究及其具体的研究方法展开了深入的探讨 ,并以上海浦东新区为实例 ,说明了这一方法的具体应用过程。     

当代门的设计流变解读

从古至今,门是大家再熟悉不过的了,现代社会中,门的功能不仅仅是封闭是防御,门被赋予了新的内涵,未来的门将如何演变？是形式的借鉴、意味的延伸还是神韵的传承？当代户门的艺术形式以不同的“开放式”语言诠释着设计的个性。