全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1721篇 |
免费 | 42篇 |
国内免费 | 27篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 114篇 |
民族学 | 5篇 |
人口学 | 38篇 |
丛书文集 | 68篇 |
理论方法论 | 156篇 |
综合类 | 603篇 |
社会学 | 371篇 |
统计学 | 435篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 2篇 |
2023年 | 18篇 |
2022年 | 14篇 |
2021年 | 17篇 |
2020年 | 39篇 |
2019年 | 41篇 |
2018年 | 54篇 |
2017年 | 53篇 |
2016年 | 47篇 |
2015年 | 27篇 |
2014年 | 83篇 |
2013年 | 385篇 |
2012年 | 114篇 |
2011年 | 68篇 |
2010年 | 57篇 |
2009年 | 75篇 |
2008年 | 80篇 |
2007年 | 79篇 |
2006年 | 81篇 |
2005年 | 80篇 |
2004年 | 53篇 |
2003年 | 58篇 |
2002年 | 51篇 |
2001年 | 51篇 |
2000年 | 27篇 |
1999年 | 20篇 |
1998年 | 18篇 |
1997年 | 15篇 |
1996年 | 14篇 |
1995年 | 8篇 |
1994年 | 8篇 |
1993年 | 2篇 |
1992年 | 4篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 4篇 |
1989年 | 6篇 |
1988年 | 5篇 |
1987年 | 3篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 5篇 |
1984年 | 4篇 |
1983年 | 3篇 |
1982年 | 3篇 |
1981年 | 2篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 3篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有1790条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
Alexander Torgovitsky 《Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society》2015,83(3):1185-1197
I consider nonparametric identification of nonseparable instrumental variables models with continuous endogenous variables. If both the outcome and first stage equations are strictly increasing in a scalar unobservable, then many kinds of continuous, discrete, and even binary instruments can be used to point‐identify the levels of the outcome equation. This contrasts sharply with related work by Imbens and Newey, 2009 that requires continuous instruments with large support. One implication is that assumptions about the dimension of heterogeneity can provide nonparametric point‐identification of the distribution of treatment response for a continuous treatment in a randomized controlled experiment with partial compliance. 相似文献
42.
David Card David S. Lee Zhuan Pei Andrea Weber 《Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society》2015,83(6):2453-2483
We consider nonparametric identification and estimation in a nonseparable model where a continuous regressor of interest is a known, deterministic, but kinked function of an observed assignment variable. We characterize a broad class of models in which a sharp “Regression Kink Design” (RKD or RK Design) identifies a readily interpretable treatment‐on‐the‐treated parameter (Florens, Heckman, Meghir, and Vytlacil (2008)). We also introduce a “fuzzy regression kink design” generalization that allows for omitted variables in the assignment rule, noncompliance, and certain types of measurement errors in the observed values of the assignment variable and the policy variable. Our identifying assumptions give rise to testable restrictions on the distributions of the assignment variable and predetermined covariates around the kink point, similar to the restrictions delivered by Lee (2008) for the regression discontinuity design. Using a kink in the unemployment benefit formula, we apply a fuzzy RKD to empirically estimate the effect of benefit rates on unemployment durations in Austria. 相似文献
43.
风险投资在投资目的、方式、收回等方面与传统投资有很大区别,研究此投资框架下各项财务治理行为对企业财务治理效率的影响,能够有针对性地指导企业完善治理措施,提高治理效率。创业板是我国风险投资参与面最广的上市公司板块,以创业板2009—2013年期间IPO上市公司为研究对象,采用实证研究方法,分析风险投资对上市公司财务治理效率的作用及其形式。结果显示,风投方持股比例越高,参与时间越长,在董事会、监事会高管中拥有席位越多,财务治理效率就越高,但创业板中的联合投资存在“搭便车”现象。上市公司应努力完善并调整企业相关制度和治理结构,风险投资机构加强合作,以最终实现高效的财务治理。 相似文献
44.
Clinical trials are often designed to compare continuous non‐normal outcomes. The conventional statistical method for such a comparison is a non‐parametric Mann–Whitney test, which provides a P‐value for testing the hypothesis that the distributions of both treatment groups are identical, but does not provide a simple and straightforward estimate of treatment effect. For that, Hodges and Lehmann proposed estimating the shift parameter between two populations and its confidence interval (CI). However, such a shift parameter does not have a straightforward interpretation, and its CI contains zero in some cases when Mann–Whitney test produces a significant result. To overcome the aforementioned problems, we introduce the use of the win ratio for analysing such data. Patients in the new and control treatment are formed into all possible pairs. For each pair, the new treatment patient is labelled a ‘winner’ or a ‘loser’ if it is known who had the more favourable outcome. The win ratio is the total number of winners divided by the total numbers of losers. A 95% CI for the win ratio can be obtained using the bootstrap method. Statistical properties of the win ratio statistic are investigated using two real trial data sets and six simulation studies. Results show that the win ratio method has about the same power as the Mann–Whitney method. We recommend the use of the win ratio method for estimating the treatment effect (and CI) and the Mann–Whitney method for calculating the P‐value for comparing continuous non‐Normal outcomes when the amount of tied pairs is small. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
45.
A visualization method measuring the performance of biomarkers for guiding treatment decisions 下载免费PDF全文
Biomarkers that predict efficacy and safety for a given drug therapy become increasingly important for treatment strategy and drug evaluation in personalized medicine. Methodology for appropriately identifying and validating such biomarkers is critically needed, although it is very challenging to develop, especially in trials of terminal diseases with survival endpoints. The marker‐by‐treatment predictiveness curve serves this need by visualizing the treatment effect on survival as a function of biomarker for each treatment. In this article, we propose the weighted predictiveness curve (WPC). Based on the nature of the data, it generates predictiveness curves by utilizing either parametric or nonparametric approaches. Especially for nonparametric predictiveness curves, by incorporating local assessment techniques, it requires minimum model assumptions and provides great flexibility to visualize the marker‐by‐treatment relationship. WPC can be used to compare biomarkers and identify the one with the highest potential impact. Equally important, by simultaneously viewing several treatment‐specific predictiveness curves across the biomarker range, WPC can also guide the biomarker‐based treatment regimens. Simulations representing various scenarios are employed to evaluate the performance of WPC. Application on a well‐known liver cirrhosis trial sheds new light on the data and leads to discovery of novel patterns of treatment biomarker interactions. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
46.
Group sequential monitoring based on the weighted log‐rank test statistic with the Fleming–Harrington class of weights in cancer vaccine studies 下载免费PDF全文
Takahiro Hasegawa 《Pharmaceutical statistics》2016,15(5):412-419
In recent years, immunological science has evolved, and cancer vaccines are now approved and available for treating existing cancers. Because cancer vaccines require time to elicit an immune response, a delayed treatment effect is expected and is actually observed in drug approval studies. Accordingly, we propose the evaluation of survival endpoints by weighted log‐rank tests with the Fleming–Harrington class of weights. We consider group sequential monitoring, which allows early efficacy stopping, and determine a semiparametric information fraction for the Fleming–Harrington family of weights, which is necessary for the error spending function. Moreover, we give a flexible survival model in cancer vaccine studies that considers not only the delayed treatment effect but also the long‐term survivors. In a Monte Carlo simulation study, we illustrate that when the primary analysis is a weighted log‐rank test emphasizing the late differences, the proposed information fraction can be a useful alternative to the surrogate information fraction, which is proportional to the number of events. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
47.
汤其林 《湖南工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2016,21(5):125-128
大型音乐舞蹈史诗《中国革命之歌》在进行创作时既要确保艺术创作真实反映历史事实,又要防止与《东方红》重复,需要创作人员精心设计框架,选择材料进行加工改编,具有一定的难度。创作者和表演者通过艺术框架的搭建、艺术素材的加工、艺术演出的处理,使大型音乐舞蹈史诗《中国革命之歌》既具有政治内容又具有极高的艺术美。 相似文献
48.
Ping Yu 《Econometric Reviews》2016,35(4):586-637
In this paper, we propose two new estimators of treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs. These estimators can aid understanding of the existing estimators such as the local polynomial estimator and the partially linear estimator. The first estimator is the partially polynomial estimator which extends the partially linear estimator by further incorporating derivative differences of the conditional mean of the outcome on the two sides of the discontinuity point. This estimator is related to the local polynomial estimator by a relocalization effect. Unlike the partially linear estimator, this estimator can achieve the optimal rate of convergence even under broader regularity conditions. The second estimator is an instrumental variable estimator in the fuzzy design. This estimator will reduce to the local polynomial estimator if higher order endogeneities are neglected. We study the asymptotic properties of these two estimators and conduct simulation studies to confirm the theoretical analysis. 相似文献
49.
在WTO争端解决机制中有一些针对发展中国家的特殊与差别待遇条款,但这些条款有其局限性,发展中国家很少利用,发展中国家应当努力促进特殊和差别待遇条款的完善,同时充分利用好现存的特殊和差别待遇. 相似文献
50.
Hani I. Mesak 《决策科学》1985,16(1):25-42
Based on empirical findings in the literature, sales response to advertising pulsing policy (APP) is modeled mathematically. The implications for APP are discussed. This policy is compared with an alternative policy of uniform expenditures (UAP), a commonly used strategy. The results of the research indicate that substantial savings in advertising budget or an increase in sales revenues may be achieved for a firm using APP. 相似文献