改革开放以来中国社会价值观念嬗变研究

从探析社会价值观念的内涵出发,厘清改革开放以来中国社会价值观念的嬗变路径,进一步挖掘改革开放以来中国社会价值观念嬗变的互动范式,最后剖析改革开放以来中国社会价值观念嬗变过程中亟待解决的主要问题及其相关对策。研究社会价值观念的嬗变问题对当代中国和谐社会的建构,具有重要的理论价值和实践意义。     

荞麦性状对产量影响的通径分析

就24个养麦品种7个性状对其产量的影响进行了通径分析，结果表明：株粒数、一级分枝数、千粒重是普通养麦增产的重要因素，亦是育种目标的关键。     

Structural Equation Models for Dealing With Spatial Confounding

In regression analyses of spatially structured data, it is common practice to introduce spatially correlated random effects into the regression model to reduce or even avoid unobserved variable bias in the estimation of other covariate effects. If besides the response the covariates are also spatially correlated, the spatial effects may confound the effect of the covariates or vice versa. In this case, the model fails to identify the true covariate effect due to multicollinearity. For highly collinear continuous covariates, path analysis and structural equation modeling techniques prove to be helpful to disentangle direct covariate effects from indirect covariate effects arising from correlation with other variables. This work discusses the applicability of these techniques in regression setups, where spatial and covariate effects coincide at least partly and classical geoadditive models fail to separate these effects. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

社会工作者在构建和谐社会中的作用研究——以对北京、上海两地的调查为例

社会工作者是"促和谐"工作的天然施行者。社会工作者通过发挥其缓解、恢复和使能职能,实现了化解民怨、解决民忧、维护民利的作用,增进了弱势群体的利益,促进了社会和谐。对于其中存在的问题,应该从推进社会工作职业化、完善财政支持系统以及提高社会工作的社会认同度等方面采取措施加以完善。     

非抽样误差测度方法研究

本文研究了国内外非抽样误差测度的主要方法,将其分为两类：基于设计的方法和基于模型的方法。文章运用路径分析法重点研究了基于模型的非抽样误差测度方法,包括多指标和单指标统计调查中非抽样误差的测度,并讨论了不同模型的估计与比较。文章总结了国外非抽样误差研究对我国的有益启示,指出要促进中国的非抽样误差研究,使其对中国的统计调查实际有指导意义,就必须在领会国外学者研究非抽样误差测度思想的基础上结合中国的实际情况进行研究和探索。     

借鉴与超越:我国社会救助立法模式的路径选择

建构一个内容全面、制定科学、标准合理的社会救助法律体系是是我国构建和谐社会的重要环节。境外各国或地区的实践已经证明,社会救助立法是建构社会救助体系、维护受救助主体权利诉求以及法制建设的共同需要。这些立法的路径可以大致归纳为综合立法、专业立法、分散立法和混合立法四种模式。在对境外立法模式的比较、借鉴并考虑到目前影响我国社会救助立法的各种因素。建议采取分阶段立法,短期内制定相关的行政法规,再专门制定《社会救助法》,最后制定统领社会保障体系的《社会保障法》。     

AIC、CP与通径分析

利用AIC准则、Cp准则能够获得最优回归方程，而使用通径分析法亦能得到变量的最佳子集。针对此问题通过实例进行了探讨。     

A comparison of path factors influencing depressive symptoms in children of immigrant women and Korean children in South Korea

The aim of this study is to compare Korean children and the children of immigrant women with respect to how depressive symptoms in these two groups are related to potential causes, including paternal neglect, maternal neglect, gender, socioeconomic status, ego resilience, peer relationships, teacher-student relationships, and discrimination. Concurrently analyzing multiple populations, we found that the path model and the path coefficients we used for the study were appropriate for both groups. Peer relationships and discrimination were found to have direct influences on depressive symptoms in both groups. We also found that gender, ego resilience, and teacher-student relationships had indirect effects in causing depressive symptoms in the children of immigrant women. Furthermore, maternal neglect had a more significant indirect effect among the children of immigrant women, whereas paternal neglect had a more significant indirect effect among the Korean children in our study. The results indicate that the same path model could be applied to both groups of children, allowing us to conclude that the same focus and approaches for intervention could be provided to both groups to decrease the levels of depressive symptoms.     

深度把脉“跨世纪文学”的律动与可能——评刘起林著《胜景与歧途：跨世纪文学的多维审视》

《胜景与歧途》一书作为对跨世纪文学“多维审视”的“断代史著”,基本立论与整体框架具有强烈的历史意识和深厚的现实基础,根本命题生发出如“知青作家的‘失乐园’心态”“历史文学创作的‘盛世情结’”等重要学术问题,个案研究实现了对许多高难度研究课题的突破,还形成了文本分析和超文本考察整合研究的学术范式,从而有效达成了对“跨世纪文学”律动与可能的深度把脉。     

在变革与"革命"之间--上海市民社会的历史选择

近现代的上海市民社会,其对于社会体制的变革有着热切的期盼,然而与此同时,它又是社会稳定和制衡的重要力量.市民社会具有革命性,而暴力革命却又并非是它的选择.因为在它看来,暴力革命在摧毁专制的同时,将孕育新的专制."广场民主"和"直接民主"也不是市民社会的理性选择.正是在相对缺乏民主基础和法治精神的国度,民变易生.然正是如此,激进的民变容易造成社会的失序和失范.市民社会追求的是演变,是在旧体制中进行变革的诉求和实践,从而在循序渐进中改造旧体制.戊戌变法曾经是一次重大的演变实践.但是由于方法上的激进,中国历史上的一次重要机遇以及某种价值理念就此丧失.