三点一线:东湖社工给力社会服务

2009年,江西省南昌市东湖区被确定为全国第二批人才队伍建设试点城区,两年来,东湖区从实际出发,进行了本土社会工作的探索和创新.东湖区位于南昌市的中心城区,同时也是一个老城区,社会转型烙印深刻,辖区人口老龄化严     

新疆大学民考民预科生汉语写作成绩比较分析及对策研究

文章采用文献资料法、数理统计法、逻辑分析法对1 218名民考民预科生的汉语写作成绩进行比较分析,从性别、专业、班级、HSK等级差异的角度来探讨汉语写作成绩的现状及差异,并据此提出了改变写作测试方法、编写新疆特色汉语写作教材、改进汉语教学方法、引导学生多读多写和提高学生写作主动性等对策。     

PM effect size estimation for mediation analysis: a cautionary note,alternate strategy,and real data illustration

As research on mediation has grown, so too has interest in identifying ways to assess the size of indirect effects in a mediation analysis. One such estimate – the ratio of the indirect effect to the total effect (P_M) – was tested in a sample of 21,297 children from the Early Childhood Developmental Study. Results showed that the two independent variables – low self-control and externalizing behavior – correlated equally well with a common mediator (mathematical thinking). Moreover, the two pathways shared the same mediator and dependent variable (subsequent externalizing behavior). Despite this, P_M was three times larger in the self-control-initiated pathway than in the externalizing-initiated pathway, based on a stronger correlation between prior and subsequent externalizing behavior than between low self-control and externalizing behavior. The comparison pathways approach, where pathways mediated by mathematical reasoning are contrasted with pathways mediated by a control variable (general knowledge), is offered as an alternative to effect size measurement in mediation research.     

政府动机、企业预期与地价扭曲

我国居住用地与工业用地的比价长期偏离合理水平并逐年扩大,这种不合理的土地比价反映了土地要素价格扭曲的程度。本文运用2007—2017年全国287个城市的土地出让微观地块数据研究发现:作为供给端因素的政府动机和需求端因素的企业预期共同导致了地价扭曲的形成。企业预期充当政府动机的中介变量在地价扭曲的形成过程中发挥着部分中介效应,这表明企业预期可能在政府动机的影响下“不自觉”地扭曲了地价,充当了地方政府扭曲地价的工具。地价扭曲有利于工业资本 积累,但却降低了土地利用效率。为减轻土地要素价格的扭曲程度,在短期内政府应当正确引导企业预期,从长期看应弱化地方政府对土地市场的干预。     

战略实施与企业绩效:项目管理机制的中介效应

项目管理理论认为,战略可以通过项目管理机制得以实施,但多数文献对项目管理机制在业务战略和企业绩效之间的作用机理缺乏系统的研究.本研究把"项目管理办公室"、"项目群管理"、"阶段门审查"等项目管理机制作为中介变量.引入到业务战略对企业绩效的影响过程中.研究发现,三种项目管理机制都对低成本战略一企业绩效有显著的中介效应,项目管理办公室对差异化战略一企业绩效有显著的中介效应,从而证实了项目管理机制在不同程度上可以作为战略实施的有效方式.     

Determinants of financial worry and rumination

Significant parts of populations in developed countries frequently worry and ruminate about their finances. Financial worry and rumination can have serious psychological consequences, resulting in lower psychological well-being, mental-health problems, and impaired cognitive functioning. The literature lacks studies investigating the socio-demographic antecedents of and the financial processes underlying financial worry and rumination.The purpose of our study was to investigate the socio-demographic and financial antecedents of financial worry and rumination (FWR) and the financial factors mediating these relationships. We collected online self-administered survey data from a sample of the Dutch population (N = 1040). Using confirmatory factor analysis, we found that a bifactor model, including a strong and reliable general factor, provided the best explanation of the structure underlying FWR.We developed a parallel mediation model and investigated its structural relationships using structural equation modeling. After controlling for multiple hypotheses testing, our results show that income, past positive changes in one’s finances, and age are negatively related to FWR. We found no support for education level and only weak support for expected changes in one’s finances as antecedents. Furthermore, the explained variance in FWR substantially improved after adding the mediators of making ends meet, financial buffer, and perceived debts. Among these mediators, making ends meet played a key role explaining respectively half and two-thirds of the total effects of income and past changes in one’s finances on FWR. These results were robust under several specifications and were generalizable to the Dutch population. We discuss the implications of our results for future research and government policy.     

基层法院审理涉农民事案件的对策思考

涉农民事案件的审判是基层法院工作的重点及难点。当前涉农民事案件类型具有多样化、复杂化的特点。基层法院在审理涉农民事案件时,在法律适用、案件执行、案件调解、农民权益维护等方面存在诸多问题。为此,基层法院对于涉农民事案件的审理,应渗透现代司法理念,转变工作方式,强化调解意识,优化农民诉讼环境,把"司法为民"贯穿于审判执行工作的始终,为农村社会治安综合治理服务。     

联盟管理实践获取与联盟成功：被调节的中介效应

近年来,企业间战略联盟在全世界范围内越来越普遍。联盟的高失败率使企业界和理论界人士开始关注如何实现联盟成功。在长期的联盟活动中,联盟企业都积累了各自独特的一整套被称为联盟管理实践的方法、流程和技能,以提高联盟管理能力、实现联盟预期目标。依据组织学习和关系理论,联盟企业能够从合作伙伴那里获取有价值的联盟管理实践并将其应用于自身的联盟管理活动,这一过程必然有益于联盟管理。然而,鲜有研究探讨联盟管理实践获取行为对联盟成功的影响。 基于以上考虑,引入联盟管理能力和共同行动两个概念,分别作为中介变量和调节变量,构建一个被调节的中介效应模型,以更好地揭示联盟管理实践获取对联盟成功的作用机理。为了检验上述被调节的中介效应模型及相关的作用机理,利用从中国大陆收集的调研数据进行实证研究。最终的样本包含205家联盟企业,且每家企业有两位关键信息提供者,综合采用逐步线性回归和被调节的路径分析方法验证假设。 研究结果表明,联盟管理实践获取通过联盟管理能力这一中介机制最终促进联盟成功,共同行动正向调节联盟管理能力与联盟成功的关系,存在假设中的被调节的中介效应。也就是说,联盟管理实践获取对联盟成功的影响需要通过提升联盟管理能力来实现;同时,联盟双方共同行动水平越高,这一过程越容易实现。 联盟管理实践获取为解释联盟成功的作用机理提供了一个新的视角,拓展了联盟管理能力方面的研究,尤其表现为同时关注联盟管理能力的前因和结果,将组织学习理论和关系理论统一整合到联盟成功研究的框架下,这可视为两大理论的创新性应用。此外,研究结果为现实中联盟企业实现联盟成功指出一条新路,即从合作伙伴处获取有价值的联盟管理实践以促进联盟成功。     

A Cross‐Cultural Study of Perceived Benefit Versus Risk as Mediators in the Trust‐Acceptance Relationship

Several recent studies have identified the significant role social trust in regulatory organizations plays in the public acceptance of various technologies and activities. In a cross‐cultural investigation, the current work explores empirically the relationship between social trust in management authorities and the degree of public acceptability of hazards for individuals residing in either developed or emerging Latin American economies using confirmatory rather than exploratory techniques. Undergraduates in Mexico, Brazil, and Chile and the United States and Spain assessed trust in regulatory authorities, public acceptance, personal knowledge, and the risks and benefits for 23 activities and technological hazards. Four findings were encountered. (i) In Latin American nations trust in regulatory entities was strongly and significantly (directly as well as indirectly) linked with the public's acceptance of any activity or technology. In developed countries trust and acceptability are essentially linked indirectly (through perceived risk and perceived benefit). (ii) Lack of knowledge strengthened the magnitude and statistical significance of the trust‐acceptability relationship in both developed and developing countries. (iii) For high levels of claimed knowledge, the impact on the trust‐acceptability relationship varied depending upon the origin of the sample. (iv) Confirmatory analysis revealed the relative importance of perceived benefit over perceived risk in meditating the trust‐acceptability causal chain.     

风险背景下的传播伦理研究

现代风险有严重危害性、不确定性、不可见性、非经验性、全球性和个体性等特点。作为一种技术、制度和人为的后果,风险本身无法自我呈现,它总是已经被中介了,在现代社会,大众传媒又具有重要的中介价值。因此,风险问题总是一个传播和沟通的问题,在类似危机传播这样的技术性方案无能为力的情况下,传播伦理的思考无疑成为了重要的选择之一,通过一些例子和边界的设定,最终的目标是建立一个充满弹性和宽容的传播(沟通)伦理机制,召唤所有可能的力量来参与这场巨大的对话,共同面对或超越风险最后的疯狂。