教师口语——师范生必备的基本功

提高师范生口语表达能力,必须重视“教师口语”这门实践性与操作性较强的课程。在“教师口语”课程中,将普通话训练贯穿始终,使师范生掌握教学口语技巧及艺术特征,更好地适应未来教育教学工作的需要。     

试论民族地区普通中学多媒体课件制作及管理

运用现代教育技术提高教学效率是民族地区普通中学发展的必由之路。只有正确认识民族地区普通中学教育技术应用的背景,加强对此类教学资源的管理,才能使之更好服务于教学,提高民族地区教学实践活动的效率。     

藏汉中学生心理健康水平比较研究综述

心理健康教育是教育者应用心理学、教育学、社会学乃至精神医学等多种学科的理论和技术,通过多种途径与方法,培养学生良好的心理素质,提高心理机能,充分发挥其心理潜能,从而促进学生整体素质全面提高和发展的教育。藏族学生在学校学习的过程实际上是两种或两种以上文化之间交流并融合的过程,所有影响交流的因素都有可能对藏族学生的心理发展产生影响。教育落后是制约西部地区经济发展的根本原因。因此,研究西部少数民族学生的心理与教育,对于加快发展西部教育事业具有强烈的现实意义。     

Asymmetric Forecast Densities for U.S. Macroeconomic Variables from a Gaussian Copula Model of Cross-Sectional and Serial Dependence

Most existing reduced-form macroeconomic multivariate time series models employ elliptical disturbances, so that the forecast densities produced are symmetric. In this article, we use a copula model with asymmetric margins to produce forecast densities with the scope for severe departures from symmetry. Empirical and skew t distributions are employed for the margins, and a high-dimensional Gaussian copula is used to jointly capture cross-sectional and (multivariate) serial dependence. The copula parameter matrix is given by the correlation matrix of a latent stationary and Markov vector autoregression (VAR). We show that the likelihood can be evaluated efficiently using the unique partial correlations, and estimate the copula using Bayesian methods. We examine the forecasting performance of the model for four U.S. macroeconomic variables between 1975:Q1 and 2011:Q2 using quarterly real-time data. We find that the point and density forecasts from the copula model are competitive with those from a Bayesian VAR. During the recent recession the forecast densities exhibit substantial asymmetry, avoiding some of the pitfalls of the symmetric forecast densities from the Bayesian VAR. We show that the asymmetries in the predictive distributions of GDP growth and inflation are similar to those found in the probabilistic forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Last, we find that unlike the linear VAR model, our fitted Gaussian copula models exhibit nonlinear dependencies between some macroeconomic variables. This article has online supplementary material.     

西部农村中小学生性价值观培育现状及根源分析

在我国西部地区的广大农村,由于各方面条件的限制,西部农村中小学生的性意识成长和性价值观培育方面的系列问题令人担忧。家庭教育、学校教育和社会教育在对中小学生的性价值观培育过程中都存在一定程度的缺失,难以形成有助于中小学生性价值观念培育的良好社会环境。在网络色情的冲击下,中小学生成长中的性道德观被网络色情扭曲和肢解,性道德认知被失控的性乱象颠覆和异化,这些现象主要根源在于性文化的无序性、性道德观的冲突性、性行为的失范性。     

企业战略的两种异化—一个认知理论的视角

现实中的企业战略经常在两个方向上异化:口号式的空洞或预算式的细节,从认知理论的角度看,这源自管理者的三个思维误区:战略就是目标+计划、描述战略并无必要、好的战略应是安全可靠的.本文运用战略认知理论分析了这两种现象,认为根源在于管理者忽视了战略及其选择的本质——一种思维、一种信念系统和心智过程,在此基础上讨论了战略思维的特征、战略的描述和评价,为战略认知理论的发展和应用提供借鉴.     

一场声势浩大的新闻事件策划——浅析《金沙》的推广宣传策略

“新闻事件策划”这个命题自上世纪九十年代中期被提出以后,长期受到广泛争议和关注。在笔者的研究中,以一系列新闻事件策划的理论和实践研究成果为评判标准,主要关注成都市历时打造一年的文化名片“金沙”,以及作为媒体聚焦点的《金沙》音乐剧。在分析“金沙”成功的造势背后,揭示这条“金光闪闪”的文化产业链运作的新思路。     

交汇契合与并行发展——探寻高等师范教育改革与基础教育改革的共同之路

基础教育与高等师范教育是人才成长的摇篮,而且是教育的两个不同等级的环节.基础教育对中小学生基本素质的形成与知识能力的培养起着不可替代的作用,基础教育质量的提高取决于中小学教师质量的提高;高等师范教育及高等师范院校是学生素质提升与能力提高的关键时期,高等师范教育的目标是为基础教育服务,双方的合作与交流是成功培养人才的需求和必由之路.     

港台学校社会工作体系及其对心理健康学校社会工作保障系统研究的启示

在我国大陆地区迄今缺乏心理健康学校社会工作的专门研究,但港台地区关于学校社会工作体系及其研究却包含着心理健康的部分内容,并且初步形成了各自的特色;通过对港台地区学校社会工作体系现状、趋势和特点的系统梳理与探讨,可以为大陆构建大中学生心理健康学校社会工作保障系统及其研究提供借鉴和启示.     

Bridging the gap between social work practice and community based welfare agencies

This article argues that social work in the UK needs to renegotiate its relationship with community welfare agencies. It begins by examining what we mean by local community and how welfare needs reflect complex non-linear dynamics unique to the local circumstances. It is argued that these are not always recognised in centralised policy agendas. The article broadly draws a parallel between policy issues for the European Community and for the national state. The drive for both is towards uniformity, which potentially fails to acknowledge the unique circumstances at both the national level between nations and the local level between communities.

The focus of the analysis is the lack of engagement with the subtleties of the local within the arena of social work education and practice. With the opportunity presented by the introduction of a new social work degree in the UK, the authors describe how a social work programme in Liverpool undertook a piece of research with the aim of creating an appropriate place for community welfare agencies in practice placements, the academic curriculum and, ultimately, with the next generation of social work practitioners. Eight welfare agencies within the proximity of Liverpool University, an area known as Toxteth, agreed to participate in the research to investigate what kind of placement module would enable local welfare agencies to engage meaningfully in the social work degree. Out of this process emerged a model for research based curriculum development involving local community agencies and academic institutions. More specifically for Liverpool, it placed the notion of social work's relationship with local community welfare at the heart of professional development for qualifying social workers, paving the way in this region of England for closer links between welfare agencies associated with civil society and professional social workers.