村级计划生育工作与稳定低生育水平

我国稳定低生育水平工作的重点在农村。而农村目前存在干部认识不到位、依法行政不规范、宣传教育不深入、队伍素质不高、资金投入不足等问题。应采取强化宣传、村民自治、优质服务、正确导向、有效管理等措施 ,以确保农村低生育水平的稳定     

Selection of Single Sampling Attributes Plan for Given Acceptable Quality Level and Limiting Quality Level Involving Minimum Risks

A table and a procedure are given for finding the single sampling attributes plan involving minimum sum of producer's and consumer's risks for specified Acceptable Quality Level and Limiting Quality Level.     

Inference on proportional hazard rate model parameter under Type-I progressively hybrid censoring scheme

ABSTRACT

In this paper, under Type-I progressive hybrid censoring sample, we obtain maximum likelihood estimator of unknown parameter when the parent distribution belongs to proportional hazard rate family. We derive the conditional probability density function of the maximum likelihood estimator using moment-generating function technique. The exact confidence interval is obtained and compared by conducting a Monte Carlo simulation study for burr Type XII distribution. Finally, we obtain the Bayes and posterior regret gamma minimax estimates of the parameter under a precautionary loss function with precautionary index k = 2 and compare their behavior via a Monte Carlo simulation study.     

Estimation of P(Y < X) for Weibull Distribution Under Progressive Type-II Censoring

Based on progressively Type II censored samples, we consider the estimation of R = P(Y < X) when X and Y are two independent Weibull distributions with different shape parameters, but having the same scale parameter. The maximum likelihood estimator, approximate maximum likelihood estimator, and Bayes estimator of R are obtained. Based on the asymptotic distribution of R, the confidence interval of R are obtained. Two bootstrap confidence intervals are also proposed. Analysis of a real data set is given for illustrative purposes. Monte Carlo simulations are also performed to compare the different proposed methods.     

Model determination for categorical data with factor level merging

Summary.  We deal with contingency table data that are used to examine the relationships between a set of categorical variables or factors. We assume that such relationships can be adequately described by the cond`itional independence structure that is imposed by an undirected graphical model. If the contingency table is large, a desirable simplified interpretation can be achieved by combining some categories, or levels, of the factors. We introduce conditions under which such an operation does not alter the Markov properties of the graph. Implementation of these conditions leads to Bayesian model uncertainty procedures based on reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The methodology is illustrated on a 2×3×4 and up to a 4×5×5×2×2 contingency table.     

浅析慈善文化建设之深层理念培育

慈善事业的发展首先表现为社会成员广泛而踊跃的慈善行为，要激发人们的慈善行为就必须首先激发人们的慈善意识。而人们慈善意识的激发是基于主体理性的自觉认知基础上的，为此深层次的慈善理念培育至关重要，特别表现在如下四个方面：健康的财富观、人文关怀理念、社会责任感和“助人就是助己”的特殊功利观。     

浅析慈善文化建设之深层理念培育

慈善事业的发展首先表现为社会成员广泛而踊跃的慈善行为,要激发人们的慈善行为就必须首先激发人们的慈善意识。而人们慈善意识的激发是基于主体理性的自觉认知基础上的,为此深层次的慈善理念培育至关重要,特别表现在如下四个方面:健康的财富观、人文关怀理念、社会责任感和助人就是助己的特殊功利观。     

美国进步时代的廉政建设及其对中国的启示

19世纪末20世纪初既是美国历史上一个具有关键意义的转折时期,也是美国历史上政治腐败的高峰期。贪污受贿、收取回扣、巧取豪夺、偷盗欺诈、内部人交易等形形色色的丑闻充斥着当时的美国社会。对这个时代美国社会的腐败现象进行描述,剖析导致腐败的主要原因,系统介绍当时美国所采取的反腐措施,对于正在经历着深刻的经济和社会变革,面临着一些与美国进步时代相似问题的转型时期的中国来说是非常必要的,这可以为廉政建设提供有益的历史借鉴。     

边缘贫困群体的形成原因及扶助对策——以江苏省南京市为例

边缘贫困群体是一个新出现的困难群体.结合江苏省南京市的具体情况,分析了这一群体形成的主要原因,认为"低保"标准偏低、界定的单一化、就业不稳定以及政府缺乏专业工作人员,是这一群体形成的主要原因.探讨了针对边缘贫困群体的4点扶助对策,即推行"发展性社会政策"、实行差别救助、积极发挥社区援助功效以及强化非正式社会支持网络.     

Religiosity and Fertility Intentions: Can the Gender Regime Explain Cross-Country Differences?

Research on the relationship between religiosity and fertility intentions revealed substantial cross-national differences. In some countries, a strong and positive effect of religiosity on fertility intentions was found, while in others, the effect was weaker or not significant, and the reasons underlying these cross-national differences are still unclear. The aim of this article is to explain these macro-level differences from the perspective of the prevailing gender regime. We argue that in countries with more traditional regimes, a stronger effect of religiosity on fertility intentions could be expected than in countries with a more egalitarian view. We make use of the first wave of the Generations and Gender Survey and incorporate data from a total of 12 European countries in our analysis. We examine the influence of gender regime according to various macro-level indicators on gender attitudes and gender equality using meta-regression analyses. We also conduct robustness checks using other indicators such as the Gender Development Index. Our results reveal that the gender regime is only able to explain these differences in certain situations, specifically those relating to the long-term fertility intentions of men.