《101/2章世界史》中的反讽艺术

《10 1/2章世界史》是英国当代作家朱利安.巴恩斯的代表作之一。作者以《圣经》中的诺亚方舟为基本意象,敷衍出10 1/2章故事,同时以反讽的姿态重新审视神话传说和历史事件,在有限的篇幅内展现出了一幅独特的人类历史画卷。     

Employment, family union and childbearing decisions in Great Britain

Summary.  The paper investigates the life-cycle relationship of work and family life in Britain based on the British Household Panel Survey. Using hazard regression techniques we estimate a five-equation model, which includes birth events, union formation, union dissolution, employment and non-employment events. We find that transitions in and out of employment for men are relatively independent of other transitions. In contrast, there are strong links between employment of females, having children and union formation. By undertaking a detailed microsimulations analysis, we show that different levels of labour force participation by females do not necessarily lead to large changes in fertility events. Changes in union formation and fertility events, in contrast, have larger effects on employment.     

Pooling multivariate data under W, LR and LM tests

Two independent random samples are drawn from two multivariate normal populations with mean vectors μ1 and μ2 and a common variance-covariance matrix Σ. Ahmed and Saleh (1990) considered preliminary test maximum likelihood estimator (PMLTE) for estimating μ1 based on the Hotelling's T _N ², when it is suspected that μ1=μ2. In this paper, the PTMLE based on the Wald (W), Likelihood Ratio (LR) and Lagrangian Multiplier (LM) tests are considered. Using the quadratic risk function, the conditions of superiority of the proposed estimator for departure parameter are derived. A max-min rule for the size of the preliminary test of significance is presented. It is demonstrated that the PTMLE based on W test produces the highest minimum guaranteed efficiencies compared to UMLE among the three test procedures.     

The asymptotic equivalence between the iterated improved 2sls estimator and the 3sls estimator

In this paper we show that the 3SLS estimator of a system of equations is asymptotically equivalent to an iterative 2SLS estimator applied to each equation, augmented with the residuals from the other equations. This result is a natural extension of Telser (1964).     

城镇化进程中的文化经济探析

文化与经济一体化已成为当代经济和文化的发展趋向。文化经济对城镇化的推进作用亦不可替代。城镇化进程中必须认真盘点区域文化经济 ,以准确定位城镇性质、寻求历史与现实的“共生空间” ;同时还应合理利用区域文化资源 ,创造景观文化、发掘旅游文化、注重名牌文化等 ,以增强城镇的生命力和竞争力     

Bayesian prediction for progressively censored data from the Burr model

Received: August 14, 2000; revised version: April 23, 2001     

论社区零售订购业态

在短缺经济时代甚至直到19世纪,零售订购依然是人类重要的购物方式和销售方式。大工业资本主义的兴起几乎摧毁了零售订购业。在经济高速发展的今天,社区零售订购又恢复了他的生机,电话和电视订购也赋予了它新的涵义。B2C零售订购业将成为中国电子商务的E—SHOP零售营销大趋势。     

Testing the Goodness of Fit of Parametric Regression Models with Random Toeplitz Forms

ABSTRACT: We introduce a class of Toeplitz‐band matrices for simple goodness of fit tests for parametric regression models. For a given length r of the band matrix the asymptotic optimal solution is derived. Asymptotic normality of the corresponding test statistic is established under a fixed and random design assumption as well as for linear and non‐linear models, respectively. This allows testing at any parametric assumption as well as the computation of confidence intervals for a quadratic measure of discrepancy between the parametric model and the true signal g;. Furthermore, the connection between testing the parametric goodness of fit and estimating the error variance is highlighted. As a by‐product we obtain a much simpler proof of a result of 34 ) concerning the optimality of an estimator for the variance. Our results unify and generalize recent results by 9 ) and 15 , 16 ) in several directions. Extensions to multivariate predictors and unbounded signals are discussed. A simulation study shows that a simple jacknife correction of the proposed test statistics leads to reasonable finite sample approximations.     

不同Ca2+水平对三角帆蚌养殖水体藻类和细菌总量控制的研究

研究了不同Ca2+水平的水体系统中藻类增长特性,三角帆蚌滤食对于藻类的影响,藻类增长所导致的细菌增长对三角帆蚌所产生的危害.实验设计了五组Ca2+浓度水平(45.50mg/L、48.65mg/L、58.65mg/L、88.65mg/L、125.15mg/L),通过调节使pH与Ca2+浓度相对应,实验结果发现[Ca2+4]=88.65mg/L,pH=8.05的条件下,藻类生长最佳,而细菌总量则维持在低水平,同时对三角帆蚌生长较为有利.试验的应用价值有利于三角帆蚌快速生长,减少三角帆蚌病害发生和死亡.