跨国并购与我国企业技术进步的相关性分析

近年来，跨国并购逐渐成为我国企业国际化发展以及构建核心竞争能力的重要途径，而跨国并购能否对我国企业的技术进步起到积极的作用则成为理论研究的热点问题。针对此，采用全要素指标体系，分析了1991~2007年全要素增长率与跨国并购增长率之间的关系，认为:跨国并购的变化对技术进步具有一定的影响关系，但是由于技术并购在对外投资中的比重偏低，过分重视了技术的引进，忽视了技术的吸收消化过程等因素的影响，因此这种影响的效果并不显著。     

李正学《毛宗岗小说批评研究》评析

对李正学的《毛宗岗小说批评研究》进行了较为深刻的评析,认为李正学的这部论著将理论性与思辨性贯穿全书始终,在动态中彰显了作者历史意识的通识观,并从现代学术的视野指出毛氏理论的不足,在当代毛评研究中可谓别具一格,独具机抒。     

美国高等教育质量认证机构及其活动特征研究

美国高等教育质量认证活动是非政府、自愿的民间行为,但其认证活动却因科学客观、公正严明而享誉世界。究其原因,笔者认为美国高等教育质量认证机构采取的种种手段、方式方法对质量产生了保证作用,如权威的资格认可、认证机构专家的多元构成、认证标准的个性化和科学规范的操作程序等,学习和借鉴美国高等教育质量认证机构及其活动的特征将有益于我国构建科学、规范的教育质量评估制度。     

太平天国战争时期江西信丰的围城与守城——以吴秉衡《信丰守城记事略》为中心的讨论

自咸丰六年(1856)至同治三年(1864),信丰县城及县境经受了与太平军的多次战争,县城几番被围,最长的一次达二百二十余日。由于南赣官府、周边州县以及湘军的支援,另外署理知县吴秉衡的坚守,信丰县城得以保完。署理信丰知县吴秉衡的《信丰守城记事略》记载了太平军、匪寇围城的经过,该文献为认识咸、同时期江西地方史的重要史料,至今尚未得到学界的分析与解读。本文以《信丰守城记事略》等史料为主,讨论了太平军、匪寇的攻城策略,官府的应对措施以及信丰城乡战时的社会秩序等问题。     

寻找快乐的家园——读王安忆长篇小说《上种红菱下种藕》

小说《上种红菱下种藕》表现了上海附近一个小镇上的特殊风景,这里的生活气息浓郁,且温情怡然,这里的人们质朴而善良,这些都是我们向往的最宝贵的东西。在现代化的进程中,经济的、科学技术的现代化一方面带来了富庶和繁荣,另一方面也刮走了精神中的营养。     

我国股票市场指数及指数证券投资组合

运用主成分分析法分析我国上海和深圳两个交易所几个市场指数对市场变化的反应情 况, 结果表明两个股票市场的综合指数和A 股指数可以反应市场的变化, 而其他指数不能反 映各自代表的股票市场变化. 由于这4 个指数都不是一个好的投资组合, 要得到与指数一致的 投资收益需要构造指数投资组合. 本文利用多因子定价模型, 结合统计分析和优化方法, 从每 个股票市场上选取20 余支股票, 经过适当的组合就可以得到与指数一致的收益.     

Determinants of fertility levels and change among developed countries: 1958–1978

This article provides a multivariate cross-national test of the hypothesis that national population/family planning policies have effected levels, and changes in fertility in developed nations over the past two decades. Variation is assessed in the total fertility rates (TFR) in 1978, and in the change in these rates between 1958 and 1978, among thirty developed countries. Measures include socioeconomic development, divorce, percent in consensual unions, female labor force participation, abortion policy, and level of contraceptive use by married couples and, government population/family planning policy. Seventy percent of the variation in 1978 TFR is related to the percent contracepting, female labor force, and the population/family planning policy measures. These are the only measures with significant direct effects. A longitudinal analysis of 1958 to 1978 change in TFRs is also conducted. This model increases R² to 75%, and the three independent variables remain significant. Implications of these findings for policy makers interested in increasing or decreasing fertility rates are noted.     

抚河河道的变迁

本文从抚河河道变迁的事实出发，得出其变迁的特点，分析其变迁的原因。提出应加固抚河右堤、疏通东汉河与开挖下游东分流河行洪的建议。     

Food security, consumption diversification and foreign exchange balances in Indonesia: Results from a multi-commodity simulation

Many countries adopt economic development strategies, within which an important element is the maintenance of low and stable food prices. In Indonesia, this is achieved principally through government subsidies to consumers of imported rice, the total cost of which fluctuates considerably from year to year, depending on world price movements and domestic production performance. Higher and possibly less stable domestic food prices appear inevitable in Indonesia, however, as the spectre of reduced oil revenues increases the government's concern with the cost of its food policy. Results from a stochastic simulation model of the agricultural sector show that the food price risk to which consumers and producers would be exposed in the absence of the stabilizing component of Indonesia's food policy would be considerable, rendering this component an unlikely area for significant change. A viable policy option appears to be the continuance of rice and wheat price stabilization, but with a graduated increase in the relative price of rice, reaching a total of 10% by 1985. Such a policy could result in net self-sufficiency in foreign exchange from staple food trade by 1990 and an improvement in aggregate economic surplus, although the expected decade improvement in food-energy consumption per capita would fall from 10% to 8%.