从逻辑错谬到事实失察——评欧阳健先生的《还原脂砚斋》

欧阳健先生《还原脂砚斋》的核心仍是"脂批伪托说",其结论完全不能成立。逻辑错谬的表现之一为:赝品可以不仿真而制作;之二为:各不相谋的作伪者制成相同的赝品;之三为:作伪以开玩笑为目的,以蚀本为代价。因而导致的事实失察:前代之书抄袭后代之书。     

娜拉话语：40年代如何说——杂议《风雪夜归人》

《风雪夜归人》中的＂妇女解放＂意识的高扬和＂五四＂时期的时代精神并没有有机的融合,而是＂捏合＂。主人公始终处于半梦寐状态,剧本没有为其提供现实的出路。剧作本身的艺术魅力来源于民间文学精神的再现,观众在艺术境界中获得心理的缓解和平衡。该剧本现在仍具有很大的启示作用。     

深度翻译策略在张谷若《还乡》译本中的应用及其启示

深度翻译作为一种翻译策略,其根基在于阐释学,由人类阐释学中的深层描写演变而来。该策略提倡用注释的方法对原文本进行深度阐释和翻译。张谷若先生的译文均大量使用注释。正是深度翻译的诠释者。本文时张谷若《还乡》译本中注释进行研究和讨论,结论认为只有通过深度翻译对原文本做出语言和心理解释才能够有效避免成见给读者带来理解困难．有助于读者跨越历史距离和文本达到视域融合。     

当代国际恐怖主义的“宗教动员”

以宗教名义进行社会动员,是当代全球恐怖主义的一个重要特征。宗教动员下的恐怖主义已成为当代恐怖主义的主导势力,并经历了三重路径,且每条路径中都表现出国际"安全阀"遭到双重的破坏和挑战。梳理当代国际恐怖主义因"宗教动员"而泛滥的路径,可以为国际反恐提供某种思路,从而消除恐怖主义进行"宗教动员"的不良后果,并优化良好的宗教发展环境。     

基于嵌套Logit模型的中国省际人口二次迁移影响因素分析

本文主要根据中国第五次人口普查 1‰抽样数据 ,采用嵌套Logit模型 ,考察和分析1 990年代后期中国省际人口二次迁移的主要影响因素。通过对一般迁移、再迁移和回归迁移的考察分析发现 ,无论是个人因素还是区域经济因素 ,都对其迁移行为具有重要影响 :再迁移者明显受到潜在目的地区域环境因素的吸引 ;而回归迁移者对出生地的经济状况敏感程度较弱 ,但个人因素对其迁移选择有较大影响。     

European Union Policy on Asylum and Immigration. Addressing the Root Causes of Forced Migration: A Justice and Home Affairs Policy of Freedom,Security and Justice?

This paper contributes to the debate on the development of the future common European Union Policy on Asylum and Immigration. It seeks to explain the rationale behind the evolution of the Union's policy outlook on asylum and immigration. It then analyses the most recent Union‐wide policy tools available to address asylum and migration issues, arguing that common European asylum policies thus far have focused on containment of migration flows seen as a threat to the European internal security regime and in response to perceived populist pressures. The return and readmission clauses now being implemented, in agreements with countries outside of the Union, serve to illustrate this point, as does the political willingness to extra‐territorialize asylum processing. However, the focus on eliminating the root causes of migration flows is a relatively new paradigm, developed since the 1999 Tampere European Council. Although off to a slow start, the European Union Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument may become an institutional outlet to create a more normative framework for asylum and migration. The success of such a framework is contingent upon breaking with earlier conceptualizations of “asylum” as a security threat. Implicit in such a framework is the need to retain a clear distinction between asylum‐ and labour‐related migration. Partnerships must also be granted a budget sufficient for their establishment in real terms with countries of origin and transit. Lastly, there must be changes in modes of governance, as well as institutional reform, if efforts to elaborate a strategy on asylum and migration are to be executed successfully. Curiously, while the proposed Treaty establishing a Constitution for Europe sought to abolish the pillar structure put in place by the 1992 Treaty of Maastricht, it would have retained the institutional inhibitions imposed by long‐existing tensions between national and community administrations and the “inter‐pillar” battles between the foreign policy, humanitarian and development dimensions of the EU apparatus. The current political debate about moving Europe “closer to its people”, following the rejection of the proposed Constitution at national referenda in France and the Netherlands, appears unlikely to solve any of these tensions.     

Skew generalized extreme value distribution: Probability-weighted moments estimation and application to block maxima procedure

ABSTRACT

Following the work of Azzalini (1985 Azzalini, A. (1985). A class of distributions which includes the normal ones. Scand. J. Stat. 12:171–178.[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar] and 1986 Azzalini, A. (1986). Further results on a class of distributions which includes the normal ones. Statistica 46:199–208. [Google Scholar]) on the skew-normal distribution, we propose an extension of the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution, the SGEV. This new distribution allows for a better fit of maxima and can be interpreted as both the distribution of maxima when maxima are taken on dependent data and when maxima are taken over a random block size. We propose to estimate the parameters of the SGEV distribution via the probability-weighted moment method. A simulation study is presented to provide an application of the SGEV on block maxima procedure and return level estimation. The proposed method is also implemented on a real-life data.     

Equity Trading Volume and Volatility: Latent Information Arrivals and Common Long-Run Dependencies

This article examines the behavior of equity trading volume and volatility for the individual firms composing the Standard & Poor's 100 composite index. Using multivariate spectral methods, we find that fractionally integrated processes best describe the long-run temporal dependencies in both series. Consistent with a stylized mixture-of-distributions hypothesis model in which the aggregate “news”-arrival process possesses long-memory characteristics, the long-run hyperbolic decay rates appear to be common across each volume-volatility pair.     

劳动力回流后的个人发展及影响因素研究述评

迁移劳动力返乡后,利用外出务工期间积累的资本、技术从事自我经营,或者创办实业,发展新的产业,成为当前农村劳动力转移的一个新现象。国内外学术界关于迁移劳动力回流后个人发展的研究,主要关注的是回流劳动力就业行为和收入能力,分析外出务工经历对农村劳动力职业转变和创业行为的影响,并考察了迁移劳动力返乡以后,是否会促进技术的改进和新技能的传播。迁移劳动力回流后的就业选择将对回流地的就业结构、就业机会和工资结构等产生怎样的影响,有待进一步检验。     

“前后七子”的诗文复古与明代文化复古思潮

前人论明代前后七子复古运动的兴起,多将其原因归结于对"台阁体"文风及宋元诗文流弊之反动上.实则诗文复古乃是明代中叶兴起的文化复古思潮下的文学变奏.它与"书必篆隶"、"器从旧式"、"官名从古"、"礼从古制"等社会风气以及经学领域的汉学复兴、学术领域的考据学兴起、藏古之家的大量出现等,乃是同一种背景下的产物.