依托ECFA探索闽台服务业合作的新模式

伴随ECFA的生效、签署及海西建设《意见》的出台,闽台经济合作迎来了新的发展契机。本文在分析闽台服务业发展特征的基础上,深入探讨了闽台服务业交流合作的现有基础及发展过程中的制约因素,提出了以发展现代服务业为重点的新的合作模式,力将把福建建设成为两岸经济合作的现行先试区域。     

在无奈与理性之间：清代台湾平埔族迁徙原因辨析

清代台湾平埔族常有迁移他处、别置生业的现象。导致平埔族迁移的原因多种多样,有风俗习惯、人口膨胀、权力竞争、汉人挤压以及带着从汉人处习得的先进农业生产技术向外扩张移民等等。这些因素有的迫使平埔族不得不无奈地进行迁移,而有的则吸引平埔族主动、理性地进行迁移。整体而言,清代平埔族的迁徙可谓是在无奈与理性之间的一种抉择。     

闽台入境旅游特征比较

通过对闽台两地入境旅游特征的比较,结果表明:闽台入境旅游处于不同的发展阶段,台湾入境旅游总体规模大于福建,台湾旅游外汇收入和入境游客人均消费水平也远高于福建。但两者旅游密度均较低。台湾地区入境的外国客源市场发展水平较高,而华侨市场开发水平较低。闽台入境的外国客源市场集中度均较高,入境外国游客均以亚洲为主,日本和美国均是最重要的客源国。近年来闽台旅游互动有了重大突破,但闽台间双向旅游客流差异悬殊,以台湾游客赴闽旅游为主。在两岸"三通"实现背景下,闽台两地应进行旅游合作,构建以闽台为核心的"海峡旅游区",实现共赢。     

加强两岸农业合作,繁荣海峡西岸经济区

阐述了台湾农业的特点,从闽台农业合作与交流的现状,提出了借鉴台湾农业的成功经验,繁荣海峡西岸经济区的建议和对策:(1)发挥优势,确立闽台现代农业合作重点;(2)重视台资农业企业的引进,尤其是农产品加工业的引进;(3)增加投入,发展农业科技,并努力做好推广工作。     

Female High School Dropouts A Relational View

This study investigates risk and protective factors of Taiwanese female students who dropped out of high school. Twenty female youth who had dropped out of high school and who grew up and resided in Taiwan voluntarily participated in this study. Findings revealed particular relational conflicts and coping strategies employed by the girls that contributed to significant vulnerability, conflict at school and school dropout. Implications for social work practice are addressed.     

Exploring Policy and Financing Options for Long-Term Care in Taiwan

Summary

Policy and financing arrangements for long-term care are important themes in each country and/or region, and Taiwan, with its unique historic and politico-economic background, can be regarded as a bridge between well-developed and under-developed countries. Policy formulation about long-term care in Taiwan involves several agencies in the government, including Ministry of Health, Interior Affairs, Education, Insurance Bureau, and Economic Council, and formulation of policy objectives has progressed considerably in the last five years. Financing arrangements are less well-developed because the National Health Insurance Program began only in 1995, and most long-term care is not yet covered. As demand for long-term care exceeds supply, and this gap will grow in future, current resource allocation measures are concerned to facilitate the expansion of community care rather than allowing institutional care to absorb more resources. Developing future financing options is now a central task for policymaking, and government must continue to take a leading role in consolidating financing and integrating the service systems.     

台湾出生性别比的状况分析和对策研究

通过梳理有关台湾的人口资料,首先发现台湾出生性别比的发展呈现出总体偏高的趋势,其产生的原因是多种因素共同作用的结果。其次对台湾治理出生性别比偏高的直接和间接措施进行分析,直接措施是加大对非法性别鉴定的处罚,间接措施是消除不利文化的影响,营造促进妇女发展的社会环境。这些措施最终达到了＂标本兼治＂的目的。最后借鉴台湾治理出生性别比问题的经验和教训,为治理中国出生性别比偏高的问题提供相关对策。     

The Gamma-count distribution in the analysis of experimental underdispersed data

Event counts are response variables with non-negative integer values representing the number of times that an event occurs within a fixed domain such as a time interval, a geographical area or a cell of a contingency table. Analysis of counts by Gaussian regression models ignores the discreteness, asymmetry and heteroscedasticity and is inefficient, providing unrealistic standard errors or possibly negative predictions of the expected number of events. The Poisson regression is the standard model for count data with underlying assumptions on the generating process which may be implausible in many applications. Statisticians have long recognized the limitation of imposing equidispersion under the Poisson regression model. A typical situation is when the conditional variance exceeds the conditional mean, in which case models allowing for overdispersion are routinely used. Less reported is the case of underdispersion with fewer modeling alternatives and assessments available in the literature. One of such alternatives, the Gamma-count model, is adopted here in the analysis of an agronomic experiment designed to investigate the effect of levels of defoliation on different phenological states upon the number of cotton bolls. Data set and code for analysis are available as online supplements. Results show improvements over the Poisson model and the semi-parametric quasi-Poisson model in capturing the observed variability in the data. Estimating rather than assuming the underlying variance process leads to important insights into the process.     

论盟军高级将领战俘营迁徙与太平洋战争时局的关系

太平洋战争初期日军俘虏盟军准将以上军衔的高级将领76人。从1942年到1944年间,日军对高级将领战俘的羁押地实施从马尼拉至台湾最后到奉天的迁移,这种变化与整个战争时局的变化具有内在的一致性,战俘成为战争的内在组成部分。迁徙的过程和地点反映日军试图以盟军高官战俘为筹码负隅顽抗的图谋。     

台湾学术伦理案件法律属性之分析

我国台湾地区对于触及科研不端行为的规范,统称为学术伦理规范。学术伦理案件涉及研究人员与国家机关之间、研究人员与其所在单位之间行政法律关系;涉及行政处分、行政契约、法规命令及行政规则、行政计划以及行政指导等行政行为形式;涉及行政义务履行确保、行政调查、行政程序、行政争讼及国家补偿等五套制度。学术伦理案件所涉规范与著作权法之间有部分重叠之处,也必须加以厘清。