养羊场户饲养规模扩大意愿影响因素分析——基于山东省17地市849家养羊场(户)的调查数据

养羊场(户)扩大饲养规模是提高羊养殖规模化程度的前提。利用山东省17地市849份养羊场(户)的调查数据,运用Logit二元离散选择模型,实证分析了养羊场(户)饲养规模扩大意愿的影响因素。研究结果表明:决策者文化程度、饲养规模、饲养类型、专业化程度、是否加入养羊合作社、是否加入产业化经营组织6个因素对养羊场(户)饲养规模扩大意愿有显著影响。     

农民工子女留守原因分析

农民工子女留守农村是国家现行城乡分割的二元体制的结果,也是城乡两种不同社会与文明推拉合力作用的产物,同时是作为父母的农民工在迁移流动中的理性抉择与意识建构。城市生存境遇、乡村归属意识及城乡分割的义务教育体制等是农民工子女留守的重要因素。解决农民工子女问题,需要城乡相关体制的建立。     

战后德国的男性人口短缺——规模、结构及其影响因素分析

本文对战后德国男性人口短缺的规模、结构及其影响因素进行了认真的分析.研究表明战后德国男性人口短缺非常严重,但随着时间的推移,男性短缺矛盾逐年趋于缓和.究其原因,性别结构因素在其中扮演了绝对重要的角色,但其影响逐年减弱,年龄结构因素的影响有限,而人口规律因素的影响则有所增强.     

An Exploratory Study of Financial Remittances Among Non-Resident Indians in the United States

Remittances by immigrants and temporary workers of Indian origin in industrialized countries are a growing part of India’s economy. In this exploratory study we examine the social and economic characteristics affecting the remittance pattern of working households (or families) of Indian origin residing in the United States. As most previous studies have been undertaken at the macroeconomic level, our main contribution lies in identifying the household level factors that may influence remittances. Using an online and a mail-in survey of 39 households we find some of the significant factors affecting remittances. We also validate some of the remittance-related policies of the Indian government.

内向的小佳如何变成孩子王——幼儿交往发展中的家庭影响因素典型个案研究

交往能力在个体终身成长中的作用显著，家庭是影响幼儿交往能力发展的至关重要的环境。本文通过对一则典型案例的调查访谈，梳理分析，揭示了在一个孩子交往行为发展进程中家庭因素的变化，以及可能对幼儿交往行为造成的影响。鲜活生动的事例便于身处其中的幼儿父母、幼教工作者们对照反思，以获取实用的育儿心得，对培养幼儿交往行为的发展具有一定指导和借鉴意义。     

全球化背景下的中国法治进路——以整合发展观为视角

由于东西方文化的差异,对法治的理解和实践也不尽相同.在经济全球化的今天,中国一方面必须吸收和接受外来法治观念和法律制度,另一方面还要保持自身个性,以使法治发展适应自身的经济、政治和社会文化传统的要求.基于法治发展的这种两难状态,本文结合中国自身实际,引入了一种法治的新发展观--整合发展观,并在此基础上审视探析法治在中国实现的可能途径,从而提出在中国实现法治应当对法治要素进行位次排序.     

依赖与脆弱性：农民养老问题的一个实证分析——基于全国十个省份1000余位农民的调查数据

文章基于2009年全国十个省份30个行政村1000余位农民的调查数据，从“依赖性一脆弱性一养老困境”的逻辑关系出发．以农民养老的经济依赖途径为切入点。利用Multinomial Logistic回归模型，实证分析了农民养老的脆弱性及其影响因素。结果显示，那些同时具备女性、年龄较大、养儿防老观念比较强、家庭收入比较低、没有儿子、家庭整劳力比较少、纯农户和所在村经济情况比较差特征的农民，是依赖性最强的农民，他们面临的养老脆弱性程度也最高。由于现实生活中。全部具备上述所有条件的农民毕竟是少数。但农村社会政策刺定部门可以根据农民满足上述条件的多寡．来判断其养老脆弱性程度的高低。并以此为依据选择农村社会政策的重点关注对象。     

The Impact of the Therapist's Curiosity on the Treatment Process of Children and Adolescents

Therapists bring their own initiative, interest, and wonder—their professional curiosity—into treatment sessions. Some children and adolescents pull away in reaction to this curiosity, bristling or withdrawing, if only for a moment. This can happen abruptly, even in response to the first hello, but most often it occurs subtly, over the course of treatment. These children and adolescents may be replaying the ruptures in relationships they experienced when they have expressed their own initiative and curiosity to important others in their lives. Therapists need to utilize opportunities to understand the dynamics, explore where the original ruptures may have occurred, and bring the experience into therapeutic focus. Case vignettes illustrate these dynamics.     

Human and organizational factors in offshore safety

The role of human and organizational factors in predicting accidents and incidents has become of major interest to the UK offshore oil and gas industry. Some of these factors had been measured in an earlier study focusing on the role of risk perception in determining accident involvement. The current study sought to extend the methodology by focusing on perceptions of organizational factors that could have an impact on safety. A self-report questionnaire was developed and distributed to 11 installations operating on the UK Continental Shelf. A total of 722 were returned (33% response rate) from a representative sample of the offshore workforce on these installations. The study investigated the underlying structure and content of offshore employees' attitudes to safety, feelings of safety and satisfaction with safety measures. Correlations and step-wise regression analysis were used to test the relationships between measures. The results suggest that 'unsafe' behaviour is the 'best' predictor of accidents/near misses as measured by self-report data and that unsafe behaviour is, in turn, driven by perceptions of pressure for production.     

解析当代农民工的“中国式离婚”——对安徽省966例农民工的调查

通过对安徽省铜陵市、安庆市农村966例农民工的离婚情况进行调查,解析了城乡二元结构下农民工离婚的深层原因.认为随着社会的进步,农村女性独立人格意识不断增强、农民对婚姻质量的要求不断提高、社会流动使农民的"眼界距离"不断加大以及农民工离婚环境较为宽松等是农民工离婚的主要原因.