Multicountry dynamic multipliers under fixed and floating exchange rates: An econometric analysis

The present paper attempts to analyze the dynamic multiplier effects of fiscal monetary policies for developed countries in a consistent framework of a global econometric model under both fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. The paper first discusses the estimation of exchange rate functions for eight developed countries with special reference to “fundamentals” in economic performance such as international gaps in inflation, productivity, expected real rate of return, and so on. The results are then incorporated into the global model to derive and compare dynamic multipliers under both fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes. “Insulation effects” are observed in most cases in terms of both output and inflation, though this differs according to the country. Policy implications are discussed at the end.     

A protective service system

This article presents the results of a small scale study of the protective service caseload of a mid-western metropolitan area. The basic characteristics of the caseload match the national picture presented by the American Humane Association's National Study on Child Abuse and Neglect. The present study focused on the degree to which “systematic” vs. “random” forces appear to be at work in the progress of cases through the system. The overall picture is of some systematic efforts to conduct the process of referrals to community agencies but of a great deal of “randomness” in the bureaucratic closing of cases. This is a major area of concern.     

The marginal high school student: defining the problem and searching for policy

The central issue explored in this paper concerns those principles and objectives that should guide the formulation of policy aimed at the marginal high school student. Recent efforts to make these youth more employable through specialized and remedial programs are examined. After the general ineffectiveness of such programs is noted, an analysis is offered which links delinquency and adolescent development theory. The concept of adolescent social development is explored along with the effects of experiential education programs as a context for stimulating this development. Finally, to promote the use of programs which provide for adolescent social development, a policy of modified vouchers is advocated.     

Tracing developmental trends in Ira Gordon's programs for children and families

Ira Gordon's work in the area of child and family services is traced for six of his programs according to two main trends: (1) perceptions of families through the years and the changing roles of parents in the education of their children; and (2) curriculum changes in activities brought into homes. Gordon's programs, some being initiated as early as 1966, focused upon parents, infants, toddlers, and school-age children and utilized home visitations as a major intervention strategy. Evidence of successes reported for these programs has shown the impact of early intervention upon children as well as their families, school, and community.     

国际化视角下理科拔尖人才培养的探索研究--以北京航空航天大学大学华罗庚实验班为例

理科拔尖人才培养是国家高等教育的战略计划,是一项长期复杂的系统工程。随着高等教育国际化的不断深入,国际化的视角亦赋予了理科拔尖人才培养更为丰富的内涵。以北京航空航天大学华罗庚实验班为例,该班通过打造国际化课程体系、构建理科创新平台和加强国际交流合作等途径,为培养国际化的理科拔尖人才提供了创新的思路。     

铁路钢桁梁桥在重载列车下的受力适应性分析

京津冀协同发展背景下,河北省需要通过“分区+分步”方式逐步提高城市化水平。石家庄在构建城镇体系过程中,也要采取分片区的发展对策,“一核+四片区”是其理性选择。以鹿泉为核心的鹿泉子片区将平山县和井陉县整合在一起,在发展过程中要形成月牙形城镇体系,使得子片区最南端和最北端的城镇化水平均得到快速提升。在此过程中,子片区中的每个行政单元都要形成各具特色的城镇体系：鹿泉区形成四边形城镇体系,黄壁庄镇、大河镇、铜冶镇和白鹿泉乡是四边形的顶点;平山县要形成“C+”形式的城镇链,通过以平山县中心地为依托构建的核心城镇团带动“内环”、“外环”和“一链”的发展;井陉县要形成“两线+三片”的城镇体系。鹿泉子片区在发展过程中,还要从区域外做文章,将晋东和冀西整合在一起,借力发展提升城镇化速度。     

研究型高校教师能力素质模型构建与初步应用--基于北京航空航天大学优势学科教师调查

如何提升科研教师队伍的整体素质以增强高校科学研究和知识创新能力,一直是高校步入研究型高校需要努力的方向之一。本文依据能力素质相关理论,从文献、教师角色定位和教师从业资格三个方面进行分析,并初步构建了包含个性素质、必备知识、工作技能与综合能力三个维度的研究型高校教师能力素质模型。通过对北航优势学科的教师能力素质进行问卷调查收集数据,借助统计分析工具验证了该模型的有效性。将该模型应用到教师队伍的管理中可以对研究型高校教师队伍的发展起到方向性的指引作用。