有机包裹体在碳酸盐岩油气源岩评价中的应用

本文首次对我国西昌盆地、鄂尔多斯盆地及江油马角坝地区不同时代破酸盐岩油气源岩研究衣明，在油气源岩演化的各个阶段均可形成有机包裹体.有机包裹体是油气源岩中烃类物质的原始样品，它记载着油气源岩演化过程中所发生的所有事件及有关信息。在油气源岩评价中，有机包裹休的类型、特征、古温度、含量及组分等参数，结合其它研究结果，可有效地对油气源岩的演化程度、生油热历史、有机质热演化分区、油气资源量以及油气源岩性质和成因等进行综合研究和评价。实践证明该评价方法是可行的。     

OECD Economic Outlook: How We Got Here and Where We're Headed

The second oil shock and the policy response to it have shaped and will continue to shape the Economic performance of the industrialized countries (OECD), and they have produced serious strains in the international trade and financial systems. The present recovery is divergent in pattern with the OECD, and its sustainability is a necessary, though not sufficient, condition for the restoration of world Economic health.     

When controversial businesses meet dialogic communication: Insights from public relations practitioners in the oil and gas industry

This study investigated how public relations practitioners understand and practice dialogic communication in the controversial oil and gas industry. Guided by theoretical works of dialogic theory of public relations, the dialogic ladder, and negative spaces of dialogue, in-depth interviews were conducted with 21 practitioners who held public relations/communication positions serving the oil and gas industry in Canada. The findings suggest some points of alignment between practitioners’ understanding of dialogic public relations and the related theoretical orientation. Practitioners reported predominantly using an interpersonal approach for shallow dialogue followed by mediated and procedural approaches with different stakeholders in practice. Interviewees also shared the unique challenges they face in practicing dialogic communication due to the controversies surrounding the industry. Theoretical and practical implications are discussed.     

国际油价向中国通货膨胀的传递及其影响因素研究

 本文深入分析了1992年以来国际油价向中国通货膨胀传递的特征,发现它是一个时变过程,且这个过程在1998年前后有一个明显的结构突变。通过结合1992年以来与油价有关的事件以及国家几次大的宏观经济政策的调整进行分析,本文探讨并实证检验了可能对国际油价传递产生影响的因素。文章最后给出了相关的结论和政策建议,以期给政策制定者们一些有益的参考。     

从中俄石油管道项目"安大线"的夭折看中日能源战略竞争

进入21世纪,中俄战略协作伙伴关系得到稳步发展,两国达成中俄石油管道“安大线”合作协议。但在“安大线”项目落实过程中,日本突然插手,欲与俄罗斯合作修建“安纳线”石油管道,中日两国在能源战略利益上发生碰撞。中日两国竞争俄罗斯能源的结果是,俄罗斯政府放弃了与中国“安大线”和日本“安纳线”的合作项目,从而使中俄“安大线”合作项目夭折。中日两国对俄罗斯能源的利益之争不是单纯的能源利益之争,它隐含着地缘经济、政治战略的竞争。同时,它促使中国重新思考今后的能源战略问题。     

1973年石油危机与日本中东政策的调整

1973年10月第四次中东战争爆发后,阿拉伯国家限产提价,造成石油危机,对以美国为首的西方国家施加压力。日本石油严重依赖阿拉伯国家的石油,国内立即陷入危机,不得不与美国反复磋商,最后在美国的默许下发表了基本符合阿拉伯要求的声明。日本对中东政策的调整,是在对中东石油的需求和受美国控制的夹缝中进行的。日美关系是战后日本对外政策的基轴,冷战中如此,冷战后亦如此。     

油菜品种奥罗与诸葛菜杂交后代株系的选育

诸葛菜作为一种新油料植物资源，具有油份品质优良和农艺性状较好的特点。本拭验通过奥罗与诸葛菜的远缘杂交，希望把诸葛菜的部分优良性状转移到油菜中去，以获得优质、高产、抗病的油菜新品种。经检验，奥罗与诸葛菜杂交F8代种子的油份中，营养价值高的脂肪酸如（油酸）的含量较高，而营养价值低的脂肪酸如（芥酸）的含量较低。在杂种F3代群体中，经选择鉴定，首次获得一批优质、高产、耐病的新株系。     

中日石油博弈及对策论析

中国和日本作为亚洲近邻的两个世界能源消费大国和进口大国,近年来,海外能源争战中、俄罗斯石油管道之争、东海石油勘探之争,将中日两国“能源之争”彻底暴露于世人面前。从地缘政治和地缘经济的角度看,两国在世界范围争夺石油资源在所难免。如果中日双方能够避免对抗性、排他性的传统博弈形式,走向建设性的竞争合作,则不仅可以实现各自能源安全的“双赢”,而且还有助于世界石油市场的稳定和资源的公平合理配置。     

从里海“BTC”石油管道建成后看中国——哈萨克斯坦石油管线建设

里海“BTC”石油运输管道的建成有力地改变了里海、中亚地区的地缘政治、经济。从其管道建设的走向上来看,以美国为首的西方国家和俄罗斯为争夺里海的地缘政治的角逐愈发明显,这条管道对于中哈石油的管道建设,以及以后的石油运输都会带来很大影响,作为中国的石油战略必须为此加强预见性的工作。     

Two Results Useful for Implementing Litterman's Procedure for Interpolating a Time Series

Comparing forecasts with actually observed values is one possible way to check the structural stability of time series. In this study, prediction tests based on this principle are investigated in the context of multiple time series analysis. It is found that the power of tests based on univariate series may exceed that of tests based on multivariate series and vice versa. Therefore, it is proposed to use both kinds of tests in practice. The tests are used to investigate the stability of a system of West German economic data during and after the 1973–1974 and 1979–1980 oil price increases.