习近平关于青年成长的论述蕴含的历史唯物主义底蕴及其意义

习近平关于青年成长的论述不仅具有丰富的内涵,还蕴含着深厚的历史唯物主义哲学底蕴。习近平立足当前的社会现实,坚持唯物主义历史观,密切联系中国发展的现实和青年成长的实际,用中国梦引领新时代青年,充分诠释了青年发展和时代进步之间的相互关系。在对青年的认识上,习近平坚持以人为本,从青年本体出发,根据青年自身的发展特点和规律开展青年工作,把促进人的自由全面发展作为青年发展的目标。同时,强调实践的重要性,鼓励青年积极发挥主观能动性,增强创新创造能力,发扬艰苦奋斗精神,练就过硬本领,把实现中华民族伟大复兴的中国梦落实到具体的社会实践中。习近平关于青年成长的论述是对马克思主义青年观的创新和发展,具有鲜明的时代特色和中国特色,是新时代习近平中国特色社会主义思想的重要组成部分,具有重要的理论价值和实践意义。     

Test for Parameter Change in Linear Processes Based on Whittle's Estimator

In this article, we develop a cusum test for testing for parameter changes in linear processes based on Whittle's estimator. It is shown that under regularity conditions, the test statistic converges to the sup of a Brownian bridge. The result is particularly useful in handling the change point test in stationary ARMA processes. A simulation result is provided for illustration.     

Gluing Copulas

We present a new way of constructing n-copulas, by scaling and gluing finitely many n-copulas. Gluing for bivariate copulas produces a copula that coincides with the independence copula on some grid of horizontal and vertical sections. Examples illustrate how gluing can be applied to build complicated copulas from simple ones. Finally, we investigate the analytical as well as statistical properties of the copulas obtained by gluing, in particular, the behavior of Spearman's ρ and Kendall's τ.     

Dynamic Copula-Based Markov Time Series

This article examines a test procedure for checking the constancy of serial dependence via copulas for Markov time series data. It also provides a copula-based modeling approach for the dynamic serial dependence. Various parametric families of copulas offering different dependent structures are investigated. A score test is proposed for checking the constancy of a copula parameter. The score test is constructed and its asymptotic null distribution established under a two-stage estimation procedure. The test does not require specification of the probability distribution for the copula parameter. To capture the dynamics of dependence structure over time, autoregressive moving average and exponential type models are proposed. Illustrations are given based on simulated data and historic coffee prices data.     

Inference for the Mean Residual Life Function via Empirical Likelihood

In addition to the distribution function, the mean residual life (MRL) function is the other important function which can be used to characterize a lifetime in survival analysis and reliability. For inference on the MRL function, some procedures have been proposed in the literature. However, the coverage accuracy of such procedures may be low when the sample size is small. In this article, an empirical likelihood (EL) inference procedure of MRL function is proposed and the limiting distribution of the EL ratio for MRL function is derived. Based on the result, we obtain confidence interval/band for the MRL function. The proposed method is compared with the normal approximation based method through simulation study in terms of coverage probability.     

Mixed Graphical Model Selection Using Holm's Procedure

The problem of selecting a graphical model is considered as a performing simultaneously multiple tests. The control of the overall Type I error on the selected graph is done using the so famous Holm's procedure. We prove that when we use a consistent edge exclusion test the selected graph is asymptotically equal to the true graph with probability at least equal to a fixed level 1 ? α. This method is then used for the selection of mixed concentration graph models by performing the χ²-edge exclusion test. We also apply the method to two classical examples and to simulated data. We compare the overall error of the selected model with the one obtained using the stepwise method. We establish that the control is better when we use the Holm's procedure.     

Detection and Interpretation of a Multivariate Signal Using Combined Charts

A control procedure is presented in this article that is based on jointly using two separate control statistics in the detection and interpretation of signals in a multivariate normal process. The procedure detects the following three situations: (i) a mean vector shift without a shift in the covariance matrix; (ii) a shift in process variation (covariance matrix) without a mean vector shift; and (iii) both a simultaneous shift in the mean vector and covariance matrix as the result of a change in the parameters of some key process variables. It is shown that, following the occurrence of a signal on either of the separate control charts, the values from both of the corresponding signaling statistics can be decomposed into interpretable elements. Viewing the two decompositions together helps one to specifically identify the individual components and associated variables that are being affected. These components may include individual means or variances of the process variables as well as the correlations between or among variables. An industrial data set is used to illustrate the procedure.     

On Kendall's Autocorrelations

This brief article extends the theory of sample Kendall's autocorrelations by providing their exact variances at lags higher than one under the null hypothesis of randomness, by introducing and investigating their weighted modifications, and by numerical demonstration of these results and their usefulness.     

A Design of s Control Charts with a Combined Double Sampling and Variable Sampling Interval Scheme

In this paper, we propose new estimation techniques in connection with the system of S-distributions. Besides “exact” maximum likelihood (ML), we propose simulated ML and a characteristic function-based procedure. The “exact” and simulated likelihoods can be used to provide numerical, MCMC-based Bayesian inferences.