全球治理：结构与过程

20世纪90年代以来,全球治理这一术语开始广泛传播,然而无论是其价值诉求还是政治主张都面临着太多争议。本文对全球治理的结构、过程、合法性和原动力进行理论总结,并对全球治理的规则和机制进行了相关分析。本文认为,全球治理的原动力在于适当地赋予非国家公共权力治理的合法性,以及普通公民对普遍价值和世界主义的学习能力。     

基于协方差阵特征结构的新型控制图研究

本文在深入分析现行广义方差类的统计控制图存在的统计监控缺陷的基础上,提出了对多变量过程的协方差阵的特征向量张成的坐标系的一致性进行统计监控的C控制图,以及对特征值构成的椭球体的相似性进行监控的S控制图,有效地提高了对多变量过程的协方差阵的异常变动的统计监控能力。仿真表明,联合使用C控制图、S控制图及常规均值T²控制图,能够实现对多变量过程的协方差阵与均值的系统监控,显著改善监控效率。     

高新技术企业基层主管胜任力测度模型研究

胜任力模型是制定人力资源管理相关决策的基础,已有文献关注的重点是中高层管理者,对基层主管胜任力的研究相对薄弱。少量研究构建的基层主管胜任力模型与组织发展需求存在一定的滞后性。因此,选择基层主管胜任力作为关注焦点,构建与高新技术企业情境相对应的基层主管胜任力结构及测度模型,提出了基层主管胜任力的2阶8维的概念模型;采用360度和问卷调查相结合的方法收集大样本数据进行修正;基于AHP确定了基层主管胜任力维度及特征指标赋权,形成了最终的基层主管胜任力测度模型。     

Regularized Posteriors in Linear Ill‐Posed Inverse Problems

Abstract. We study the Bayesian solution of a linear inverse problem in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian prior and noise distribution. Our contribution is to propose a new Bayes estimator which is a linear and continuous estimator on the whole space and is stronger than the mean of the exact Gaussian posterior distribution which is only defined as a measurable linear transformation. Our estimator is the mean of a slightly modified posterior distribution called regularized posterior distribution. Frequentist consistency of our estimator and of the regularized posterior distribution is proved. A Monte Carlo study and an application to real data confirm good small‐sample properties of our procedure.     

An optimal selection of two-level regular single arrays for robust parameter experiments

Efforts have been made in the literature to find optimal single arrays which work best for the robust parameter experiments. However, examples show that in many cases the optimal designs obtained by the existing criteria cloud not attain the maximum number of clear interested effects for robust parameter experiments. In this paper, through a similar way of Zhang et al. (2008) (ZLZA, in short), an aliasing pattern to measure the confounding between the interested effects and other effects for the case of robust parameter designs is introduced. A new criterion for selecting optimal two-level regular single arrays is proposed. In the consideration of the criterion, two rank-orders of effects are suggested: one is based on the interest of experimenters and the other is under the usual effect hierarchy principle. The optimal designs are tabulated in the appendix.     

Conceptual Model and Map of Psychological Abuse of Older Adults

Psychological abuse of older adults is a hidden and pervasive problem that is not well conceptualized nor well measured. Goals. The goals were to (a) conceptualize psychological abuse using three-dimensional concept maps, and (b) develop theoretical models. Methods. Statements describing the construct were generated by local and national panels. These were sorted and rated using Concept Systems software whereby the concepts were depicted as a map. Results. The concept maps guided development of theoretical hierarchies. Significance. Theoretical models may help to develop measures to estimate prevalence better and may enable more precise screening for triage into appropriate interventions.     

论帮助犯罪分子逃避处罚罪的既遂形态

"帮助犯罪分子逃避处罚"并非本罪构成要件中的目的或结果,而是本罪的行为方式。本罪行为过程分为帮助方获取信息或者双方共谋—通风报信(提供便利)—"犯罪分子"积极配合—犯罪分子采取行动,在此过程中有成立犯罪未遂、中止的可能性,行为的自然属性具有过程性、时间持续性;本罪行为的社会属性系侵犯了特定的刑事诉讼活动,其社会危害性不同于举动犯、危险犯。因此本罪系行为犯中的过程犯,其既遂点是获得帮助的犯罪分子积极配合并着手采取妨害司法机关刑事诉讼活动。     

认知视角下英语学习者听力问题研究

听力理解是一个繁杂而积极的过程,在语言学习中听力起着重要的作用.但由于听力自身的特点,听力研究曾一度被忽视,而学生的听力问题更是没有得到重视.本研究运用Anderson的听力过程三阶段模式,从认知视角探索学生在听力过程中所面临的问题与困难.40名来自内蒙古工业大学的大学一年级学生参与本研究.本研究采用学生日记及采访的方式收集数据.研究结果表明:学生在听力过程中存在的主要问题有8类.在听力过程的三个阶段,学生存在的问题较多的是在接收信息阶段.因此教师在听力教学过程中要注重听力信息接收阶段学生存在的问题,采用不同的教学方法更好地帮助学生提高听力理解能力.     

气象灾害事件正式信息扩散模型研究

对气象灾害事件信息的研究是解构气象灾害事件的重要路径。依据信息传播的渠道和主体,可以将气象灾害事件信息划分为正式信息和非正式信息。气象灾害事件正式信息的扩散路径相对固定,发布具有可控性,但是正式传播渠道不能保证其真实性。气象灾害正式信息在扩散过程中具有非线性、稀释性和支离性等特征。在此基础上构建的气象灾害事件正式信息扩散模型表明,对气象灾害信息持开放态度,注重信息扩散方式的创新,加强对专业性信息的通俗化处理,重视对公众的培训和教育以及选择合适的气象灾害信息发布策略,将有助于引导信息扩散,优化气象灾害事件的应急处置。