A bayesian estimator for the dependence function of a bivariate extreme‐value distribution

Any continuous bivariate distribution can be expressed in terms of its margins and a unique copula. In the case of extreme‐value distributions, the copula is characterized by a dependence function while each margin depends on three parameters. The authors propose a Bayesian approach for the simultaneous estimation of the dependence function and the parameters defining the margins. They describe a nonparametric model for the dependence function and a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of the Bayesian estimator. They show through simulations that their estimator has a smaller mean integrated squared error than classical nonparametric estimators, especially in small samples. They illustrate their approach on a hydrological data set.     

一种LOG-MAP算法的改进迭代实现及其结构

对LOG-MAP算法进行了可并发性分析,利用可以完整接收一个N长符号传输帧的条件以及正向迭代和反向迭代中的固有对称性质,提出了LOG-MAP算法的一种修正迭代实现算法,其正向和反向迭代计算次数只需码长N的一半,故比标准LOG-MAP算法提高了一倍的处理速度,且没有空间开销的增加、同时,根据修正的迭代实现算法给出了相应的适于FPGA实现的双总线硬件结构的实现方案。     

论互联网时代政治传播的个性化与多元化

政治传播的最终目的在于使受众成为完成党和政府的政治文化建构及政治行为实施的一部分。互联网作为新兴的大众传播媒介，它的兴起为政治传播提供了新的交流平台和多元化的言说空间。伴随着互联网成长起来的新生代以及这一代人所创造的新生代文化在客观上影响着当代政治的叙述方式，这种文化特征要求政治叙述具有个性化特征；同时，政治人物的个人形象在互联网时代的政治传播中也显示出前所未有的影响力。     

以太网光桥的研究

根据有关网络技术和具体的实验,提出一种以太网光桥的实现方案,并对光桥的几个性能参数进行了分析讨论。     

一个四层非均匀平面光波导的色散方程

借助 W.K.B 方法,参照四层均匀平面光波导的色散方程,提出了一个适用于计算四层非均匀平面光波导传播常数的色散方程。理论分析与数值计算表明,该方程不仅适用于具有任意折射率分布的四层非均匀波导,而且计算步骤简单,精度高。在0.6～1.55μm 波长范围内,用我们的公式与严格解析公式进行计算,其结果的最大差值<±1×10~(-4)。     

Domains of convergence for the EM algorithm: a cautionary tale in a location estimation problem

The EM algorithm is a popular method for maximizing a likelihood in the presence of incomplete data. When the likelihood has multiple local maxima, the parameter space can be partitioned into domains of convergence, one for each local maximum. In this paper we investigate these domains for the location family generated by the t-distribution. We show that, perhaps somewhat surprisingly, these domains need not be connected sets. As an extreme case we give an example of a domain which consists of an infinite union of disjoint open intervals. Thus the convergence behaviour of the EM algorithm can be quite sensitive to the starting point.     

Bayesian analysis of outlier problems using divergence measures

A Bayesian approach is presented for detecting influential observations using general divergence measures on the posterior distributions. A sampling-based approach using a Gibbs or Metropolis-within-Gibbs method is used to compute the posterior divergence measures. Four specific measures are proposed, which convey the effects of a single observation or covariate on the posterior. The technique is applied to a generalized linear model with binary response data, an overdispersed model and a nonlinear model. An asymptotic approximation using Laplace method to obtain the posterior divergence is also briefly discussed.     

改进的OBS长度自适应门限组装算法

现有OBS长度自适应组装算法的突发数据长度门限的选择虽然随着业务流的变化而变化,克服了固定长度门限算法输出的突发数据的突发性,但仍然没有考虑业务流的自相似特性,因此不能有效降低输出突发数据的自相似程度和分组阻塞率。针对这一问题,该文提出了一种改进的OBS长度自适应门限组装算法,能根据到达的网络业务流的自相似特性自适应地调整长度门限值。仿真结果表明:在相同的调度算法下,更能降低业务流的自相似性,分组阻塞率降低一个数量级。     

货物运输车辆的调度算法

本文以上海煤炭公司为例,讨论了运煤车辆的计算机调度问题,提出一个数学模型及有效的近似算法。在算法实现中,采用了一些较为先进的数据结构,使运算速度及存储需求均有较大的改善。对实际算例计算结果表明,采用本算法进行运输车辆调度,经济效益比人工调度有明显的提高。     

Principal curves revisited

A principal curve (Hastie and Stuetzle, 1989) is a smooth curve passing through the middle of a distribution or data cloud, and is a generalization of linear principal components. We give an alternative definition of a principal curve, based on a mixture model. Estimation is carried out through an EM algorithm. Some comparisons are made to the Hastie-Stuetzle definition.