上证30指数股市盈率实证分析

通过对2000年上证30指数股市盈率水平及其影响因素进行实证分析,可以发现,其中股息支付率、每股收益增长率、行业平均市盈率对股票P/E值起主要的解释作用,而股本规模因素,解释力却有限,除每股收益增长率外,各变量的相关性与理论分析基本一致.     

论环境会计目标

文章首先分析了我国目前存在的几种关于环境会计目标的观点,然后论述了环境会计的基本目标和具体目标,认为环境会计的基本目标是提高环境效益,实现经济效益和环境效益的协调发展,具体目标是向社会主体提供有关的环境会计信息。     

Health Risk,Inequality Indexes,and Environmental Justice

Inequality indexes have long been used to analyze distributions of income. Studies have recently begun to use these tools to evaluate the equity of distributions of environmental harm. In response, issues have been raised regarding the appropriateness of using income-based measures in the context of undesirable outcomes. We begin from first principles, identifying a theoretical preference structure under which income-based tools can be appropriate for ranking distributions of “bads.” While some critiques of existing applications are valid, they are not a justification for rejecting the approach altogether. Instead, we show how standard income-based measures can be adjusted to accommodate bad outcomes. Rather than inequality indexes, we argue that equally distributed equivalents (EDEs) are well-suited for this purpose since they account for levels and dispersion of outcome distributions. The Kolm–Pollak EDE is particularly useful, having the advantage of consistently evaluating both bads and their complementary goods (e.g., mortality risk and survival probability). As an illustration, we show how these tools can inform an environmental justice analysis of a proposed Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) rule addressing indoor air pollution.     

有利砂体识别与解释

天然气的产量与砂岩的厚度,孔隙度,连通性,砂泥比等有密切的关系。为了解决砂体在空间以什么形态出现,其方向如何,纵向上如何变化,连通形式如何等问题,在前人研究的基础上,对篷来镇组某工区的砂体进行了精细识别和解释。在地震剖面上,砂体的响应一般表现为强振幅,低频率。孔隙性好,含气丰度高的砂体往往表现为速度低和极性反转的特点。但发现该工区的砂体在地震剖面上表现形式多变,甚至出现了合成地震记录与井旁地震记录严重不吻合的现象,故砂体识别工作不能遵循统一模式。因此,采用了多井约束,多层标定,分层解释来识别有利砂体。     

解读“80后”大学生道德认识矛盾性提高德育效益

为了探索新形势下实施德育的有效途径,提高德育效益,笔者针对“80后”大学生的道德认识进行了问卷抽查。在对调查结果进行综合分析的基础上,认识到：“80后”大学生的道德认识具有矛盾性,并分析了道德认识矛盾性的原因,重点从三个层面提出提高德育效益的途径：第一,社会层面,重构社会高层价值体系;第二,学校层面,要树立全员育人的大德育观念,内容要具有可接受性,方法上要加强情境性教育、体验性教育;第三,大学生要注重自我教育。     

"养"与"弃":民众孝亲伦理观念试析--以耿村民间故事文本为对象

“养”与“弃”是民众孝亲伦理观的核心问题,它是由农村的生产实际造成的对血缘关系的依赖而产生的伦理问题。本文通过民间故事文本,分析民众孝亲观念中蕴含的“孝与非孝”的伦理矛盾及其复杂的表现形态。“行孝”所面临的威胁有两种:一种是外在的,即极度贫困的生存条件和极为沉重的经济负担。一种是内在的,即子女成家以后情感重心的转移。在终极境况下,民众以互惠的劝孝方式来消解被弃养的风险。这种伦理诉求与儒家的孝道伦理在观念和实践上都有相当大的差距。     

An alternative method for global and partial comparison of two diagnostic systems based on ROC curves

In this paper, an alternative method for the comparison of two diagnostic systems based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves is presented. ROC curve analysis is often used as a statistical tool for the evaluation of diagnostic systems. However, in general, the comparison of ROC curves is not straightforward, in particular, when they cross each other. A similar difficulty is also observed in the multi-objective optimization field where sets of solutions defining fronts must be compared with a multi-dimensional space. Thus, the proposed methodology is based on a procedure used to compare the performance of distinct multi-objective optimization algorithms. In general, methods based on the area under the ROC curves are not sensitive to the existence of crossing points between the curves. The new approach can deal with this situation and also allows the comparison of partial portions of ROC curves according to particular values of sensitivity and specificity of practical interest. Simulations results are presented. For illustration purposes, considering real data from newborns with very low birthweight, the new method was applied in order to discriminate the better index for evaluating the risk of death.     

我国股票市场指数及指数证券投资组合

运用主成分分析法分析我国上海和深圳两个交易所几个市场指数对市场变化的反应情 况, 结果表明两个股票市场的综合指数和A 股指数可以反应市场的变化, 而其他指数不能反 映各自代表的股票市场变化. 由于这4 个指数都不是一个好的投资组合, 要得到与指数一致的 投资收益需要构造指数投资组合. 本文利用多因子定价模型, 结合统计分析和优化方法, 从每 个股票市场上选取20 余支股票, 经过适当的组合就可以得到与指数一致的收益.     

"四荒"土地使用权论纲

在"十分珍惜、合理利用"的土地开发利用方针指导下,对搞活农林牧副渔有着重大潜力可挖的"四荒"土地应格外受到关注.确立"四荒"土地使用权的法律地位尤其是民法地位,是解决问题的关键所在.我国正在进行的物权立法应对"四荒"土地使用权予以调整和规范,包括它的取得、期限、主体、客体、权能、效力以及法律保护等内容.这对于充分、合理和有效地利用土地资源,保持自然资源的可持续发展具有不可低估的现实意义.