记忆的测量模型

本文讨论了正态分布下的信号检测法，对数分布下的信号检测法，双高阈限模型法和非参数模型法等四种具有代表性的记忆测量模型并对以上模型的分辩力指标和反应倾向指标作了分析说明．     

转型与整合——90年代前期长篇小说叙事语境及策略

针对耦合非线性混沌振子复杂的动力学行为,本文将Duffing振子和Van der Pol振子进行耦合,建立了Duffing振子和Van der Pol振子的耦合模型。与单个振子相比,耦合Duffing振子和Van der Pol振子表现出了更加丰富的动力学特性,采用Simulink仿真的方法,通过不同策动力幅值、不同耦合系数、不同频率下耦合非线性振子的相图和庞加莱截面图分析了耦合非线性振子的动力学行为,研究了耦合振子对微弱周期信号的敏感性和对噪声的免疫力,并将此模型应用于微弱信号检测的研究中。     

创业投资机构与创业板IPO首日折价行为研究

创业投资对创业企业IPO的影响主要集中在核证监督和信号传递效应两方面。国外学者利用发达资本市场数据实证发现:有创业投资支持的创业企业IPO首日折价低于无创业创投资支持的创业企业。然而,一些学者利用中国创业板数据实证却发现:有无创业投资参与的企业IPO首日折价率并无显著差别。文章基于中国证券市场运行结构,运用信号博弈和两阶段博弈模型探寻中国创业投资在IPO首日核证监督效应微弱的深层次根源。     

Phase I monitoring and change point estimation of autocorrelated poisson regression profiles

The objective of this paper is to study the Phase I monitoring and change point estimation of autocorrelated Poisson profiles where the response values within each profile are autocorrelated. Two charts, the SLRT and the Hotelling's T², are proposed along with an algorithm for parameter estimation. The detecting power of the proposed charts is compared using simulations in terms of the signal probability criterion. The performance of the SLRT method in estimating the change point in the regression parameters is also evaluated. Moreover, a real data example is presented to illustrate the application of the methods.     

Assessing direct and indirect seasonal decomposition in state space

The problem of whether seasonal decomposition should be used prior to or after aggregation of time series is quite old. We tackle the problem by using a state-space representation and the variance/covariance structure of a simplified one-component model. The variances of the estimated components in a two-series system are compared for direct and indirect approaches and also to a multivariate method. The covariance structure between the two time series is important for the relative efficiency. Indirect estimation is always best when the series are independent, but when the series or the measurement errors are negatively correlated, direct estimation may be much better in the above sense. Some covariance structures indicate that direct estimation should be used while others indicate that an indirect approach is more efficient. Signal-to-noise ratios and relative variances are used for inference.     

Robustness to non-normality and autocorrelation of individuals control charts

This paper studies the effects of non-normality and autocorrelation on the performances of various individuals control charts for monitoring the process mean and/or variance. The traditional Shewhart X chart and moving range (MR) chart are investigated as well as several types of exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) charts and combinations of control charts involving these EWMA charts. It is shown that the combination of the X and MR charts will not detect small and moderate parameter shifts as fast as combinations involving the EWMA charts, and that the performana of the X and MR charts is very sensitive to the normality assumption. It is also shown that certain combinations of EWMA charts can be designed to be robust to non-normality and very effective at detecting small and moderate shifts in the process mean and/or variance. Although autocorrelation can have a significant effect on the in-control performances of these combinations of EWMA charts, their relative out-of-control performances under independence are generally maintained for low to moderate levels of autocorrelation.     

Economic and economic statistical designs for three-level control charts

In some situations, an appropriate quality measure uses three or more discrete levels to classify a product characteristic. For these situations, some control charts have been developed based on statistical criteria regardless of economic considerations. In this paper, we develop economic and economic statistical designs (ESD) for 3-level control charts. We apply the cost model proposed by Costa and Rahim.[Economic design of X charts with variable parameters: the Markov chain approach, J Appl Stat 28 (2001), 875–885] Furthermore, we assume that the length of time that the process remains in control is exponentially distributed which allows us to apply the Markov chain approach for developing the cost model. We apply a genetic algorithm to determine the optimal values of model parameters by minimizing the cost function. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the performance of the proposed models and to compare the cost of the pure economic and ESD for three-level control charts. A sensitivity analysis is also conducted in this numerical example.     

Duffing-Holmes振子在刀具磨损检测中的应用

针对切削过程中刀具磨损程度难以识别的问题,文章根据混沌Duffing-Holmes振子对微弱周期信号极其敏感的 特点,提出将锋利和磨损的刀具在27种工作状态下采集的54组声发射数据作为外部的微弱摄动信号,分别输入到 Duffing-Holmes系统。为了解决混沌阈值求解时间的问题,研究了对分法最优算法来搜索Duffing-Holmes从周期态和混 沌态的Lyapunov指数阈值,首先,以0.1步长的Lyapunov指数确定一个粗略的阈值;然后根据对分法快速收索Duffing- Holmes振子混沌阈值的精确值,大大提高了阈值搜索速度,闽值大小对应了刀具磨损程度。     

The social as signal in the body of chromatin

Human social interactions and material cultures are increasingly understood as biologically consequent environmental signals. Within the explanatory framework of epigenetics, such signals become biologically inscribed when transduced into bodies as persistent patterns of molecular conformation. In the life sciences, persistence of the social as the biological is understood as establishment of gene expression potentials, physiological changes, or epigenetic memories. How did the social become interchangeable with the environmental? When did both become scientifically graspable as signals? This article recounts the history of how hormone biologists came to think in terms of signal transduction in the late 1960s. This cybernetic legacy is important for understanding the ‘environmental turn’ of epigenetics. To understand the social as signal in the present moment – a post-cybernetic rather than post-genomic moment – the theory of the signal must itself be excavated and analysed.     

On the improvement of one-sided S control charts

The most common charting procedure used for monitoring the variance of the distribution of a quality characteristic is the S control chart. As a Shewhart-type control chart, it is relatively insensitive in the quick detection of small and moderate shifts in process variance. The performance of the S chart can be improved by supplementing it with runs rules or by varying the sample size and the sampling interval. In this work, we introduce and study one-sided adaptive S control charts, supplemented or not with one powerful runs rule, for detecting increases or decreases in process variation. The properties of the proposed control schemes are obtained by using a Markov chain approach. Furthermore, a practical guidance for the choice of the most suitable control scheme is also provided.