社会类教育考试管理体制存在的问题及对策

以政府规制理论和社会系统理论为指导,对目前社会类教育考试管理体制存在的问题及原因进行分析,并针对如何完善社会类教育考试管理体制的对策提出构想。     

The economic design of multivariate binomial EWMA VSSI control charts

Since multi-attribute control charts have received little attention compared with multivariate variable control charts, this research is concerned with developing a new methodology to employ the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) charts for m-attribute binomial processes; the attributes being the number of nonconforming items. Moreover, since the variable sample size and sampling interval (VSSI) MEWMA charts detect small process mean shifts faster than the traditional MEWMA, an economic design of the VSSI MEWMA chart is proposed to obtain the optimum design parameters of the chart. The sample size, the sampling interval, and the warning/action limit coefficients are obtained using a genetic algorithm such that the expected total cost per hour is minimized. At the end, a sensitivity analysis has been carried out to investigate the effects of the cost and the model parameters on the solution of the economic design of the VSSI MEWMA chart.     

Making foreign women the mother of our nation: the exclusion and assimilation of immigrant women in Taiwan

Citizenship awarding is politicised. Conceiving female marriage migration as a national threat, Taiwan's citizenship legislation is consciously designed and purposefully utilised to achieve exclusion and assimilation. Driven by a nationalistic impetus, it shows how Taiwan imagines itself as a modern, prosperous and homogenous nation and projects upon the immigrant outsiders as a threat to its self-identity. Examined through immigrant women's lived experiences, this citizenship legislation is biased by gender, class and ethnicity. The implementation of the legislation is not only an example of symbolic politics but also banal nationalism realised at grassroots level in the private domain. Immigrant women's lived experiences show that exclusion and assimilation stemmed from banal nationalism is not just an operation of symbolic politics but is also enmeshed with their everyday life.     

Asymptotic relative efficiency of wald tests in measurement error models

In this paper, asymptotic relative efficiency (ARE) of Wald tests for the Tweedie class of models with log-linear mean, is considered when the aux¬iliary variable is measured with error. Wald test statistics based on the naive maximum likelihood estimator and on a consistent estimator which is obtained by using Nakarnura's (1990) corrected score function approach are defined. As shown analytically, the Wald statistics based on the naive and corrected score function estimators are asymptotically equivalents in terms of ARE. On the other hand, the asymptotic relative efficiency of the naive and corrected Wald statistic with respect to the Wald statistic based on the true covariate equals to the square of the correlation between the unobserved and the observed co-variate. A small scale numerical Monte Carlo study and an example illustrate the small sample size situation.     

Nonparametric Estimation of the Number of Drug Users in Hong Kong Using Repeated Multiple Lists

We update a previous approach to the estimation of the size of an open population when there are multiple lists at each time point. Our motivation is 35 years of longitudinal data on the detection of drug users by the Central Registry of Drug Abuse in Hong Kong. We develop a two‐stage smoothing spline approach. This gives a flexible and easily implemented alternative to the previous method which was based on kernel smoothing. The new method retains the property of reducing the variability of the individual estimates at each time point. We evaluate the new method by means of a simulation study that includes an examination of the effects of variable selection. The new method is then applied to data collected by the Central Registry of Drug Abuse. The parameter estimates obtained are compared with the well known Jolly–Seber estimates based on single capture methods.     

艾思奇哲学党性思想及其时代价值

哲学党性概念最早由列宁提出,其内涵被概括为哲学党派间的斗争性即唯物主义与唯心主义的斗争。艾思奇哲学党性思想既吸收、继承了列宁哲学党性思想的精华,即哲学上是有党派的,且党派间是有斗争的,也就是唯物主义与唯心主义的斗争,且创造性地将哲学党性思想与中国具体实际相结合,深刻阐述哲学党性与阶级性间的相互作用关系,革命性地提出哲学中一定派别倾向的贯彻是它所属的那个阶级政策的哲学表现等重要新观点。这对深入把握和融合马克思主义理论,助推中国无产阶级革命和社会主义建设取得伟大成就有着一定的历史和革命意义,对马克思主义哲学理论的进一步丰富与发展也具有一定的时代价值。     

未焊透缺陷安全尺寸的评价研究

未焊透是压力管道焊接接头常见缺陷之一,严重时会导致管道的承载能力明显降低,进而引发严重的安全事故。 目前我国的《在用工业管道定期检验规程》中对未焊透管道的定级是很保守的,为了减少对未焊透缺陷的返修,文章采 用非线性有限元分析的方法,通过简化未焊透管道的影响因素,并研究在不同载荷工况下管道失效模式与缺陷尺寸的关 系,获得了未焊透管道的极限载荷曲线簇;再运用塑性力学分析方法对有限元分析结果进行筛选,得到了焊接缺陷的安 全尺寸;最终通过试验验证极限载荷数值分析结果的合理性。研究结果表明含有超标焊接缺陷（如未焊透）的管道不通 过复杂应力计算和安全评定即可在保证安全前提下最大限度地使用。     

企业技术创新投入对产品质量的影响

不同规模的企业在技术创新和产品质量上均存在着明显的差异性,因而技术创新投入对产品质量的影响也可能随着企业规模的变化而呈现差异。基于调查数据的实证研究发现：中小型企业技术创新投入对其产品质量的提升具有显著的正效应,而大型企业技术创新投入对其产品质量提升的作用并不显著,显示出中小企业在以技术创新提升产品质量方面具有后发优势。研究建议,应保障中小型企业技术创新资金的有效供给,促进中小型企业共性技术支撑平台的建设,引导中小型企业构建产学研相结合的技术创新体系,培育和发展服务于中小型企业的科技服务中介机构,从而进一步发挥技术创新投入对中小型企业产品质量的提升作用。     

Testing Overdispersion in CUBE Models

A practical problem with large-scale survey data is the possible presence of overdispersion. It occurs when the data display more variability than is predicted by the variance–mean relationship. This article describes a probability distribution generated by a mixture of discrete random variables to capture uncertainty, feeling, and overdispersion. Specifically, several tests for detecting overdispersion will be implemented on the basis of the asymptotic theory for maximum likelihood estimators. We discuss the results of a simulation experiment concerning log-likelihood ratio, Wald, Score, and Profile tests. Finally, some real datasets are analyzed to illustrate the previous results.     

大班额下幼儿园集体教学活动的优化

目前大班额已经成为我国基础教育十分普遍的现象。而幼儿园的大班额集体教学活动存在诸多问题,如教师占主导地位,与幼儿交流较少;投放材料不充足,活动开展容易受限;活动缺乏客观评价,教育效果不明显。针对上述问题,提出了具体的优化措施,以促进幼儿的身心发展。