Optimal sampling for repeated binary measurements

The authors consider the optimal design of sampling schedules for binary sequence data. They propose an approach which allows a variety of goals to be reflected in the utility function by including deterministic sampling cost, a term related to prediction, and if relevant, a term related to learning about a treatment effect To this end, they use a nonparametric probability model relying on a minimal number of assumptions. They show how their assumption of partial exchangeability for the binary sequence of data allows the sampling distribution to be written as a mixture of homogeneous Markov chains of order k. The implementation follows the approach of Quintana & Müller (2004), which uses a Dirichlet process prior for the mixture.     

高校心理咨询现状分析——以某校449例次心理咨询记录资料为例

通过对某高校心理咨询中心449例次个别咨询记录资料进行整理,分析高校心理咨询的特点。结果显示:在高校心理咨询问题中,由多到少依次是恋爱问题、人际关系问题、情绪问题、学习问题、考研就业问题等。一年级大学生心理咨询的学生明显高于其它年级,不同年级学生咨询的问题存在差异,不同性别学生在咨询的问题上不存在明显的差异。在大学中寻求心理咨询帮助的大学生占学生总数的比例太小,大学生心理问题以发展性问题为主,贫困、网络、家庭等原因引起的心理问题值得关注和讨论。     

试析高职高专学校近年来女生人数大幅度增加的现象

近年来高职高专学校女生人数大幅度增加这是一个不争的事实,其原因有主客观方面的因素。在这种情况下,学校原有的设施、专业和课程都难以适应,必须做出较大的调整和改进。     

A modification of Honoré's triple-link model in the synoptic problem

Summary.  In New Testament studies, the synoptic problem is concerned with the relationships between the gospels of Matthew, Mark and Luke. In an earlier paper a careful specification in probabilistic terms was set up of Honoré's triple-link model. In the present paper, a modification of Honoré's model is proposed. As previously, counts of the numbers of verbal agreements between the gospels are examined to investigate which of the possible triple-link models appears to give the best fit to the data, but now using the modified version of the model and additional sets of data.     

学术腐败的现状及根源

学术腐败犹如一股瘟疫一样在科技和学术领域蔓延开来 ,严重地玷污了学术环境 ,腐蚀了学术队伍的肌体 ,误导学子的学业 ,阻碍了学术大师的产生 ,遏制了创新能力的提高 ,已成为全社会关注的热点问题。其产生的根源是管理手段单一、体制不健全、道德危机以及社会性诱因。     

中央苏区反腐败制度的建立及意义

土地革命战争时期的中央苏区 ,中国共产党在政权建设方面进行了初步尝试 ,其中反腐败制度的建设颇有建树 ,建立了一套从中央到地方的中国共产党内、苏维埃政权、工农群众的监察制度和财政经济领域的审计监察制度 ,对于保证党和政权机关的廉洁性起了重要作用 ,并积累了很多有效的方法。     

道德化反腐的冷思考

反腐败是世界性课题。腐败使许多国家的社会矛盾尖锐,社会冲突频繁,政局动荡,同时,还使经济生活受到许多不利影响。各国政府在努力促进经济发展的同时,不断地探寻遏制腐败的良策。中国政府一直把反腐败作为经济建设的润滑剂和民主政治建设的突破口,但不能否认的是,中国的腐败越来越呈蔓延和扩张之势。对此,就中国道德化特征的反腐方式进行一些理性的、批评式的探寻与思考,试图予反腐以借鉴。     

An affine‐invariant multivariate sign test for cluster correlated data

The author presents a multivariate location model for cluster correlated observations. He proposes an affine‐invariant multivariate sign statistic for testing the value of the location parameter. His statistic is an adaptation of that proposed by Randles (2000). The author shows, under very mild conditions, that his test statistic is asymptotically distributed as a chi‐squared random variable under the null hypothesis. In particular, the test can be used for skewed populations. In the context of a general multivariate normal model, the author obtains values of his test's Pitman asymptotic efficiency relative to another test based on the overall average. He shows that there is an improvement in the relative performance of the new test as soon as intra‐cluster correlation is present Even in the univariate case, the new test can be very competitive for Gaussian data. Furthermore, the statistic is easy to compute, even for large dimensional data. The author shows through simulations that his test performs well compared to the average‐based test. He illustrates its use with real data.     

我国企业家队伍建设问题探讨

企业家的角色主要定位于企业的决策者、企业的创新者,企业风险的承担者。我国企业家队伍随着改革开放与市场经济发展起来,基本现状为:队伍不断发展壮大,成长环境不断改善提高;才能得到发挥,价值得到一定体现;但部分企业家自身素质依然低下。问题形成主要来自于三大机制因素:选拔任用机制不健全;监督约束机制不健全;激励机制不完善。解决问题的关键当然在于三大缺陷机制的健全完善,加强对企业家与世贸规则接轨的素质的全面培训。     

高校反腐倡廉与制度创新

加强教育、发展民主、健全法制、强化监督、创新体制,从源头上预防和治理腐败问题,是反腐倡廉工作的新思路。本文试从制度创新的必要性、高校领导干部权力的制约、健全多种监督形式的网络等方面阐述以制度创新促进高校反腐倡廉工作,从标本兼治的理论与实践上探索高校反腐败的新路子。