Unemployment and economic psychology: An introduction

Starting from literature a short sequential scheme is being presented, including contextual and causal factors of employment, phenomenal aspects of unemployment, moderator variables, effects and lastly interventions and solutions.General aspects as well as more restricted aspects of unemployment as an area of research within economic psychology are mentioned. The contributions within this issue are discussed in connection with the scheme and the different aspects that were distinguished.     

广义对角占优矩阵的充分条件

研究具有广泛应用背景的广义对角占优矩阵的充分条件，获得了几个简捷的实用结果。所得条件允许矩阵的非对角占优行可达ｎ－１行，运用于广泛的矩阵类。     

论波爱修斯的模态逻辑与上帝的预知

波爱修斯的模态逻辑直接来自古代,特别是亚里士多德的模态逻辑。中世纪早期模态理论主要关注关于将来事件模态命题的解释。基于此,波爱修斯首次对上帝的预知与人的自由意志一致性进行了逻辑论证。     

论《海商法》中实际承运人的相关法律问题

实际承运人是海上货物运输实践中的重要当事方 ,由于《海商法》对实际承运人的法律界定很不明晰 ,造成了实践中的混乱。本文以实际承运人的概念阐述为基础 ,对多种情况下实际承运人识别问题进行了划分 ,并探讨了实际承运人责任认定的相关法律问题。     

Modelling the effects of repellent chemicals on foraging bees

Summary.  Many pesticide sprays that are used for crop protection are harmful to honey-bees. It can therefore be beneficial to add to the spray chemical compounds that are repellent to bees, to discourage them from feeding on recently sprayed crops. Experiments were conducted using an artificial feeding station to assess the repellent effects of various compounds. In this system, bees arrive at the feeding station, choose between feeding dishes to which different chemicals have been added, feed for a variable period and then depart. The number of bees at each feeding dish is recorded at intervals of 1 min. We discuss the analysis of data from this type of experiment, based on a queuing theory model.     

A robust prediction error criterion for pareto modelling of upper tails

Estimation of the Pareto tail index from extreme order statistics is an important problem in many settings. The upper tail of the distribution, where data are sparse, is typically fitted with a model, such as the Pareto model, from which quantities such as probabilities associated with extreme events are deduced. The success of this procedure relies heavily not only on the choice of the estimator for the Pareto tail index but also on the procedure used to determine the number k of extreme order statistics that are used for the estimation. The authors develop a robust prediction error criterion for choosing k and estimating the Pareto index. A Monte Carlo study shows the good performance of the new estimator and the analysis of real data sets illustrates that a robust procedure for selection, and not just for estimation, is needed.     

用余弦调制PR－FIR方法构造M带正交小波基

离散小波变换将离散时间信号分解为一系列不同分辨率下的离散近似信号和离散细节，紧支的正交规范小波与完全重构正交镜像滤波器（ＰＲ－ＱＭＦ）相对应。在紧支正交小波基的构造条件下，利用余弦调制完全重构滤波器组的方法，实现了Ｍ带紧支正交小波基的构造，计算机模拟表明该方法非常简单、有效。     

Canonical correlation analysis for the vector AR(1) model with ARCH innovations

This paper extends the results of canonical correlation analysis of Anderson [2002. Canonical correlation analysis and reduced-rank regression in autoregressive models. Ann. Statist. 30, 1134–1154] to a vector AR(1) process with a vector ARCH(1) innovations. We obtain the limiting distributions of the sample matrices, the canonical correlations and the canonical vectors of the process. The extension is important because many time series in economics and finance exhibit conditional heteroscedasticity. We also use simulation to demonstrate the effects of ARCH innovations on the canonical correlation analysis in finite sample. Both the limiting distributions and simulation results show that overlooking the ARCH effects in canonical correlation analysis can easily lead to erroneous inference.     

Interest rate policies and inflation in interdependent economies: Recent policy dilemmas

This paper examines Federal Reserve Board policies that are premised on a negative short-run association of interest rate movements and the rate of inflation. In particular, econometric evidence is provided, supporting the view that tighter monetary policy appears to raise inflation rates in the short run. Conversely, it is demonstrated that easier monetary policy does not necessarily raise inflation rates in the short run. In the case of uncoordinated monetary restrictiveness, interest rate competition among major countries can produce higher inflation and lower growth than was originally intended.