Branching Random Walks With Several Sources*

A continuous-time branching random walk on multidimensional lattices with a finite number of branching sources of three types leads to explicit conditions for the exponential growth of the total number of particles. These conditions are expressed in terms of the spectral characteristics of the operator describing the mean number of particles both at an arbitrary point and on the entire lattice.     

机械臂非线性定位方程计算新方法

针对机械臂定位算法中,数值算法计算量大,仿真过程存在累积误差,几何算法通用性不强等问题,以手术机器 人六自由度机械臂为研究对象,建立了一组多关节机械臂非线性定位方程组,提出了其基于非线性大范围渐近稳定的 求解方法。结果表明该方法既简化运算,又有利于物理实现,为机械臂高速、准确运动提供了基础,实验表明该算法适用 多关节的移动机械臂的非线性定位方程的求解,有较高的求解精度和收敛速度。     

Pooling in Dynamic Panel-Data Models: An Application to Forecasting GDP Growth Rates

In this article, we analyze issues of pooling models for a given set of N individual units observed over T periods of time. When the parameters of the models are different but exhibit some similarity, pooling may lead to a reduction of the mean squared error of the estimates and forecasts. We investigate theoretically and through simulations the conditions that lead to improved performance of forecasts based on pooled estimates. We show that the superiority of pooled forecasts in small samples can deteriorate as the sample size grows. Empirical results for postwar international real gross domestic product growth rates of 18 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries using a model put forward by Garcia-Ferrer, Highfield, Palm, and Zellner and Hong, among others illustrate these findings. When allowing for contemporaneous residual correlation across countries, pooling restrictions and criteria have to be rejected when formally tested, but generalized least squares (GLS)-based pooled forecasts are found to outperform GLS-based individual and ordinary least squares-based pooled and individual forecasts.     

Identification and Identification Failure for Treatment Effects Using Structural Systems

We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for effect identification, thereby characterizing the limits to identification. Our results link the nonstructural potential outcome framework for identifying and estimating treatment effects to structural approaches in economics. This permits economic theory to be built into treatment effect methods. We elucidate the sources and consequences of identification failure by examining the biases arising when the necessary conditions fail, and we clarify the relations between unconfoundedness, conditional exogeneity, and the necessary and sufficient identification conditions. A new quantity, the exogeneity score, plays a central role in this analysis, permitting an omitted variable representation for effect biases. This analysis also provides practical guidance for selecting covariates and insight into the price paid for making various identifying assumptions and the benefits gained.     

On cramér-von mises tests of goodness of fit with censored data

The paper considers the goodness of fit tests with right censored data or doubly censored data. The Fredholm Integral Equation (FIE) method proposed by Ren (1993) is implemented in the simulation studies to estimate the null distribution of the Cramér-von Mises test statistics and the asymptotic covariance function of the self-consistent estimator for the lifetime distribution with right censored data or doubly censored data. We show that for fixed alternatives, the bootstrap method does not estimate the null distribution consistently for doubly censored data. For the right censored case, a comparison between the performance of FIE and the η out of η bootstrap shows that FIE gives better estimation for the null distribution. The application of FIE to a set of right censored Channing House data and to a set of doubly censored breast cancer data is presented.     

Assessing conditional independence for log-linear poisson models with random effects

In the context of regression rnodels with random effects, repeated response are traditionally assumed to be mutually independent conditional on the random effects. In order to asseess the validity of such an assumption and its impact on parameter inference, we propose an estimating equation methodology where both random eifects and within-subject correlation are modeled. This fllows a subsequent analysis on the statistical sianificance of the conditional correlation. We illustrate this method with the epilepsy data of Thall and Vail (1990), and find our method useh in a proper representation for khe random effect modeling.     

Extensions of multiple linear regression

Many statistical methods are linked together through their connection with weighted least squares and hence regression. This article reviews these connections, emphasising the iteratively weighted least squares algorithm.     

Some Asymptotic Properties of Ridge Regression in a System of Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations

A discussion is made of asymptotic properties of an Operational Ordinary Ridge Regression estimator and comparison is made with the Operational Generalized Least Squares estimator. Also, some simulation experiments are carried showing efficiency gains can be made through the use of de Ridge estimator.     

A Note on the Factorization of a Matrix Inverse

The decomposition of a matrix as a product of a lower triangular with ones on the diagonal and an upper triangular matrix is useful for solving systems of linear equations. For a given non singular matrix, this type of decomposition is unique and algorithms exist to obtain the two factors. However, in certain problems the factorization of the inverse matrix may be of interest. This note presents an algorithm for factoring the inverse matrix using simple operations of elements from the original matrix. As examples, we give factorizations for several well-known and widely used correlation matrices. The usefulness and practicality of these factorizations are provided in an application of statistical modeling using unbiased estimating equations.     

Adaptive robust estimation in joint mean–covariance regression model for bivariate longitudinal data

The estimation of the covariance matrix is important in the analysis of bivariate longitudinal data. A good estimator for the covariance matrix can improve the efficiency of the estimators of the mean regression coefficients. Furthermore, the covariance estimation itself is also of interest, but it is a challenging job to model the covariance matrix of bivariate longitudinal data due to the complex structure and positive definite constraint. In addition, most of existing approaches are based on the maximum likelihood, which is very sensitive to outliers or heavy-tail error distributions. In this article, an adaptive robust estimation method is proposed for bivariate longitudinal data. Unlike the existing likelihood-based methods, the proposed method can adapt to different error distributions. Specifically, at first, we utilize the modified Cholesky block decomposition to parameterize the covariance matrices. Secondly, we apply the bounded Huber's score function to develop a set of robust generalized estimating equations to estimate the parameters both in the mean and the covariance models simultaneously. A data-driven approach is presented to select the parameter c in the Huber's score function, which can ensure that the proposed method is robust and efficient. A simulation study and a real data analysis are conducted to illustrate the robustness and efficiency of the proposed approach.