基于过程划分的可再生能源技术扩散模型

把握技术扩散的机理和主要特征是可再生能源发展规划和管理优化的基础。本文基于信息扩散、技术经济、社会认可度等因素对可再生能源技术的影响及其作用机理分析,根据投资者状态变化,将技术扩散过程划分为技术获悉、效益计算和技术认可三个阶段,构建了可再生能源技术扩散(即潜在投资者转变为最终投资者)过程的数理模型。探讨了可再生能源技术扩散的速度有限性、政策效率递减性以及区域差异性三个关键特征,结合算例验证模型并进一步分析了技术扩散的不同驱动力,从而为可再生能源技术扩散机理政策制定提供理论支持和意见建议。     

Do military veteran and civilian students function differently in college?

Objective: The authors sought to assess military veterans' functioning in college by comparing their experience with that of civilian students. Participants: The study, conducted from April 2012 to February 2013, included 445 civilian and 61 student service member/veteran (SSM/V) undergraduates, drawn from a community college and two 4-year Catholic colleges, in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York. Methods: Participants completed anonymous online surveys. Six areas of functioning in transition to college were examined: Health, Fitting In, Emotional Adjustment, Productivity, Perceived Career Support, and Social Engagement. Results: Students, both SSM/V and civilian, with past exposure to a potentially traumatic event fit in worse than students without such exposure. Past exposure to trauma was associated with poorer emotional adjustment in civilian students, but not in SSM/V. Conclusions: Implications of results were discussed.     

‘Wasting precious time’: young men with Duchenne muscular dystrophy negotiate the transition to adulthood

Supporting young disabled people at the transition to adulthood has long proved to be a challenging task. Young men with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) have until recently died before they reached adulthood. Now they are living longer but with a corresponding lack of forethought about how they should be supported in adulthood. This study investigated in three regions of England what was happening for young men with DMD and how they were being supported. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 37 young men (aged 15+) with DMD and 58 other family members. The findings suggested that too many young men had finished education and training and were at home during the day without meaningful activity. In part, the complicated nature of shifting expectations across the life-course had made planning for an adult life with DMD very challenging. This could be exacerbated by problematic assumptions and stubborn barriers.     

对英语演讲中使用过渡词的认可情况调查

本文结合调查探究过渡词是否能促进听众对演讲内容的理解，调查结果显示听众和演讲者对演讲中使用过渡词都持肯定态度，进而强调教师在交际学或演讲学的教学中，应该适当强调过渡词的用法和功能。     

转型期农民精神家园建设的价值、路径与方法

精神家园是人们心理上认可、信赖、追求的归宿和寄托之所,不仅是提升农民幸福感的必然要求,而且是社会发展的现实需要。转型期农民精神家园建设必须通过培育其实体家园感、安居乐业感、归属感、自我成就感、文化认同感、政治认同感的途径,以培育其价值支柱、自主意识、文化活力、舆论氛围、和谐网络等方法来实现。     

The Guidance Function of Cases of Misappropriation of Public Funds in Transitional China—With the Reference to Criminal Trial of the Supreme People’s Court of China as a Sample of Analysis

相对于贪污、受贿等传统型腐败犯罪, 挪用公款罪不是常态性罪名, 而是针对社 会转型刑法应对的成果。该罪的立法、司法过程中存在着诸多纠结, 这使得判例参考 的价值凸显。最高人民法院十分重视对该罪判例的公布, 这为现实裁决提供了指导和 参考作用。最近10年所公布挪用公款罪判例折射出司法的重心是: 注重主体身份的实 质公务性、从形式合理性理解“归个人使用”、慎重解释“公款”的内涵。判例公布 在有利于同案同判的同时, 也成为促进理论与实践的助推器。

关键词: 腐败犯罪 挪用公款 社会转型 判例 ?刑事审判参考?

Compared with the traditional offenses of embezzlement, bribe-taking and so on, the misappropriation of public funds is not a routine charge but a result of the response of criminal law to social transition. The fact that a number of difficulties have arisen in legislative and judicial procedures relating to this offense makes the value of case reference material significant. The Supreme People’s Court of China attaches great importance to the publication of cases of misappropriation of public funds, which offer guidance and reference for real-life adjudication. Cases publicized in the last decade reflect a judicial emphasis—they focus on the official nature of the duties performed by the subject, on understanding “for individual use” from the viewpoint of formal rationality and on a cautious interpretation of the connotations of “public funds.” Publicizing such cases facilitates reaching the same verdict in similar cases and at the same time acts as a catalyst for the advancement of theory and practice.     

Transition from school for youths with a disability: issues and challenges

Australian research has demonstrated that students with a disability are more likely to remain out of the full‐time workforce. These research findings have been the catalyst for a call for a comprehensive career development and transition planning approach for all students with disabilities in schools as well as for employers to rethink the role of people with disabilities in the workforce. In the Australian context the transition from school for individuals with a disability is complicated by a disparate and fragmented group of service agencies providing a range of services, including employment, supported accommodation, recreation and leisure pursuits, as well as training and placement, along with, at times, a deep‐seated prejudice towards people with disabilities in the market place. This paper reviews a number of issues and challenges confronting individuals with a disability making the transition from school to the post‐school environment.     

Estimation with right‐censored observations under a semi‐Markov model

The semi‐Markov process often provides a better framework than the classical Markov process for the analysis of events with multiple states. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we show that in the presence of right censoring, when the right end‐point of the support of the censoring time is strictly less than the right end‐point of the support of the semi‐Markov kernel, the transition probability of the semi‐Markov process is nonidentifiable, and the estimators proposed in the literature are inconsistent in general. We derive the set of all attainable values for the transition probability based on the censored data, and we propose a nonparametric inference procedure for the transition probability using this set. Second, the conventional approach to constructing confidence bands is not applicable for the semi‐Markov kernel and the sojourn time distribution. We propose new perturbation resampling methods to construct these confidence bands. Different weights and transformations are explored in the construction. We use simulation to examine our proposals and illustrate them with hospitalization data from a recent cancer survivor study. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 41: 237–256; 2013 © 2013 Statistical Society of Canada     

民国西安经济转型的动力与结构分析

民国以降，西安经济发展的水平和结构受到制度和抗战沦陷区经济大转移等外力因素的剧烈影响，短期的外部赋予给西安经济注入了活力，迅速改变了当地经济的落后面貌，这对西安经济结构的改造具有重要影响，但对外部因素的过度倚重，形成国防、军事统制企业生产，手工业为核心工业体系，消费工业为主体诉求的经济结构，经济发展和社会转型低层次、同质性显著。在经济转型和结构发展中，西安近代化凸显了制度强化经济发展的作用。     

中国人社会心态六十年变迁及发展趋势

在1949年后的六十年中,中国的经济基础和社会结构都发生了巨大的变化.与此相对应,中国人的价值观和社会心态也发生了显著的嬗变.在建国后的前三十年,中国共产党通过一系列政治运动实现了对中国社会的改造和整合,也使中国人的传统社会心理在分化变动之后走向高度同一;在建国后的后三十年,改革开放的伟大实践打破了僵化和保守的意识形态,中国人的社会心态在经历了一系列波折之后发生了积极的嬗变.经过六十年的变迁,中国人的价值观与社会心态变得越来越理智和成熟、越来越开放和多元、越来越主动和积极,也越来越具有全球意识.新中国六十年的"革命"和改革实践带给中国人的主观感受和心理积淀,在精神层面上赋予了中国独特发展道路以完整的价值和意义.