县域农村合作金融机构信贷风险的影响因素

运用随机效应的变截距回归模型,以陕西省104个县域农村合作金融机构的数据为例,对农村合作金融机构信贷风险的影响因素进行了实证研究。结果表明:农村居民人均纯收入、财政支农、农业贷款市场份额和机构治理水平提高,农村合作金融机构不良贷款率显著下降。地方政府财政赤字越大,农村合作金融机构不良贷款率越高。从发展农业现代化,扩大财政支农乘数效用,降低农村金融门槛,完善金融机构治理机制和规范地方政府融资渠道等方面提出政策建议。     

骨干高职院校形象塑造的要素分析与实施路径——以武汉软件工程职业学院为例

在高职教育竞争日趋激烈的今天,塑造良好形象是骨干高职院校赢得未来竞争优势的制胜法宝。文章以骨干高职院校之一的武汉软件工程职业学院为例,详细分析了骨干高职院校形象塑造的各组成要素,并提出了相应的实施路径。     

Motivations for Sexual Intimacy: Development of a Needs-Based Sexual Intimacy Scale

ABSTRACT

To assess motivations associated with sexual intimacy, a need for sexual intimacy scale (NSIS) was developed within a needs-based framework, focusing on needs for sex, affiliation, and dominance. Participants were 347 individuals associated with two large Southern California universities. Both exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses (EFA and CFA) were utilized, as were multiple attitudinal and behavioral measures for validation purposes. EFA found 22 items to be associated with the three need sets, with good internal consistency reliability. CFA confirmed these findings, and promising construct and criterion validities were also noted for the factors. Those reporting a greater need for sex noted more lifetime sex partners and one-night stands, but were less likely to use condoms. Individuals with affiliation needs were more likely to be truthful with their partners and more likely to practice safe-sex. Those reporting dominance needs want to control their partners sexually, but were less likely to use condoms. Men were found to exhibit greater needs for sex, while women reported higher levels of affiliation need. Sexual health and primary prevention concerns are discussed.     

商业银行全要素生产率增长的市场因素

运用投入定位距离函数将16家银行全要素生产率（TFP）增长率分解为技术进步、技术效率变化效应和规模效应,并对全要素生产率影响因素进行系统的研究,发现：技术进步对于全要素生产率增长贡献最大,技术效率和规模效应负相关;贷款市场上,相对市场势力,全要素生产率显著负相关;存款市场上,相对市场势力和全要素生产率不存在显著相关关系;存款市场,国有银行市场势力高于股份制银行,贷款市场刚好相反。     

Childhood Sexual Abuse Severity Reconsidered: A Factor Structure of CSA Characteristics

To address the lack of empirically grounded measures of childhood sexual abuse severity, a survey of self-report items was developed following a thorough review of the childhood sexual abuse literature. An exploratory factor analysis was conducted using data collected from a convenience sample of college students that included 275 females and males with a history of childhood sexual abuse. The solution produced seven factors interpreted as the following: (a) less intrusive forms of childhood sexual abuse (e.g., sexual invitations, kissing), (b) more intrusive forms of childhood sexual abuse (e.g., oral sex, intercourse), (c) humiliation/fear, (d) childhood sexual abuse involving photography, (e) familiarity with the perpetrator, (f) physical force/rape, and (g) active digital penetration. Correlations among these factors further suggested the existence of two relatively independent second-order factors, one based on the levels of physical intrusiveness and the other composed of the psychological/emotional factors. While arguably the most common measurement of severity, physical intrusiveness had little association with critical factors such as humiliation, fear, and association with the perpetrator. Consequently, physical intrusiveness appears to be an inadequate stand-alone measure of childhood sexual abuse severity. These results are proposed to lay the groundwork for an improved, more comprehensive measure of childhood sexual abuse severity.     

An analysis of major social obstacles affecting human resource development in Iran

ABSTRACT

This study aimed to analyze the major social obstacles affecting the human resource development (HRD) in Iran. The study population included faculty members in Yazd province, Iran (N = 280, n = 162). A survey and a researcher-made questionnaire were used to collect data. The reliability of the questionnaire was confirmed by using Cronbach’s alpha (0.88) and its validity was approved by a panel of experts. The results indicated that the major social obstacles affecting HRD are ‘an increase in the share of foreigners in the labor market’, ‘frustration of native graduates’ and ‘local brain drain’, respectively. Furthermore, the results of exploratory factor analysis indicated that the most important social obstacles affecting HRD can be summarized into six factors including migration, lack of nativism, inclination towards foreigners, gender imbalance, lack of justice in distribution of resources, and lack of meritocracy. These factors altogether could explain 65.45% of the total variance. In the end, some applied recommendations (such as paying more attention to rural youth, fair distribution of facilities towards urban and rural balance, supporting native elites, preference for employment, and applying indigenous peoples based on meritocracy, creating favorable balance at different levels of academic education, avoiding gender inequality) have been presented.     

Measuring Adoptive Identity: Validation of the Adoptive Identity Work Scale

Guided by Erikson's as well as Grotevant and colleagues’ identity theorizing, three studies were conducted to assess the validity and reliability of the Adoptive Identity Work Scale (AIWS), a self-report measure of the identity work contributing to one's adoptive identity. Adult adoptees were solicited in a series of surveys (study 1: N = 196; study 2: N = 119; study 3: N = 217) to complete existing measures of adoptive identity and well-being as well as the newly formed AIWS. The studies reported here provide concurrent, construct, and predictive validity for the AIWS, consisting of five items measuring reflective exploration and five items measuring preoccupation.     

高新技术开发区全要素生产率指数研究--与高新技术产业和大型工业企业的比较分析

各地大型工业企业、高新技术产业和高新技术开发区作为国民经济的重要基础,对国民经济的健康可持续发展起着举足轻重作用.对于各地大型工业企业、高新技术产业和高新技术开发区生产率的研究具有重要的理论价值和现实意义.本文在相关文献研究的基础上,运用 MALMQUIST 指数模型对1998-2009年各地大型工业企业、高新技术产业和高新技术开发区进行了技术效率、技术变化率、纯技术率、规模效率和全要素生产率的时间序列评价和综合评价;结果显示大中型工业企业、高新技术产业和高新技术开发区的技术效率、技术变化率、纯技术率、规模效率和全要素生产率平均值分别为1.011、0.842、1.011、1.000和0.852.     

Dynamics of Mixed Coalitions Under Social Cohesion Constraints

ABSTRACT

Parameters for the birth and death diffusion life table model subject to downward jumps randomly occurring at a constant rate are estimated. The jump magnitudes have a beta distribution with support [0, l_x ], where l_x is the total number of survivors prior to the jump. The estimation method is maximum likelihood. The Cramer–Rao Lower bound and the asymptotic distribution for the MLE are derived. The model is applied to the U.S. men′s population from 1900 to 1999.     

Intrinsically Dynamic Multistate Models

Multistate life table models, which follow persons through more than one living state, have found increasing use in demographic analyses. Multistate stable populations, however, are infrequently used because the constant rate assumption is quite strong and such populations can take centuries to approach stability. Dynamic models, that is models where the rates can change over time, are examined to derive a new solution for the size and composition of a multistate population in terms of the sequence of underlying population projection matrices (PPMs). Constraints on the subordinate eigenvalues and the subordinate eigenvectors of the time-varying PPMs produce a model population that grows according to the dominant eigenvalues of each time-specific PPM and has a state composition that depends only on the most recent PPM. The two living state model is examined in detail, relationships between the PPM elements and the size and composition of the model are explored, and two illustrative applications of the model are presented.